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LOU

Louisville 13 at Kentucky 45

UK
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 30, 2019 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:28 · Max Duffy punt for 39 yds, downed at the Lvile 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Home team on offense+12.5Score differential+2.7Pregame prior+3.7Garbage-time factor+5.6Blowout margin−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:43: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +4.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Javian Hawkins run for 56 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK) — LOU win probability +12.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 14:11: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +13.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:31: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +9.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:43: Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 64 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 5LOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:48LOU 4th & 10 at UK 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:37LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 33, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:06UK 4th & 3 at LOU 27, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%−0.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:51UK 4th & 1 at UK 28, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:43LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:58UK 4th & 1 at LOU 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−2.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:28UK 4th & 9 at LOU 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    79.5%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:45LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:43LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:15UK 4th & 3 at LOU 32, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:08LOU 4th & 4 at UK 42, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:48LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:24UK Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:43UK Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:19LOU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:11UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:31UK Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:43UK Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:15UK Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1241% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
59.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
59.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 3 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
59.4%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+9
59.4%
Micale Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+23
59.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 23 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.4%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
59.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+1
59.4%
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+33
58.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 33 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2459% → 61%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
58.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 18 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
59.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
59.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
59.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
59.3%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Lvile 8Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+4
59.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
61.2%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
60.0%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 12 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
59.8%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+14
60.0%
Micale Cunningham run for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
59.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
59.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 10 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
59.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-9
59.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 46 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 15
OWN 44
-5
59.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 20
OWN 39
+15
59.8%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 15 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-6
59.0%
Micale Cunningham sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 48Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
60.2%
Mason King punt for 46 yds, downed at the Kent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 2:5660% → 68%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
59.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 12
-5
60.1%
[SHOT], PENALTY UK false start (Stenberg,Logan) 5 yards to the UK7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+5
59.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+12
59.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+70
60.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 70 yds to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
67.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
66.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
65.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 33Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
66.2%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Calvin Taylor Jr.Similar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+1
67.0%
Trenell Troutman run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0368% → 71%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
68.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 33Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
68.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+4
67.6%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+45
70.9%
Matt Ruffolo 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
68.7%
Micale Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+3
67.9%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
68.0%
Micale Cunningham pass intercepted Jordan Griffin return for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
70.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+6
70.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
70.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
69.7%
Max Duffy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
70.6%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+2
71.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+4
71.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 4 yds to the Lvile 31 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
71.7%
Mason King punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
73.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 18 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
74.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
74.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
74.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-1
74.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 49Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+6
74.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-1
73.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:1627% → 39%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
73.5%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
61.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 56 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
64.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4565% → 78%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
64.7%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+60
78.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
75.9%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 25Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.3%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
75.7%
Micale Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
75.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
74.8%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+3
75.8%
Micale Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-13
75.8%
Micale Cunningham run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Mekhi Becton) to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 23
OWN 35
-10
77.4%
Micale Cunningham sacked by Jamin Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 25Similar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 33
OWN 25
0
78.0%
Mason King punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
80.9%
Asim Rose run for 13 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
81.2%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
81.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-10
80.4%
[SHOT], Bowden,Lynn rush for 12 yards to the UL25 (Hayes, I.), PENALTY UK holding (Jackson,Drake) 10 yards to the UL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+4
79.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
78.9%
Max Duffy punt for 39 yds, downed at the Lvile 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2019% → 13%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+17
80.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 17 yds to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
80.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
80.1%
Micale Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-5
80.2%
[SHOT], PENALTY UL false start (Haycraft, T.) 5 yards to the UL23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
86.1%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
86.6%
Mason King punt for 42 yds , Josh Ali returns for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 2:0085% → 96%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
85.4%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
86.2%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 5
50
+4
86.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+46
95.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 1:317% → 5%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Tyler Haycraft) to the Lvile 20Similar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
93.7%
Evan Conley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
93.6%
Hassan Hall run for 10 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
93.2%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
94.1%
Evan Conley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 38 Evan Conley fumbled, recovered by Lvile Evan Conley , return for 3 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
94.2%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-7
94.3%
Evan Conley sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+7
94.7%
Mason King punt for 38 yds , Josh Ali returns for 7 yds to the Kent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19TD
1 play · 64 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
99.4%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 64 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by J.J. WeaverSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
99.0%
Evan Conley run for 7 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.0%
Evan Conley sacked by Quandre Mosely for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 37Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
99.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-5
99.0%
[SHOT], PENALTY UL false start (Bentley, C.) 5 yards to the UL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+3
99.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Mason King punt for 59 yds, downed at the Kent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+19
99.6%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 19 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+40
99.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 40 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.7%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
99.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 32 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22FUMBLE
17 plays · 48 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 5 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 10 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 30Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Hassan Hall for 5 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Evan Conley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Justin Marshall for 7 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+10
99.9%
Maurice Burkley run for 10 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Cedrick Dort Jr.Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 4
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 9 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
99.9%
Evan Conley sacked by Jerquavion Mahone for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 20
OPP 43
+4
100.0%
Evan Conley run for 4 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 16
OPP 39
-5
100.0%
Evan Conley sacked by Davoan Hawkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 42 Evan Conley fumbled, recovered by Kent Jamar Watson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:11
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+13.4
TD · Q2 0:19
Javian Hawkins run for 56 yds for a TD (Ryan Chalifoux KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q3 1:31
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 46 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com