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MIZ

Missouri 24 at Arkansas 14

ARK
2019 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2019 · War Memorial Stadium (AR)
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:32 · Tucker McCann punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ark 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior−12.0Home team on offense−5.7Score differential−3.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:34: Jack Lindsey pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +11.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:00: Tyler Badie run for 3 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +14.0 pts (now 73%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:25: Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 36 — MIZ win probability +6.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:25: Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 24 — MIZ win probability +6.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:47: Taylor Powell pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 10 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +14.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ARK 4th & 9 at MIZ 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:06MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:06ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:08MIZ 4th & 7 at ARK 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:58ARK 4th & 2 at MIZ 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−1.0
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:14MIZ 4th & 14 at MIZ 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:34MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:30ARK 4th & 13 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:00ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:32MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:25ARK 4th & 6 at MIZ 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%−1.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−3.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:43ARK 4th & 4 at MIZ 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−1.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:36MIZ 4th & 3 at ARK 36, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−1.0
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−1.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:24ARK 4th & 10 at ARK 26, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:49ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:34ARK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:00MIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:47MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
17.3%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Khalil OliverSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
17.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
17.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
17.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
17.3%
Jack Lindsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
17.3%
Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
17.3%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
17.3%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Rakeem BoydSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
17.3%
Jack Lindsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
17.3%
Sam Loy punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
19.1%
Connor Bazelak pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
19.1%
Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Misso 13Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+17
19.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 17 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
19.1%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
19.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
19.0%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 1
OWN 39
-1
19.1%
Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 38 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by Misso Connor BazelakSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:4821% → 24%
Q1 8:37
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+11
21.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 11 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
21.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
21.1%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
21.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
24.2%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Trey Knox for 19 yds for a TD MISSOURI Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:5376% → 77%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
23.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-6
23.3%
Connor Bazelak sacked by De'Jon Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 32 Connor Bazelak fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+5
24.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, offside defense (McTelvin Agim) to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+10
23.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 10 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
23.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 7 yds to the Ark 46Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
23.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
23.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 15 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
22.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Larry Rountree IIISimilar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
22.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+8
23.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
22.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
22.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Ark 11Similar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+6
28.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds to the Ark 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds for a TD (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
26.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
26.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 35Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
26.2%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Mike Woods for 9 yards to the AR44 (Joshua Bledsoe), PENALTY AR illegal touching (Mike Woods) 0 yards to the AR35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
25.7%
Sam Loy punt for 35 yds, downed at the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
26.0%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+17
26.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 17 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
25.1%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 13
OWN 41
-1
25.7%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Isaiah Nichols and Jonathan Marshall for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+7
26.2%
Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
26.3%
Tucker McCann punt for 42 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for no gain to the Ark 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
27.3%
Jack Lindsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+7
27.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Ark 18Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
26.7%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 18Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
26.4%
Sam Loy punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8FG
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:0573% → 73%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
26.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 12 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
26.3%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 45Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+4
26.6%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Barrett Banister for 4 yds to the Ark 41Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+30
26.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Kam Scott for 30 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
25.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
25.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 8Similar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
26.4%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
27.1%
Tucker McCann 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 2:1028% → 32%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
28.2%
Jack Lindsey run for 26 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
30.6%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Rakeem Boyd, broken up by Khalil OliverSimilar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
30.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+1
30.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+5
31.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, offside defense (Khalil Oliver) to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
32.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
33.9%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete, broken up by Joshuah BledsoeSimilar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+1
32.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 2:58
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+1
31.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:0372% → 70%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
28.4%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-10
28.5%
Tyler Badie rush for 10 yards to the MU39 (Myles Mason), PENALTY MU holding (Wallace-Simms) 10 yards to the MU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 19
OWN 19
+2
29.4%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+3
30.2%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
30.4%
Tucker McCann punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
28.4%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.1%
Taylor Powell pass intercepted Greg Brooks Jr. return for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:2134% → 46%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
34.1%
Jack Lindsey run for 15 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
34.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
45.7%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
40.9%
Jonathan Nance run for 4 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
41.3%
Taylor Powell sacked by Jamario Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+30
43.1%
Tucker McCann punt for 55 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 30 yds to the Ark 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 42%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
45.9%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Mike Woods, PENALTY MU pass interference (Christi Holmes) 7 yards to the MU47, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
46.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-5
46.6%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Ricky Stromberg) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 13
50
0
44.7%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 13
50
0
43.3%
Jack Lindsey pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 13
50
0
41.8%
Sam Loy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:5453% → 73%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+31
46.6%
Tyler Badie run for 31 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
43.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 11 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
42.4%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Ark 42Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+18
42.6%
Tyler Badie run for 18 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
40.8%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 15 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-8
40.8%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Ark 7 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 17Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+15
41.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance, PENALTY AR pass interference (Joe Foucha) 15 yards to the AR2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
40.8%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 3Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
26.8%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.8%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
34.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
33.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.9%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete, broken up by Nick BoltonSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
33.5%
Devwah Whaley rush for 5 yards to the AR42 (Chris Turner;Jamal Brooks), PENALTY AR illegal shift (Blake Kern) 5 yards to the AR32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+8
32.5%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 8 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
33.2%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
31.9%
Sam Loy punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
31.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
31.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
30.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Larry Rountree III for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
31.5%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+5
32.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance, PENALTY AR offside defense (Mataio Soli) 5 yards to the MU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
30.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q3 3:32
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
32.6%
Tucker McCann punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ark 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 5:0135% → 36%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
34.8%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to De'Vion Warren for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 22Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+1
34.5%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 1 yd to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 0
0
33.0%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Mike Woods for 7 yards to the AR30 (Christi Holmes), PENALTY MU roughing passer off-setting, PENALTY AR holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+15
33.6%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Trey Knox, PENALTY MU pass interference (Jarvis Ware) 15 yards to the AR38, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
37.0%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Mike Woods for 11 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
39.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
40.7%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
40.6%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
40.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
40.0%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+54
35.6%
Connor Limpert 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:3871% → 90%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.8%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
29.6%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+37
31.5%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 37 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
24.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
24.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
24.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Ark 11Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
24.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Ark 10Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
10.0%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 10 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:0412% → 11%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.5%
Jack Lindsey run for 1 yd to the Ark 26Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
11.2%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Mike Woods for 15 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
13.0%
Jack Lindsey run for 8 yds to the Ark 49Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
12.1%
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Treylon Burks for 6 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
12.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
12.6%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
12.4%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q4 6:43
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
11.1%
Jack Lindsey pass incomplete to Trey Knox, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:4292% → 95%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
8.2%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
8.3%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+1
8.8%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 5:18
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+15
8.9%
ARKANSAS Penalty, personal foul (McTelvin Agim) to the Ark 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
7.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
7.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
7.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Ark 36Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
5.2%
Tucker McCann punt for 20 yds, downed at the Ark 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23DOWNS
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
3.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 2 yds to the Ark 18Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+8
3.7%
Ben Hicks run for 8 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
3.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
3.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter, broken up by Ronnell PerkinsSimilar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
3.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey Knox, broken up by Jordan ElliottSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
3.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
3.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 28Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 12
OPP 28
-2
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 30Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 14
OPP 30
-2
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:47
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 10 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q3 7:00
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds for a TD ARKANSAS Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declined (Tucker McCann KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 13:34
Jack Lindsey pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Limpert KICK)
+11.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com