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ETSU

East Tennessee State 0 at Vanderbilt 38

VAN
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:47 · Garrett Taylor punt for 48 yds, downed at the Vandy 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+25.3Home team on offense+18.7Score differential+12.3Garbage-time factor+3.6Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 15:00: Trey Mitchell pass complete to Keith Coffee for 16 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST down — ETSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:05: Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +2.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:13: [SH], Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 12 yards to the ETSU38 (Quinn Smith;Zack Yancey), PENALTY VANDY holding (Tyler Steen) 10 yards to the VANDY40, NO PLAY. — VAN win probability +1.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:47: Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 75 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +5.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:11: Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 7 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ETSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ETSU 4th & 13 at ETSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57ETSU 4th & 8 at ETSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:48VAN 4th & 18 at VAN 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:05ETSU 4th & 1 at VAN 12, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:05VAN 4th & 2 at ETSU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:05ETSU 4th & 18 at ETSU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:24VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23ETSU 4th & 21 at ETSU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:17VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:47ETSU 4th & 25 at ETSU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−1.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:38VAN 4th & 5 at ETSU 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:38ETSU 4th & 9 at ETSU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:11ETSU 4th & 18 at ETSU 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 1 at ETSU 47, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 21 at ETSU 45, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:29ETSU 4th & 19 at ETSU 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:16VAN 4th & 4 at ETSU 47, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:53ETSU 4th & 10 at ETSU 12, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:02VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:05VAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:47VAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:11VAN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:03VAN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
92.2%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Anthony Spagnoletti for 25 yds to the ETnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
92.2%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jacob SaylorsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
92.2%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 44
-2
92.2%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 42
+17
92.2%
Garrett Taylor punt for 38 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 17 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:2792% → 92%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
91.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 8 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
91.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.7%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
91.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 8
50
+8
91.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the ETnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
91.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the ETnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
91.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 31 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
91.3%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 16Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-1
91.4%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 15Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+18
91.4%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Quay Holmes for 18 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.3%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
91.3%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 35Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
91.4%
Tyler Riddell pass incomplete, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
91.4%
Garrett Taylor punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ETnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.2%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
91.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 47Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 12
OPP 47
-6
90.9%
Riley Neal sacked by Jalen Porter for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
90.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ETnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 7:0710% → 11%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
90.5%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Anthony Spagnoletti for 8 yds to the ETnSt 35Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+12
90.3%
Jacob Saylors run for 12 yds to the ETnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
90.2%
Jacob Saylors run for 4 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
90.2%
Jawan Martin run for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
90.1%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
90.2%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Dawson Pierson for 3 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
90.1%
Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+16
89.1%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Keith Coffee for 16 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
88.7%
Jacob Saylors run for 5 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+3
88.7%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
89.0%
Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the Vandy 12Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
88.6%
Tyler Keltner 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Cameron Tidd Kenny Hebert return for 12 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 6:0089% → 92%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
89.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+4
89.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+27
89.1%
Riley Neal run for 27 yds to the ETnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
89.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 39Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-5
89.9%
[SH], Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 19 yards to the ETSU20 (Quinn Smith), PENALTY VANDY ineligible downfield on pass (Jared Pinkney) 5 yards to the ETSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
89.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+8
89.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 8 yds to the ETnSt 36Similar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+22
89.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 22 yds to the ETnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
89.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 12 yds to the ETnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.4%
Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
91.4%
Tyler Riddell sacked by Caleb Peart for a loss of 9 yards to the ETnSt 17Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
91.6%
Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Quay HolmesSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 18
OWN 17
-4
91.7%
Garrett Taylor punt for 40 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 13 VANDERBILT Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
92.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 13
OWN 36
-4
91.7%
Riley Neal sacked by Jason Maduafokwa for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+10
91.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 10 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
91.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 0:489% → 9%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
91.5%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 25Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Anthony Spagnoletti, broken up by Gil BarksdaleSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+9
91.3%
Trey Mitchell run for 9 yds to the ETnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Nate AdkinsSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-11
90.9%
Trey Mitchell sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo and Kenny Hebert for a loss of 11 yards to the ETnSt 23Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 21
OWN 23
0
91.4%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jacob SaylorsSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 21
OWN 23
0
91.5%
Garrett Taylor punt for 27 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5693% → 92%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
50
-10
93.0%
[SH], Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 12 yards to the ETSU38 (Quinn Smith;Zack Yancey), PENALTY VANDY holding (Tyler Steen) 10 yards to the VANDY40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
92.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Artevius SmithSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 20
OWN 40
0
92.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+5
92.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+1
91.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 42 yds , Malik McGue returns for 1 yd to the ETnSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
92.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 75 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.4%
Quay Holmes run for 11 yds to the ETnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
96.3%
Trey Mitchell pass complete to Jawan Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 34Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-7
96.5%
Trey Mitchell sacked by Rutger Reitmaier and Kenny Hebert for a loss of 7 yards to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 19
OWN 27
-6
96.5%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 6 yards to the ETnSt 21Similar
Q3 14:47
4TH & 25
OWN 21
0
96.5%
Garrett Taylor punt for 48 yds, downed at the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:2197% → 98%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+10
97.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
97.5%
[SH], Keyon Brooks rush for loss of 2 yards to the VANDY44 (Colton Lakes;Donovan Manuel), PENALTY VANDY holding (Dan Dawkins) 10 yards to the VANDY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+2
97.4%
Keyon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+12
97.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 6
50
+12
97.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 12 yds to the ETnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
97.6%
Riley Neal run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 35Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
97.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
97.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 8 yds to the ETnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn VaughnSimilar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
97.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the ETnSt 22Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
97.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Dilan HendersonSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
98.1%
Ryley Guay 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
97.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Keith CoffeeSimilar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Anthony Spagnoletti, broken up by Dashaun JerkinsSimilar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.0%
Garrett Taylor punt for 42 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 4 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 1:3898% → 100%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
98.3%
Justice Shelton-Mosley run for 5 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+9
98.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
50
+43
98.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 43 yds to the ETnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 7 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 24Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Tyler Riddell pass incomplete to Will HuzzieSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-7
99.8%
Tyler Riddell sacked by Dayo Odeyingbo and Elijah McAllister for a loss of 7 yards to the ETnSt 17Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+5
99.8%
Garrett Taylor punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 44 , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 11 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.8%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the ETnSt 47Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the ETnSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
Keyon Brooks run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+10
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 10 yds to the ETnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the ETnSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.8%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-10
99.8%
[SH], Riley Neal rush for 11 yards to the ETSU21, out-of-bounds (Jeremy Lewis), PENALTY VANDY holding (Devin Cochran) 10 yards to the ETSU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 42
-3
99.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the ETnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
99.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 9 yds to the ETnSt 22Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Jawan Martin run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 23Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jacob SaylorsSimilar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 12
OWN 26
-7
99.9%
Trey Mitchell sacked by Andre Mintze and Dayo Odeyingbo for a loss of 7 yards to the ETnSt 19Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 19
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Garrett Taylor punt for 53 yds, downed at the Vandy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Allan Walters pass complete to Chris Pierce for 19 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 49Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Ja'Veon Marlow run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 47Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Allan Walters pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q4 7:16
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the ETnSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.9%
Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 14Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Quay Holmes run for no gain to the ETnSt 14Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 14
-2
99.9%
Chance Thrasher sacked by Lashawn Paulino-Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 12Similar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+13
99.9%
Garrett Taylor punt for 35 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 13 yds to the ETnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Mitchell Pryor run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 31Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+31
100.0%
Mitchell Pryor run for 31 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 28Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 31Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:47
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 75 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 6:05
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)
+2.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:13
[SH], Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 12 yards to the ETSU38 (Quinn Smith;Zack Yancey), PENALTY VANDY holding (Tyler Steen) 10 yards to the VANDY40, NO PLAY.
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com