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UTM

UT Martin 7 at Kentucky 50

UK
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:38 · Zane Cox punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kent 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 105Pregame prior+26.8Home team on offense+29.3Score differential+26.8Blowout margin+13.1Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q1 12:52: Team run for no gain Team fumbled, recovered by Kent Yusuf Corker for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UTM win probability +0.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UTM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:36: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore PAT MISSED) — UK win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:45: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UTM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:52UK 4th & 8 at UK 43, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:52UTM 4th & 6 at UTM 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33UTM 4th & 8 at UTM 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:29UK 4th & 11 at UK 41, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:43UTM 4th & 6 at UK 40, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:44UK 4th & 8 at UK 29, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:37UTM 4th & 4 at UTM 11, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00UTM 4th & 27 at UTM 33, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:20UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 26, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:45UK 4th & 1 at UTM 9, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:54UK 4th & 8 at UTM 32, up 29
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:38UTM 4th & 8 at UTM 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:01UTM 4th & 6 at UTM 40, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:12UTM 4th & 9 at UK 42, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33UK Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:36UK Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:45UK Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:14UK Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:07UTM Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:01UK Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:21UK Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1SF
2 plays · -25 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Team run for no gain for a SAFETY Team fumbled, recovered by TnMar for a SAFETY TENN MARTIN Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the TnMar 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
97.4%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Max Duffy punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -6 yds · 1:013% → 3%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
97.3%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 7 yds to the TnMar 13Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+6
97.3%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 6 yds to the TnMar 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.2%
Team run for no gain Team fumbled, recovered by Kent Yusuf Corker for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.2%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 20Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
97.2%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 4 yds to the TnMar 24Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
97.2%
John Bachus III sacked by T.J. Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 20Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+9
97.2%
John Bachus III pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 9 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.2%
Zane Cox punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
1 play · 63 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
97.2%
Asim Rose run for 63 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.2%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 1 yd to the TnMar 26Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
97.2%
John Bachus III pass complete to Colton Dowell for 5 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-4
97.2%
John Bachus III sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 27Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Zane Cox punt for 31 yds, downed at the Kent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-4
97.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
97.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 11
OWN 41
+42
97.1%
Max Duffy punt for 56 yds , Terry Williams returns for 42 yds to the TnMar 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
96.8%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 11 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
96.8%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 5 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
96.7%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 2 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 3
OPP 37
-3
96.7%
John Bachus III pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
96.8%
Zane Cox punt for 28 yds, downed at the Kent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
97.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 12Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
97.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+9
97.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
97.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-2
97.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:44
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Max Duffy punt for 66 yds, downed at the TnMar 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:364% → 3%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
96.4%
Zak Wallace run for 6 yds to the TnMar 11Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 4
OWN 11
0
96.3%
John Bachus III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:37
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
96.7%
John Bachus III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
96.7%
Zane Cox punt for 36 yds , Josh Ali returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Josh Ali fumbled, recovered by TnMar Collin Tatko , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 0:184% → 3%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
50
-7
96.5%
John Bachus III sacked by Joshua Paschal and Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the TnMar 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 43
-5
96.6%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 38
+4
96.6%
John Bachus III run for 4 yds to the TnMar 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 42
-3
96.6%
John Bachus III sacked by Joshua Paschal for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 33 John Bachus III fumbled, recovered by TnMar , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 27
OPP 0
0
96.6%
Cox, Zane punt 37 yards to the UK30, downed, PENALTY UTM illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY UK personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 33
0
96.6%
Zane Cox punt for 40 yds, downed at the Kent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
96.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+7
96.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
97.0%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
97.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 38 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, recovered by KentSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
96.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass intercepted Takeem Young return for no gain to the TnMar 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:394% → 4%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
96.3%
Zak Wallace run for no gain to the TnMar 17Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
96.4%
Colton Dowell run for 3 yds to the TnMar 20 TENN MARTIN Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+6
96.4%
John Bachus III pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 6 yds to the TnMar 26Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
96.4%
Zane Cox punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:2597% → 99%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.0%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+58
97.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 58 yds to the TnMar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
97.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 16Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-10
97.1%
[SHOT], Bowden,Lynn pass complete to Rigg,Justin for 14 yards to the UTM2, PENALTY UK holding (Jackson,Drake) 10 yards to the UTM26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 21
OPP 26
+9
97.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 9 yds to the TnMar 17Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+15
97.1%
[SHOT], Bowden,Lynn pass incomplete to Rigg,Justin, PENALTY UTM pass interference (Akins, Jaquez) 15 yards to the UTM2, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
98.0%
Marqwell Odom run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 37Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+19
98.1%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 19 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
97.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 47 Jaimiee Bowe fumbled, forced by Kordell Looney, recovered by Kent Jordan GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:4699% → 100%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+35
98.5%
Asim Rose run for 35 yds to the TnMar 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
98.5%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the TnMar 17Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
98.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the TnMar 10Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
98.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the TnMar 9Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+9
99.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.7%
Lamarcus Young run for 2 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
99.7%
Lamarcus Young run for 1 yd to the TnMar 31Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-6
99.7%
John Bachus III sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the TnMar 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 18INT
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.4%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 4 yds to the TnMar 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+7
99.4%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 7 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
Jaimiee Bowe run for no gain to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.4%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+17
99.5%
John Bachus III pass complete to Colton Dowell for 17 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.4%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.4%
Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+19
99.4%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 19 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.3%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 6Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.3%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.3%
John Bachus III pass intercepted, touchback. Jamin Davis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
99.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+40
99.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 40 yds to the TnMar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.6%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the TnMar 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Takeem YoungSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Asim RoseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.7%
John Bachus III pass complete to Jaylon Moore for 9 yds to the TnMar 41Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
99.7%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the TnMar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon MooreSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
John Bachus III pass complete to Jaimiee Bowe for 2 yds to the TnMar 45Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Zane Cox punt for 44 yds, downed at the Kent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 5:28100% → 100%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
99.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+12
99.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the TnMar 48Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+26
99.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 26 yds to the TnMar 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.8%
Sawyer Smith run for 5 yds to the TnMar 17Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+15
99.8%
Sawyer Smith run for 15 yds to the TnMar 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 22TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
John Bachus III pass complete to Terry Williams for 2 yds to the TnMar 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.9%
John Bachus III pass incomplete to Jaylon Moore, broken up by Jamari BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
John Bachus III pass complete to Colton Dowell for 19 yds to the TnMar 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
99.9%
John Bachus III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
John Bachus III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+14
99.9%
John Bachus III pass complete to Lamarcus Young for 14 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
99.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 7 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
99.9%
John Bachus III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+16
99.9%
John Bachus III pass complete to Christian Philpott for 16 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for 6 yds for a TD (Ryan Courtright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Travis Tisdale run for 2 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+53
99.9%
Travis Tisdale run for 53 yds to the TnMar 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Travis Tisdale run for 4 yds to the TnMar 1Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Walker Wood pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Travis Tisdale run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Terry Williams for 11 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Lamarcus Young for 6 yds to the TnMar 42Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the TnMar 44Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-4
99.9%
Jaimiee Bowe run for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 40Similar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Zane Cox punt for 30 yds, downed at the Kent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 25TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Tyler Markray run for 7 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Walker Wood run for 10 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Walker Wood pass complete to Nik Ognenovic for 8 yds to the TnMar 45Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+45
100.0%
Tyler Markray run for 45 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+15
100.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Zak Wallace for 15 yds to the TnMar 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Kevin Butler for 6 yds to the TnMar 36Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+21
100.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Zak Wallace for 21 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
100.0%
Dresser Winn run for 6 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 4
OPP 37
-5
100.0%
Dresser Winn run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 42 Dresser Winn fumbled, recovered by TnMar Dresser WinnSimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Jaimiee BoweSimilar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Kevin ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
100.0%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Team run for no gain to the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:36
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore PAT MISSED)
+1.4
TD · Q2 1:45
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+1
FUMBLE · Q1 12:52
Team run for no gain Team fumbled, recovered by Kent Yusuf Corker for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com