Try the model
TA&M

Texas A&M 13 at Georgia 19

UGA
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+3.7UGA 87.8%Rodrigo Blankenship 37 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 16 · Q3 11:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:59 · Rodrigo Blankenship 37 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+14.2Home team on offense+14.2Garbage-time factor+4.5Score differential+6.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:44: George Pickens 16 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +4.3 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:59: Rodrigo Blankenship 37 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +3.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:14: Seth Small 35 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +2.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:56: Rodrigo Blankenship 31 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +6.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Jhamon Ausbon 19 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick) — TA&M win probability +20.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:26UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06TA&M 4th & 19 at TA&M 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:22UGA 4th & 6 at TA&M 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:47TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:17UGA 4th & 27 at UGA 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:43TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:46UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:29TA&M 4th & 10 at UGA 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:36UGA 4th & 4 at TA&M 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    74.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:30TA&M 4th & 18 at TA&M 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:03TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:19UGA 4th & 7 at TA&M 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.3
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:59UGA 4th & 9 at TA&M 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−5.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:20TA&M 4th & 1 at UGA 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−1.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−4.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:14UGA 4th & 20 at UGA 16, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−3.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:14TA&M 4th & 15 at UGA 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−4.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:56UGA 4th & 7 at TA&M 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−5.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:59UGA 4th & 18 at UGA 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−4.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:26TA&M 4th & 11 at UGA 43, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TA&M made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 6:44UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 11:16TA&M Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.1%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2580% → 79%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
79.8%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 18Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
79.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 7 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-6
79.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 54 yds , Ainias Smith returns for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:1421% → 21%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
79.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 13
OWN 12
-5
79.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Carson Green) to the TexAM 7Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 18
OWN 7
-2
79.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 5Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+1
79.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 6Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 19
OWN 6
+18
79.0%
Braden Mann punt for 59 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for 18 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:3679% → 79%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
79.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+14
79.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
79.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+2
78.9%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
78.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Brian HerrienSimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
78.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3021% → 21%
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers, broken up by Michael BarnettSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
78.8%
Braden Mann punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:2379% → 77%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
78.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-2
78.5%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-15
77.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Geo 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo Jake FrommSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 27
OWN 31
0
77.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Quartney Davis at the TexAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 2:2622% → 23%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
78.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 23 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
77.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
77.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
76.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers, broken up by DJ DanielSimilar
Q1 2:43
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
77.5%
Braden Mann punt for 54 yds, downed at the Geo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5177% → 76%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
76.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+5
76.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
76.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+20
76.0%
Jake Camarda punt for 49 yds , Quartney Davis returns for 20 yds to the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:0824% → 26%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
75.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
75.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 2 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+8
75.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Cagan Baldree for 8 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
75.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Richard LeCounteSimilar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
75.4%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-5
75.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (Kellen Mond) to the Geo 20Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
75.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
74.4%
Seth Small 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:3977% → 77%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
76.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 16 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
77.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
77.3%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
76.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
77.1%
Rodrigo Blankenship 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 2:0623% → 22%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (Kellen Mond) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
77.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
77.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jordan Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
78.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 17Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
78.2%
Braden Mann punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3976% → 83%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.4%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+27
75.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 27 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
78.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 22 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
78.7%
Jake Fromm run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
78.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Eli WolfSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+16
82.8%
George Pickens 16 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2717% → 16%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.0%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
Braden Mann punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:3383% → 83%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
83.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 23 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
83.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
83.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
83.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 27 yds, downed at the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 2:5716% → 15%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
84.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 9 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+2
84.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
84.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
83.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 6 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
83.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 24 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
81.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah Spiller, broken up by Nolan SmithSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-15
82.2%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Rogers, Kendrick, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Rogers, Kendrick) 15 yards to the TEXASAM40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 25
OWN 40
0
83.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 25
OWN 40
-14
83.8%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 14 yards to the TexAM 26 Kellen Mond fumbled, recovered by TexAM Kellen MondSimilar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 39
OWN 26
0
84.6%
Braden Mann punt for 40 yds, downed at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0884% → 84%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
83.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+4
83.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3818% → 16%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
81.9%
Kellen Mond run for 7 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+2
81.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-5
83.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jalen Wydermyer) to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+3
83.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 3 yds Jalen Wydermyer fumbled, forced by Richard LeCounte, recovered by Geo Richard LeCounteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5085% → 88%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
84.8%
Kearis Jackson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
84.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
84.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
87.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:2814% → 13%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
86.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 4 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
86.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 10 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
86.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
85.7%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
86.3%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
86.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 2:0089% → 89%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
89.3%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-1
89.3%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-11
89.0%
Jake Fromm sacked by Justin Madubuike and Demani Richardson for a loss of 11 yards to the Geo 16Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 20
OWN 16
0
88.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 1:5413% → 16%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
87.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 9 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+20
85.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 20 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
84.7%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Wydermyer, Jalen, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Grant, Walter) 15 yards to the GEORGIA12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
84.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
84.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 10
OPP 12
-5
86.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Kenyon Green) to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
86.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+35
84.4%
Seth Small 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:1185% → 93%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
84.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 41 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
86.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+10
86.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 10 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-15
86.6%
Swift, D'Andre rush for no gain to the TEXASAM17, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal block (Pickens, George) 15 yards to the TEXASAM32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 25
OPP 32
-1
86.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 26
OPP 33
+6
86.5%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 20
OPP 27
+13
87.2%
Brian Herrien run for 13 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
93.4%
Rodrigo Blankenship 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3110% → 32%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah SpillerSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
89.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Isaiah Spiller, broken up by Tae CrowderSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-5
90.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Dan Moore Jr.) to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+21
90.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 21 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
89.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 15 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
88.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
88.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
67.9%
Jhamon Ausbon 19 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0985% → 85%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
85.4%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+20
84.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 20 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Brian HerrienSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
87.4%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-8
86.2%
Jake Fromm sacked by Aaron Hansford for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
84.5%
Jake Camarda punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:2523% → 22%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
77.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+23
77.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 23 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
75.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 20 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
72.0%
Kellen Mond sacked by Tyler Clark for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+9
78.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 9 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
76.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer, broken up by Tyrique StevensonSimilar
Q4 4:26
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
78.4%
Braden Mann punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:5588% → 97%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
88.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 3 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
88.6%
Brian Herrien run for 6 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
88.1%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
92.1%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+11
92.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 11 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+11
94.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
95.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 1
50
+3
95.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-1
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:16
Jhamon Ausbon 19 Yd pass from Kellen Mond (Seth Small Kick)
-20.8
FG · Q4 14:56
Rodrigo Blankenship 31 Yd Field Goal
+6.2
TD · Q2 6:44
George Pickens 16 Yd pass from Jake Fromm (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com