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SAM

Samford 0 at Auburn 52

AUB
2019 · Week 13 · Nov 23, 2019 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadSAM aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreSAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:47 · Wil Appleton pass complete to - 84 for 4 yds to the Samf 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:13: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — SAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:08: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:37: Bo Nix pass complete to Harold Joiner for 10 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:14: Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 1:16: Anders Carlson 29 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 7SAM made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00SAM 4th & 4 at AUB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:57AUB 4th & 6 at SAM 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57SAM 4th & 7 at SAM 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:27AUB 4th & 4 at SAM 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:11SAM 4th & 12 at SAM 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:43SAM 4th & 18 at SAM 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:34AUB 4th & 4 at SAM 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:14SAM 4th & 20 at SAM 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:16AUB 4th & 4 at SAM 11, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54AUB 4th & 5 at SAM 45, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:35SAM 4th & 1 at AUB 16, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:47AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 47, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:32SAM 4th & 2 at AUB 38, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:22SAM 4th & 8 at AUB 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:32AUB 4th & 8 at SAM 27, up 38
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:32SAM 4th & 15 at SAM 20, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:14SAM 4th & 15 at SAM 28, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:13AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:08AUB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:37AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:14AUB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:35AUB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:32AUB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:23AUB Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SAMDrive 1FUMBLE
14 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Liam Welch right flat pass incomplete to Robert Adams, QB hurry by Big Kat Bryant, QB hurry by Marlon Davidson, PENALTY AU offside (Marlon Davidson) 5 yards to the SAM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.6%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Samf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the Samf 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
99.6%
Liam Welch pass complete to Kendall Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.6%
Liam Welch run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.6%
Liam Welch pass complete to Robert Adams for 6 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
Jay Stanton run for 5 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.6%
SAMFORD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 44Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Liam Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
Liam Welch left screen pass complete to Kendall Watson for 1 yard to the AU43 (K.J. Britt), PENALTY AU offside (Marlon Davidson) 5 yards to the AU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.6%
Liam Welch pass complete to Kendall Watson for 2 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+4
99.6%
Liam Welch pass complete to Chandler Smith for 4 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+8
99.6%
Liam Welch run for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 49 Liam Welch fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Aub Christian Tutt , return for 8 yds to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:16100% → 99%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 3 yds to the Samf 48Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+8
99.5%
D.J. Williams run for 8 yds to the Samf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.5%
D.J. Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 41Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+6
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 6 yds to the Samf 35Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
99.5%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Samf 33Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+15
99.4%
Bo Nix left sideline pass incomplete to Seth Williams, PENALTY SAM pass interference (C. Matthew) 15 yards to the SAM18, 1ST DOWN AU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 8 yds to the Samf 10Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+9
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 9 yds to the Samf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Liam Welch pass intercepted Jeremiah Dinson return for no gain to the Aub 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.3%
D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+10
99.3%
Anthony Schwartz run for 10 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 6 yds to the Samf 46Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
99.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 5 yds to the Samf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Samf 33Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+4
99.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Samf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, broken up by Joshua CarterSimilar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.4%
Anthony Schwartz run for 4 yds to the Samf 25Similar
Q1 8:04
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
99.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
99.2%
Anders Carlson 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joshua CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
DeMarcus Ware run for no gain to the Samf 25Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
Liam Welch pass complete to Michael Vice for 3 yds to the Samf 28Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Liam Welch pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+14
99.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 14 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
99.1%
J. Whitlow rush draw play for 1 yard to the 50 yardline (Nathan East), PENALTY AU holding (Marquel Harrell) 10 yards to the AU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+17
99.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 17 yds to the Samf 44Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-1
99.1%
Bo Nix run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 45Similar
Q1 3:27
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Arryn Siposs punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.9%
N/A pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.9%
Liam Welch pass complete to Robert Adams for a loss of 2 yards to the Samf 18Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
98.9%
Liam Welch pass incomplete to Robert AdamsSimilar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+15
98.9%
Bradley Porcellato punt for 44 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 15 yds to the Samf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
98.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Samf 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+9
98.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 9 yds to the Samf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
98.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 31 yds to the Samf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.0%
DeMarcus Ware pass complete to Liam Welch for a loss of 7 yards to the Samf 18Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-1
99.0%
Liam Welch run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 17Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
99.0%
Liam Welch pass incomplete to DeMarcus WareSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
99.0%
Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 2:5799% → 100%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.1%
D.J. Williams run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 4
50
+19
99.1%
D.J. Williams run for 19 yds to the Samf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.1%
D.J. Williams run for 2 yds to the Samf 29Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
99.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+4
99.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Samf 25Similar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+10
99.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 10 yds to the Samf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 4 yds to the Samf 11Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
99.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Samf 10Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
99.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Harold Joiner for 10 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.4%
SAMFORD Penalty, delay of game (Jay Stanton) to the Samf 20Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
Jay Stanton run for 5 yds to the Samf 25Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Jay Stanton rush up the middle for no gain to the SAM25 (Zakoby McClain), PENALTY AU offside (Gary Walker) 5 yards to the SAM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
99.3%
Jay Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 29Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.4%
Chris Oladokun run for 5 yds to the Samf 19 Chris Oladokun fumbled, forced by Zakoby McClain, recovered by Aub Roger McCreary , return for 15 yds to the Samf 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:4699% → 100%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
99.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Samf 11Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+7
99.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Samf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Liam Welch pass incomplete to DeMarcus WareSimilar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Liam Welch pass complete to Jay Stanton for 8 yds to the Samf 33Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.8%
Jay Stanton run for 6 yds to the Samf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Jay Stanton run for no gain to the Samf 39Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
99.8%
Liam Welch pass complete to Michael Vice for a loss of 3 yards to the Samf 36Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-7
99.8%
Liam Welch sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 7 yards to the Samf 29Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 20
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Bradley Porcellato punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:14100% → 100%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Kam Martin run for 6 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 36 yds to the Samf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.8%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for no gain to the Samf 29Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+12
99.8%
Kam Martin run for 12 yds to the Samf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.8%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Samf 16Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Matthew Hill for 5 yds to the Samf 11Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kam MartinSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+29
99.8%
Anders Carlson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Jay Stanton run for 5 yds to the Samf 30Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Jay Stanton run for no gain to the Samf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
50
0
99.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
50
+5
99.8%
D.J. Williams run for 5 yds to the Samf 45Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 17INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.9%
Liam Welch pass complete to Robert Adams for 11 yds to the Samf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.8%
Jay Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 30Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+26
99.8%
Liam Welch pass intercepted Christian Tutt return for 26 yds to the Samf 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:16100% → 100%
Q3 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Matthew Hill for 7 yds to the Samf 2Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
D.J. Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 58 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
99.9%
Liam Welch pass complete to Jai'Rus Creamer for 20 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, personal foul (Jamien Sherwood) to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Liam Welch pass incomplete, broken up by Jordyn PetersSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
Devan Walker run for 15 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.8%
Liam Welch run for 9 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Devan Walker run for no gain to the Aub 16Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Devan Walker run for no gain to the Aub 16Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-1
99.7%
Jay Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Cord Sandberg run for 15 yds to the Aub 32 AUBURN Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 5
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+15
99.9%
Cord Sandberg run for 15 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-1
99.9%
Cord Sandberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 47Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+26
99.9%
Arryn Siposs punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AUBURN 22 AUBURN Penalty, illegal formation (Nehemiah Pritchett) to the Samf 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 21MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Liam Welch run for 3 yds to the Samf 30Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Liam Welch right flat pass incomplete to C. Matthew, PENALTY AU offside 5 yards to the SAM35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Liam Welch run for 3 yds to the Samf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
99.9%
Liam Welch pass complete to Kendall Watson for 16 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
DeMarcus Ware run for 5 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
Liam Welch run for 1 yd to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+2
99.9%
Liam Welch pass complete to DeMarcus Ware for 2 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Liam Welch run for 4 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Liam Welch run for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 8
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Liam Welch pass incomplete to Chandler Smith, broken up by Zion PuckettSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Liam Welch pass incomplete to Robert AdamsSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+50
99.9%
Mitchell Fineran 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:50100% → 100%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Matthew Hill run for 2 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Cord Sandberg run for 2 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+13
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Matthew Hill for 13 yds to the Samf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 12 yds to the Samf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass incomplete to Matthew HillSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Cord Sandberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 3 yds to the Samf 27Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 8
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Zach Farrar for 27 yds for a TD (Ben Patton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
100.0%
Liam Welch sacked by Caleb Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Samf 14Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Jocquet Jiles run for no gain to the Samf 14Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+6
100.0%
Ty Hatcher pass complete to Ty King for 6 yds to the Samf 20Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Bradley Porcellato punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Cord Sandberg run for 1 yd to the Aub 42Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+37
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Marquis McClain for 37 yds to the Samf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Cord Sandberg pass incomplete to Matthew HillSimilar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+17
99.9%
Harold Joiner run for 17 yds to the Samf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Cord Sandberg pass complete to Zach Farrar for 4 yds for a TD (Ben Patton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
100.0%
Jocquet Jiles run for a loss of 3 yards to the Samf 30Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-2
100.0%
Ty Hatcher pass complete to Sam Fleming for a loss of 2 yards to the Samf 28Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 15
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Jeremiah Roberts run for no gain to the Samf 28Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Bradley Porcellato punt for 59 yds, downed at the Aub 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 26Uncategorized
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
100.0%
Malik Miller run for 3 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+13
100.0%
Jashawn Sheffield run for 13 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Malik Miller run for 1 yd to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+17
100.0%
Jashawn Sheffield run for 17 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Malik Miller run for 5 yds to the Samf 48Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
100.0%
Malik Miller run for 8 yds to the Samf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
100.0%
Malik Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 41Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+4
100.0%
Wil Appleton pass complete to - 84 for 4 yds to the Samf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:37
Bo Nix pass complete to Harold Joiner for 10 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 7:14
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q2 14:08
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com