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UK

Kentucky 38 at Vanderbilt 14

VAN
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:39 · Max Duffy punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense−50.9Pregame prior−2.5Score differential−29.6Garbage-time factor−9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−10.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:14: Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +4.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:07: Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 22 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +5.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:11: Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +8.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:54: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +10.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:51: Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD Chance Poore kick attempt good, PENALTY UK false start 5 yards to the VANDY8, NO PLAY. (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00VAN 4th & 24 at VAN 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48UK 4th & 4 at VAN 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:14VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:07VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 8 at UK 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:48UK 4th & 10 at VAN 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:05VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 5:49VAN 4th & 5 at UK 5, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:39UK 4th & 30 at UK 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 1:03VAN 4th & 10 at UK 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 5:21VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:14UK Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:07UK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:11UK Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:54UK Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:51UK Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
25.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the Vandy 5 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 30
OWN 5
-2
25.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the Vandy 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 32
OWN 3
+8
25.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 8 yds to the Vandy 11Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
25.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 33 yds, downed at the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:4874% → 73%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
26.1%
Asim Rose run for 24 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
26.0%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
26.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
26.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Vandy 14Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
27.2%
Chance Poore 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2727% → 32%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
27.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
27.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Vandy 45 Ke'Shawn Vaughn fumbled, forced by DeAndre Square, recovered by VandySimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+22
27.7%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 22 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
27.9%
Cam Johnson pass complete to Riley Neal for 16 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+4
27.3%
Keyon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Kent 13 KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Kent 13Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
27.9%
Keyon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+5
27.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
32.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:4569% → 67%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
31.2%
Asim Rose run for 49 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+67
32.9%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 2 yards Asim Rose fumbled, forced by Andre Mintze, recovered by Vandy Allan George , return for 67 yds (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:2266% → 67%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
34.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 20Similar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
34.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
34.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
34.1%
Sawyer Smith run for 1 yd to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
34.1%
[SH], Lynn Bowden pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner, PENALTY VANDY offside (Daevion Davis) 5 yards to the UK40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+12
33.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 12 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
33.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 21 yds to the Vandy 27 KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
33.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 7 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+10
32.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
32.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 8 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
32.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
37.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Vandy 3Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
32.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
34.8%
Keyon Brooks run for 13 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Keyon BrooksSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
35.2%
Keyon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
34.7%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn VaughnSimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
34.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:2064% → 72%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
35.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 18Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+17
36.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 17 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
35.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 18 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
34.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
34.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+5
34.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
34.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+5
33.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
28.4%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 22 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Cedrick Dort Jr.Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
31.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn VaughnSimilar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.3%
Riley Neal run for 9 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
30.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:5569% → 79%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
30.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
30.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
30.7%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q2 4:18
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+8
30.5%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
29.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+9
29.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
29.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
28.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+9
30.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
29.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+5
29.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
20.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
22.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0676% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
23.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
22.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
22.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+40
22.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 40 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
11.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0014% → 16%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
14.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
15.1%
Keyon Brooks run for 7 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
15.5%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Yusuf Corker return for no gain to the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 6:5287% → 97%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
12.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
12.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+9
12.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
12.1%
[SH], Chris Rodriguez rush for 8 yards to the VANDY47 (Cameron Tidd;Feleti Afemui), PENALTY UK holding (Keaton Upshaw) 10 yards to the UK35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 20
OWN 35
-4
13.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 24
OWN 31
-2
13.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. sacked by Dimitri Moore and Cameron Tidd for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 26
OWN 29
+28
13.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 28 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
12.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 13 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-9
11.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Vandy 29 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Landon Young) to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 19
OPP 39
+6
12.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+6
11.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+27
2.6%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD Chance Poore kick attempt good, PENALTY UK false start 5 yards to the VANDY8, NO PLAY. (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:514% → 3%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
3.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
3.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 12 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
4.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for 4 yards to the UK48 (Jordan Wright), PENALTY UK offside (Jordan Wright) 5 yards to the UK47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+1
4.2%
Keyon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
4.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
4.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
4.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+2
4.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
3.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
3.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Cedrick Dort Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
2.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+11
2.0%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 11 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
2.0%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Akeem Hayes for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
1.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-12
2.0%
Sawyer Smith run for a loss of 12 yards to the Vandy 46 Sawyer Smith fumbled, recovered by Kent Christopher Rodriguez Jr.Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 19
OPP 46
+9
2.0%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
2.0%
Sawyer Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
2.3%
Sawyer Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 58 yds · 5:162% → 1%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
2.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-5
1.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Grant Miller) to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+10
1.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+7
2.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 7 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+5
2.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
2.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 6 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+22
2.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 22 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
2.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 2 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
2.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn VaughnSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+10
2.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 10 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
2.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
2.4%
Riley Neal run for 1 yd to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
2.3%
Riley Neal run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.1%
Riley Neal run for no gain to the Kent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
0.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+2
0.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+22
0.7%
Walker Wood pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 7 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Dayo Odeyingbo) to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
0.6%
Walker Wood run for 8 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandon Maddox) to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
0.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 11
OPP 47
-10
0.5%
[SH], Travis Tisdale rush for 1 yard to the VANDY46 (Jaylen Mahoney;Cameron Tidd), PENALTY UK holding (Jake Pope) 10 yards to the UK43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 21
OWN 43
-5
0.6%
[SH], Walker Wood pass complete to B.J. Alexander for 12 yards to the VANDY45 (Randall Haynie), PENALTY UK illegal formation (Nick Lewis) 5 yards to the UK38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 26
OWN 38
-3
0.6%
Travis Tisdale run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 35Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 29
OWN 35
-5
0.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Naasir Watkins) to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 34
OWN 30
+4
0.7%
Walker Wood run for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 30
OWN 34
0
0.6%
Max Duffy punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
0.7%
Mitchell Pryor run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+16
0.7%
Allan Walters pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan, PENALTY UK pass interference (Jamin Davis) 16 yards to the UK49, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.7%
Allan Walters pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-Mosley, broken up by Jalen GeigerSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
0.7%
Allan Walters pass incomplete to Ben BresnahanSimilar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
0.7%
Allan Walters pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan, broken up by Zach JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:03
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
0.7%
Allan Walters pass incomplete to Mitchell PryorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
50
-1
0.3%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:54
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q2 0:11
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 14 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q3 3:51
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 27 yds for a TD Chance Poore kick attempt good, PENALTY UK false start 5 yards to the VANDY8, NO PLAY. (Chance Poore KICK)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com