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2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:03 · Joseph Charlton punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 47 , Ainias Smith returns for 29 yds to the TexAM 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+23.0Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:03: Seth Small 35 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +1.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:23: Parker White 37 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +1.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:35: Kellen Mond pass complete to Cordarrian Richardson for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +4.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:40: Seth Small 40 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +7.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:13: Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 5 at SC 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:03TA&M 4th & 13 at SC 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    73.1%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:03SC 4th & 19 at SC 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:50TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:23SC 4th & 10 at TA&M 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:35SC 4th & 5 at SC 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:43TA&M 4th & 10 at SC 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:43SC 4th & 9 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:26TA&M 4th & 10 at SC 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−4.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00TA&M 4th & 21 at TA&M 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−3.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:46SC 4th & 13 at SC 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:42TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:07SC 4th & 4 at SC 30, down 10
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:34TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 34, up 10
    Close callPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:42SC 4th & 10 at SC 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:40TA&M 4th & 19 at SC 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−5.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:40SC 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:13SC 4th & 8 at TA&M 23, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−1.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:37SC 4th & 15 at TA&M 25, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:27SC 4th & 19 at TA&M 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 11:35TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:13TA&M Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:37TA&M Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
76.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
76.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 6 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-1
76.7%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
76.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+52
76.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 52 yds , Ainias Smith returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2FG
12 plays · 78 yds · 7:0476% → 75%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
76.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+10
76.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 10 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
76.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+12
76.3%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
76.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 24 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
76.5%
Kellen Mond sacked for loss of 7 yards to the 50 yardline (D.J. Wonnum), fumble by Kellen Mond recovered by TAMU Dan Moore Jr. at TAMU45, PENALTY SC personal foul (T.J. Brunson) 15 yards to the SC28, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
76.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+5
76.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
76.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
76.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 3 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-7
76.5%
Kellen Mond sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 13
OPP 18
+35
75.1%
Seth Small 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
75.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 21 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.9%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-4
75.0%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
75.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 14
OWN 41
-5
75.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Israel Mukuamu) to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 6:03
4TH & 19
OWN 36
+29
75.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 47 , Ainias Smith returns for 29 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
75.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by Kingsley Enagbare and Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+4
75.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
74.9%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
74.5%
Braden Mann punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:4926% → 28%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+41
74.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 41 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
73.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kevin Harris for 11 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
73.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 11 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
72.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
73.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle MarkwaySimilar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
73.5%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
72.0%
Parker White 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4873% → 79%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
73.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 20 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
74.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
74.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
74.0%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
74.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
74.3%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+18
74.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 18 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
78.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Cordarrian Richardson for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.7%
Ryan Hilinski run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
76.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 30 Rico Dowdle fumbled, forced by Buddy Johnson,Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 11:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+46
77.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 36 yds, downed at the TEXASAM 34 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:4177% → 78%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
77.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen WydermyerSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+31
77.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 31 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
78.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
78.6%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
78.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
78.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 6 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
78.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, broken up by Israel MukuamuSimilar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
78.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
78.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
77.9%
Seth Small 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.3%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
77.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chad Terrell for 10 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
76.8%
Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
76.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.8%
Shi Smith pass incomplete to Kyle Markway, broken up by Leon O'Neal Jr.Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
76.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+1
76.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 9
50
0
77.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10FG
14 plays · 77 yds · 3:4678% → 80%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
78.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
78.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
78.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 5 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
78.3%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
77.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, PENALTY SC pass interference (Israel Mukuamu) 6 yards to the TAMU35, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
78.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
50
+13
79.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
79.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+24
79.6%
Kellen Mond run for 24 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
79.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Jammie RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
79.9%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
79.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
80.3%
Seth Small 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:2221% → 20%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad TerrellSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
79.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+10
81.1%
Joseph Charlton run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
80.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chad Terrell for 20 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
81.4%
Isaiah Spiller rush for 10 yards to the TAMU34, out-of-bounds (J.T. Ibe), PENALTY TAMU holding (J Wydermyer) 10 yards to the TAMU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 14
0
81.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 14
+3
81.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 17
+1
80.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 18
-5
79.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Clifford Chattman) to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
79.7%
Braden Mann punt for 51 yds, downed at the SCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
81.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
82.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Devin MorrisSimilar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+23
83.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 58 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 23 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
82.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
82.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
82.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
81.8%
Braden Mann punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
82.8%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+15
83.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 15 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
82.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kevin HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
82.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+56
83.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 46 yds TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding (Travon Fuller) to the TexAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:0683% → 82%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
82.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+5
83.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
83.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
83.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 5 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
82.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Braden Mann punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 16%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad TerrellSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
81.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier Legette, broken up by Keldrick CarperSimilar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
82.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad TerrellSimilar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
83.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FG
18 plays · 67 yds · 7:4083% → 94%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
83.0%
Kellen Mond run for 8 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+2
83.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
83.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
83.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 1 yd to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+26
82.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 26 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
86.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 9 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
86.2%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
85.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
86.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Jared Hocker) to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 15
OPP 41
-5
86.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Jalen Wydermyer) to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+15
86.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 15 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+17
88.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 17 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
88.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-15
88.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 9 yards to the SC1, PENALTY TAMU pass interference (Jhamon Ausbon) 15 yards to the SC25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 25
0
87.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 25
+2
87.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 19
OPP 23
+40
94.2%
Seth Small 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad TerrellSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad TerrellSimilar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:0395% → 99%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+11
95.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 11 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
95.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 14 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
95.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 31 yds to the SCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
98.6%
Ryan Hilinski run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
98.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad TerrellSimilar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
98.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+14
98.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 14 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
98.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
98.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Trey AdkinsSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 8
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle MarkwaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.5%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+75
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 75 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Shi Smith for no gain to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Charles Oliver) to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Chad Terrell for 15 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Trey Adkins for 25 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner sacked by Andre White Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 15
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+12
99.9%
Dakereon Joyner run for 12 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Connor Blumrick run for no gain to the TexAM 12 Connor Blumrick fumbled, forced by Ernest Jones, recovered by SCaro Rick SandidgeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25FG
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:340% → 1%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kevin Harris for 6 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
99.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 4
OPP 6
-15
99.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Shi Smith) to the TexAM 21Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 19
OPP 21
+39
99.3%
Parker White 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
Connor Blumrick run for 3 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.7%
James Foster run for no gain to the TexAM 38 James Foster fumbled, recovered by TexAM James FosterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 12:40
Seth Small 40 yd FG GOOD
+7.1
TD · Q2 11:35
Kellen Mond pass complete to Cordarrian Richardson for 17 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q4 10:13
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com