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UGA

Georgia 21 at Auburn 14

AUB
2019 · Week 12 · Nov 16, 2019 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Arryn Siposs punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Home team on offense−2.1Pregame prior−10.5Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:20: Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 5 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +7.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:13: Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 5 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +7.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:04: Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +8.3 pts (now 13%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:03: Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +22.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:23: Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 35 — UGA win probability +11.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UGA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:18AUB 4th & 3 at UGA 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:20UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18AUB 4th & 12 at AUB 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:54AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:13UGA 4th & 25 at UGA 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−2.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:34AUB 4th & 5 at AUB 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:16UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:05AUB 4th & 1 at UGA 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−2.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:30UGA 4th & 8 at AUB 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:09AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:17UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:40UGA 4th & 15 at UGA 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:19AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:28UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:01AUB 4th & 6 at UGA 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.5%−0.9
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:36UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:40AUB 4th & 13 at UGA 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:11UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:00UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−3.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:05AUB 4th & 5 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.9%−3.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:24AUB 4th & 2 at UGA 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−7.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−9.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:39AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 5:56UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:13UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:04AUB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:03AUB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:3737% → 39%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
37.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 15 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
37.5%
D.J. Williams run for 3 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
37.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+8
37.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 8 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
38.1%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+7
38.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 7 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
38.6%
D.J. Williams run for no gain to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
38.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+7
38.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 7 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
39.1%
Anders Carlson 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5561% → 60%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
38.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
38.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-3
39.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
39.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 67 yds, downed at the Aub 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5240% → 40%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
39.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 11 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
39.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
39.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 2 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-4
39.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 11Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 12
OWN 11
0
39.7%
Arryn Siposs punt for 50 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for no gain to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 1:0460% → 64%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
39.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 6 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+4
39.6%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
36.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 51 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4637% → 37%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.4%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-8
37.6%
Anthony Schwartz run for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+6
37.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 6 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
36.9%
Arryn Siposs punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 3:1763% → 62%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
37.2%
Demetris Robertson run for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
36.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
36.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Matt LandersSimilar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
37.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 11 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
36.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-2
36.0%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-8
36.6%
Jake Fromm sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 20
OWN 38
-5
37.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 0:13
4TH & 25
OWN 33
0
37.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3137% → 36%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
37.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+1
37.2%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 21Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
36.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:34
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
36.4%
Arryn Siposs punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5964% → 64%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
36.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 10 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
35.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Aub 49 D'Andre Swift fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
35.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
36.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9DOWNS
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:5537% → 38%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
37.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 19Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+9
37.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 9 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
37.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
37.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 9 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
38.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 5 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
38.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
37.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 9 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
39.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
39.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz, broken up by DJ DanielSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
39.1%
Bo Nix run for 7 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
38.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-13
38.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 13 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3065% → 65%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
34.7%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-1
34.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
33.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick Blaylock, broken up by Javaris DavisSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
34.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1635% → 34%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
35.3%
D.J. Williams run for 4 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 10
-1
35.4%
Bo Nix run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 9Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
34.5%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
34.1%
Arryn Siposs punt for 51 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for no gain to the Geo 9 GEORGIA Penalty, Targeting (Otis Reese) to the Geo 25. Reese ejected.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4365% → 64%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.9%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
34.6%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
35.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
36.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:4235% → 37%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
35.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 2 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+28
35.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 28 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
37.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
36.5%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+10
34.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 10 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
36.7%
Bo Nix run for 7 yds to the Geo 37 Bo Nix fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2068% → 66%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
31.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
30.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
30.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Brian Herrien, broken up by Javaris DavisSimilar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 5
OWN 42
-5
31.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 10
OWN 37
-5
33.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 15
OWN 32
+24
33.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 63 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 24 yds to the Aub 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1933% → 32%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
33.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
33.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
32.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
31.5%
Arryn Siposs punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 0:5868% → 81%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
32.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+16
31.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 16 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
29.9%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Jackson, Kearis, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (McCreary, Roger) 7 yards to the GEORGIA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
29.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 13 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
28.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 26 yds to the Aub 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
28.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds to the Aub 8Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
27.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 3 yds to the Aub 5Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
19.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 5 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
22.4%
D.J. Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3278% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
21.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
21.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:2423% → 21%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
22.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 7 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
23.4%
D.J. Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
22.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 2 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
23.0%
D.J. Williams run for 7 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
23.4%
D.J. Williams run for 4 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
22.8%
D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+5
22.4%
Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-2
21.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
20.7%
Arryn Siposs punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1982% → 82%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
17.7%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+1
17.3%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 5Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
17.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 5
+6
17.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 59 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 6 yds to the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5620% → 18%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
19.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
20.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
20.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-3
19.5%
Bo Nix sacked by Tyrique Stevenson for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
18.0%
Arryn Siposs punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 6:2285% → 97%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
15.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+9
15.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
14.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+30
13.5%
Brian Herrien run for 15 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Marlon Davidson) to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
13.0%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
12.7%
Kearis Jackson run for 9 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
12.3%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
11.4%
James Cook run for 1 yd to the Aub 28Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+13
11.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 13 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
10.7%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY AUBURN personal foul (Bryant, Big Kat) 8 yards to the AUBURN7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+2
10.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 5 yds for a TD (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:014% → 13%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Aub 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
4.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 9 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
4.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 3 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
3.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 7 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
3.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 5
50
+25
3.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 25 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
3.7%
Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
4.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
3.6%
Eli Stove run for 1 yd to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
3.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+4
3.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 4 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+6
3.1%
Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Wilson, Jay Jay, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Stokes, Eric) 6 yards to the GEORGIA3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q4 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:4495% → 95%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
5.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
5.3%
Demetris Robertson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
5.4%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-5
5.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Channing Tindall) to the Geo 16Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+13
5.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 54 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 13 yds to the Aub 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 0:578% → 31%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
7.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 24 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
9.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 14 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
9.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 9 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+8
9.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 8 yds to the Geo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
31.3%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5881% → 81%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Eli WolfSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
17.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Kearis Jackson, broken up by Roger McCrearySimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
18.9%
Jake Camarda punt for 47 yds, downed at the Aub 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:3123% → 23%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
22.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 9 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+8
24.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 8 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
23.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 8 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-3
26.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Bo Nix fumbled, recovered by Aub JaTarvious Whitlow , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 5
50
0
24.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 5
50
+8
22.1%
Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
26.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 3 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
26.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
25.8%
Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
22.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Harold JoinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0989% → 91%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
11.1%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
10.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
8.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for no gain to the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:2014% → 12%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
14.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
13.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to JaTarvious WhitlowSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
12.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 10
OWN 27
-5
11.6%
Bo Nix sacked by Travon Walker for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:0596% → 95%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 23
-2
4.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 13
OPP 25
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:03
Bo Nix run for 2 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+22
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:23
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 35
-11.6
TD · Q4 10:04
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 3 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com