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APP

App State 20 at South Carolina 15

SC
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:51 · Joseph Charlton punt for 58 yds, downed at the AppSt 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Home team on offense−5.4Pregame prior+10.9Garbage-time factor−2.3Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 8:29: Chandler Staton 47 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +3.0 pts (now 36%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:51: Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted for a TD Nicholas Ross return for 20 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +13.6 pts (now 49%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:08: Parker White 50 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +4.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:10: Zac Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +19.3 pts (now 70%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:58: Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SC win probability +26.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 13APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 1 at APP 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51SC 4th & 8 at APP 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    66.8%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:51APP 4th & 1 at SC 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:10APP 4th & 23 at SC 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:22SC 4th & 3 at APP 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00APP 4th & 7 at SC 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:09SC 4th & 5 at SC 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:29APP 4th & 8 at SC 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:29SC 4th & 7 at SC 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:46APP 4th & 1 at APP 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:51SC 4th & 10 at SC 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:33APP 4th & 4 at APP 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.5
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:08SC 4th & 7 at APP 32, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:10SC 4th & 11 at SC 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:56APP 4th & 8 at APP 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−2.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00SC 4th & 10 at APP 35, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:19APP 4th & 8 at SC 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−1.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:06SC 4th & 5 at SC 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:40APP 4th & 10 at APP 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:23SC 4th & 15 at APP 39, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:45APP 4th & 2 at APP 12, up 5
    Close callPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:50SC 4th & 18 at midfield, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:19SC 4th & 15 at APP 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    12.0%−2.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 1:51APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:10APP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:58SC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    18.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    18.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FG
17 plays · 52 yds · 6:0970% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
70.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
70.4%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-1
70.4%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+5
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier Legette, PENALTY APP offside (Taylor, D.) 5 yards to the SC41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+11
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
70.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
70.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
70.4%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+9
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski run for 9 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
70.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+2
70.4%
Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
70.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Desmond FranklinSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
70.1%
Parker White 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:4130% → 31%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
69.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 5
50
0
69.5%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 5
50
+4
69.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+22
69.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Collin Reed for 22 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
69.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+9
69.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
69.2%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 12Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
69.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-16
69.4%
Zac Thomas sacked by Ernest Jones for a loss of 16 yards to the SCaro 23 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Zac Thomas) to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+40
68.8%
Chandler Staton 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:4869% → 69%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
68.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 19 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
69.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
69.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+29
69.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Trey Adkins for 29 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
69.8%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 18Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+4
69.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 4 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+7
69.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 7 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
69.3%
Parker White 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:2231% → 31%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
69.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 24 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
68.0%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 0
0
67.4%
Williams, Marc. rush for 1 yard to the SC45 (T.J. Brunson;Ernest Jones), PENALTY SC personal foul off-setting, PENALTY APP personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-2
67.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Raykwon Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
67.9%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
69.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
68.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
68.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 5 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
68.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Trey Adkins, broken up by Desmond FranklinSimilar
Q2 14:09
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
67.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 49 yds, downed at the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:1232% → 36%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
68.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
67.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
67.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 3
50
+6
67.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
67.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 8 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+4
67.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
66.5%
Malik Williams pass incomplete to Zac Thomas SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
66.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
67.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
64.4%
Chandler Staton 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
66.9%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Akeem Davis-Gaither) to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
68.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
68.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
67.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
66.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
63.6%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+13
64.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 13 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
63.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
63.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-1
63.1%
Zac Thomas sacked by Javon Kinlaw and Sherrod Greene for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+8
64.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 8 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
63.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4965% → 51%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
65.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
65.1%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+20
51.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted for a TD Nicholas Ross return for 20 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
53.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Jay Urich for 11 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
54.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
53.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Jay UrichSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
53.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
51.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 58 yds, downed at the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1249% → 47%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
51.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
51.2%
Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 4
OWN 7
0
51.9%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
52.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds , Xavier Legette returns for no gain to the SCaro 44 Xavier Legette fumbled, recovered by SCaro Xavier Legette SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:1353% → 53%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
52.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 8 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
54.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 5 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle Markway, broken up by D'Marco JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
48.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+6
46.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
47.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
46.8%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+1
48.1%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Ernest Jones return for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2253% → 56%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
53.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
53.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
51.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for no gain to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+50
56.2%
Parker White 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:5849% → 70%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
50.7%
Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Williams, Malik, QB hurry by Daniel Fennell, PENALTY APP ineligible downfield on pass (Hunter, Baer) 5 yards to the SC44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+10
51.4%
Raykwon Anderson run for no gain to the SCaro 44 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding (Rick Sandidge) to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+4
49.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
49.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
49.3%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+23
49.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 23 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
49.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 2 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.9%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
34.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
34.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 4 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+14
34.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
36.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Trey Adkins for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 6
50
+1
37.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-1
36.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 6
50
-5
34.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Cam Smith) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
32.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
30.5%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 11Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
30.6%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Corey SuttonSimilar
Q3 3:56
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+4
31.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q3 3:56
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
32.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 57 yds, downed at the SCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 31 yds · 2:1728% → 25%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
28.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+11
27.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chad Terrell for 11 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
29.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+10
29.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 10 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
31.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-5
28.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+12
26.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 12 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
29.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, PENALTY APP pass interference (Jean-Charles, S) 5 yards to the APP35, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
30.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jordan Fehr for a loss of 10 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 45
-5
27.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Sadarius Hutcherson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 25
50
0
26.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chad Terrell, broken up by Shemar Jean-CharlesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 25
50
+15
25.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 15 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-6
24.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Akeem Davis-Gaither for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
19.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
19.2%
Darrynton Evans run for 7 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
19.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-5
19.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA 48 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+6
20.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
21.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Xavier Legette at the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
16.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico Dowdle, broken up by Demetrius TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
15.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+2
14.8%
Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+4
14.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 59 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
12.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+3
12.7%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
13.3%
Jalen Virgil run for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 5
OWN 34
-5
13.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Baer Hunter) to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
13.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 2:0311% → 33%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
10.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Dakereon Joyner) to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+7
10.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 7 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
10.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 10 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
11.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
11.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier Legette (Jean-Charles, S), PENALTY APP pass interference (Jean-Charles, S) 6 yards to the SC40, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
12.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 9 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
13.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier Legette, broken up by Shemar Jean-CharlesSimilar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
12.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 2 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
13.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 15 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
15.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle Markway, broken up by Akeem Davis-GaitherSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
15.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Akeem Davis-GaitherSimilar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
13.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Dakereon Joyner, broken up by Nicholas RossSimilar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 10
OPP 34
-5
6.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Sadarius Hutcherson) to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 15
OPP 39
+16
6.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 16 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
32.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:1385% → 85%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
15.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 8
-5
14.8%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 3Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+9
14.8%
Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
15.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24END OF GAME
17 plays · 36 yds · 1:4418% → 14%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
18.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
17.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 8 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+5
18.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted by Thomas, Josh at the APP11, Thomas, Josh return to the APP41 (Xavier Legette), PENALTY APP offside (Davis-Gaither) 5 yards to the APP42, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
20.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-8
19.4%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by SCaro Ryan Hilinski , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 18
50
0
16.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle Markway, broken up by D'Marco JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 18
50
+20
15.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 20 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
23.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
20.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
18.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Desmond FranklinSimilar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
16.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 0:19
4TH & 15
OPP 35
+26
9.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 26 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
17.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete (Blackstock, G.), PENALTY SC holding (Dylan Wonnum) 10 yards to the APP19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
13.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:58
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+26.5
TD · Q3 7:10
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
-19.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-13.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com