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TENN

Tennessee 17 at Kentucky 13

UK
2019 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2019 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:42 · Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh Ali
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−3.0Garbage-time factor−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score differential−1.6Pregame prior−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:03: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 17 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +14.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 6:28: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +16.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:23: Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43 — TENN win probability +15.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:44: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 36 — UK win probability +17.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:17: Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 7 — TENN win probability +21.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00UK 4th & 1 at TENN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:42TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:28TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UK 4th & 1 at UK 36, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:19TENN 4th & 3 at UK 9, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.3%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:10UK 4th & 2 at TENN 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.0%−1.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:29TENN 4th & 3 at UK 47, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:25UK 4th & 1 at TENN 40, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:56UK 4th & 12 at UK 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:30UK 4th & 6 at TENN 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:42UK 4th & 3 at TENN 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−3.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:11UK 4th & 2 at TENN 2, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−12.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−29.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:42UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:28UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:03TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:28TENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 10:1848% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.8%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
47.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
47.8%
Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 49
-4
47.8%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+7
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the KENTUCKY 48 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
47.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Asim Rose for no gain to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+3
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
47.8%
Sawyer Smith run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+7
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
50.3%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
50.7%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Tenn 2Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.7%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds for a TD (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
53.5%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Ty Chandler for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 22Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
53.7%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
53.9%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:42
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
54.2%
Paxton Brooks punt blocked by Joshua Paschal blocked by Joshua PaschalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:4656% → 61%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
55.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
61.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 22 yds for a TD (Chance Poore PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.5%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
58.4%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
58.8%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
59.0%
Paxton Brooks punt for 57 yds, downed at the Kent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1961% → 62%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
61.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+4
61.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
61.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
61.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+2
62.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
62.2%
Max Duffy punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:5339% → 40%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
60.9%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
50
0
59.4%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
50
0
60.0%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 10
50
+17
60.2%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Josh Palmer for 17 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
58.7%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
58.7%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+14
59.4%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Josh Palmer for 14 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
58.5%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-15
58.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 22
OPP 28
+2
59.3%
Brian Maurer run for 2 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 20
OPP 26
+17
60.0%
Brian Maurer run for 17 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
59.7%
Brent Cimaglia 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:0960% → 65%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.0%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+26
59.8%
Asim Rose run for 26 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
61.8%
Asim Rose run for no gain to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
61.7%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+2
61.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+3
63.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
65.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass intercepted Nigel Warrior return for 24 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
63.7%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
62.6%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Yusuf CorkerSimilar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
63.3%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Jamari BrownSimilar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
64.2%
Paxton Brooks punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:1665% → 71%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+21
64.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 21 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.1%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
65.7%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+12
65.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
66.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
66.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
68.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
70.7%
Max Duffy punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:1631% → 32%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
68.6%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 34 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
66.1%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
67.5%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 6 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
67.4%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Quandre MoselySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+15
68.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5732% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
68.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding (Joshua Paschal) to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+33
66.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 33 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
64.2%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-5
66.8%
[SHOT], Guarantano,J. pass complete to Wood-Anderson for 22 yards to the UK0, clock 13:37, PENALTY UT ineligible downfield on pass (Pope,A.) 5 yards to the UK27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
67.3%
Jauan Jennings pass incomplete to Austin PopeSimilar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+11
68.7%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 11 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
66.8%
Brian Maurer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17 Brian Maurer fumbled, recovered by Tenn Brian MaurerSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
52.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 17 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
58.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
58.5%
Asim Rose run for no gain to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
57.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 18Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+5
56.4%
Max Duffy punt for 55 yds , Eric Gray returns for 5 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:2643% → 64%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
57.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 19 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
54.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 19 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
53.2%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
53.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 3 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+12
54.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
52.8%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
36.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:5843% → 43%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.9%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
43.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
41.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
43.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+18
46.6%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
47.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
49.6%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
47.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 1:30
4TH & 6
OPP 32
-6
43.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. sacked by Matthew Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1265% → 62%
Q3 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
34.6%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 36 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+3
36.6%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
34.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+55
37.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds , Josh Ali returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 38 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Drew Schlegel) to the Kent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 0:0040% → 43%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
39.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+12
39.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
40.7%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 23 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
44.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-10
44.3%
[SHOT], Rodriguez,Chris rush for 12 yards to the UT42 (Solomon,A.), PENALTY UK holding (Rigg,Justin) 10 yards to the UK36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 18
OWN 0
0
39.5%
PENALTY UK unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY UT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 18
OWN 36
+4
40.7%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+15
39.9%
[SHOT], Bowden,Lynn pass incomplete to Ali,Josh (Bituli,D.), PENALTY UT personal foul (Butler,M.) 15 yards to the UT45, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
45.8%
Josh Ali run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-8
45.7%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 15
50
+12
40.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 3
OPP 38
0
43.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
28.1%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-2
27.7%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 45 Ty Chandler fumbled, recovered by Kent Marquan McCallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:3345% → 34%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
44.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
45.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
47.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+2
47.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+3
44.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
47.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
47.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q4 7:44
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+6
44.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
47.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
42.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
37.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the Tenn 1Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
37.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 2Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
34.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19END OF GAME
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0988% → 89%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
12.3%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+10
12.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 10 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
9.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 16Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+5
11.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:17
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 7
-21.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:44
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 36
+17.1
TD · Q3 6:28
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
-16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com