Try the model
UTSA

UTSA 14 at Texas A&M 45

TA&M
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Kyle Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:03 · Lucas Dean punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 7 yds to the TexAM 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+14.7Home team on offense+36.9Score differential+29.7Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+15.0Blowout margin+16.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:22: Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.5 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:05: Isaiah Spiller run for 60 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:22: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:25: Isaiah Spiller run for 50 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:25: Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26TA&M 4th & 14 at TA&M 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:01UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:17TA&M 4th & 1 at UTSA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 13 at TA&M 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:50TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:23UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:48TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:55UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:58UTSA 4th & 4 at TA&M 46, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:57TA&M 4th & 1 at UTSA 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:25UTSA 4th & 16 at UTSA 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:19UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:03TA&M 4th & 17 at UTSA 27, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:03UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 36, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:53TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:22UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:05TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:03TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:22TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:25TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:25TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:19TA&M Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:53UTSA Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
98.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Dywan Griffin for 10 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
98.9%
Sincere McCormick run for 11 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.9%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-3
98.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
98.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-6
98.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by Cassius Grady for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 14
OWN 12
0
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 14
OWN 12
+4
98.7%
Braden Mann punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 33 , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for 4 yds to the TexSA 16 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:372% → 2%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.5%
Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 34Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+5
98.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for 5 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+15
98.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 15 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+44
98.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 44 yds to the TexAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the TexAM 2Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.0%
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
98.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 60 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
98.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 15 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 31 yds, downed at the TexAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:1498% → 98%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
98.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 17 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
98.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 8 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
98.1%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
98.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
98.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.1%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 7 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
98.1%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+7
98.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 19 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:032% → 2%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
97.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 18 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
97.8%
Sincere McCormick run for 6 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
97.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+8
97.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for 8 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Gavin Sharp, broken up by Clifford ChattmanSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-3
97.7%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by DeMarvin Leal and Tyree Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
97.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
97.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 9 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+2
97.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
97.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 16 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for no gain to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 6 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
97.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
97.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+9
97.6%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
97.7%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
97.6%
Braden Mann punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kirk Johnson Jr. at the TexSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:243% → 4%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
96.8%
NARCISSE, L. sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UTSA8 (Micheal Clemons), PENALTY TAMU face mask (Micheal Clemons) 15 yards to the UTSA29, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
96.8%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-3
96.8%
Lowell Narcisse sacked by Justin Madubuike for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+13
96.9%
Lowell Narcisse run for 13 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+1
96.8%
Lowell Narcisse run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
96.7%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+11
96.8%
Lowell Narcisse run for 11 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
96.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brenden Brady for 2 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-4
95.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
96.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, downed at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-8
96.0%
Kellen Mond sacked by Eric Banks for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+10
95.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 10 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Braden Mann punt for 55 yds , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for no gain to the TexSA 18 Kirk Johnson Jr. fumbled, recovered by TexSA Kirk Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:505% → 4%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
95.5%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+4
95.6%
Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+5
95.5%
Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+18
95.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 36 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 18 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:1696% → 97%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
95.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 10 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
95.7%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+25
95.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 25 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:3597% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
97.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+13
97.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 13 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
97.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 1
50
+50
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 50 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
98.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
98.7%
Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+13
98.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for 13 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.6%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Carlos Strickland IISimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
98.7%
Lowell Narcisse run for 6 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 4:5099% → 100%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+6
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+42
99.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 42 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
99.1%
Cordarrian Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 37Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+7
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 7 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
99.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
99.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 21 yds to the TexSA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 8 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Dywan GriffinSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Dywan GriffinSimilar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 5 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jordan Weeks run for no gain to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-9
99.9%
Jordan Weeks sacked by Keldrick Carper for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 34 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Lucas Dean punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+20
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 20 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+35
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 35 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 11 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexSA 1Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Dywan GriffinSimilar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-3
100.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+17
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Carlos Strickland II for 17 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 13:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jordan Weeks run for no gain to the TexSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FG
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Zach Calzada run for 1 yd to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+15
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Dylan Wright, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (GRADY, Cassius) 15 yards to the UTSA20, 1ST DOWN TAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
99.9%
Zach Calzada run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete, broken up by Baylen BakerSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 13
OPP 23
-4
99.9%
Zach Calzada sacked by Andrew Martel for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+45
99.9%
Seth Small 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
Sincere McCormick run for 12 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
100.0%
Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Dywan GriffinSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 45 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 7 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22INT TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Kam Brown for 20 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Glenn Beal for 2 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-5
100.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+58
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass intercepted for a TD Dadrian Taylor return for 58 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Zach Calzada run for 8 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Kam Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 57 yds , Kirk Johnson Jr. returns for 1 yd to the TexSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+20
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 20 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
100.0%
Jordan Weeks sacked by Mitchell Howard for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 26 Jordan Weeks fumbled, recovered by TexSA Treyvion Shannon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 22
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
BRADY, Brenden rush for 2 yards to the UTSA28 (Derick Hunter), PENALTY TAMU substitution infraction 5 yards to the UTSA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 17
OWN 31
-4
100.0%
Jordan Weeks pass intercepted Erick Young return for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Connor Blumrick run for 5 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:25
Isaiah Spiller run for 50 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 0:22
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 7 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q1 8:22
Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com