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VAN

Vanderbilt 7 at South Carolina 24

SC
2019 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2019 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior+36.6Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:16: Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 26 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +4.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:50: Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 20 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +4.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:38: Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +5.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:16: Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down — SC win probability +8.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:39: Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 25 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +7.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 9 at SC 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 7 at SC 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    25.6%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:49SC 4th & 2 at SC 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:37VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:50VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:12VAN 4th & 23 at VAN 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56SC 4th & 25 at VAN 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:34VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:20SC 4th & 1 at VAN 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%−2.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−7.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18SC 4th & 4 at VAN 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−9.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:18VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:59SC 4th & 2 at VAN 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:16VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:50SC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:38SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:39SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
86.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
86.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Tae DaleySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
86.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
86.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 6:0614% → 18%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
86.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+2
86.1%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+10
86.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to C.J. Bolar, PENALTY SC holding (Israel Mukuamu) 10 yards to the VANDY33, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
86.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 9 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
86.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
86.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 5
50
-2
86.0%
Riley Neal sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+5
86.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to J SheltonMosley, PENALTY SC offside (Israel Mukuamu) 5 yards to the SC47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
86.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
86.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Bostic for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
86.0%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
86.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for 8 yards to the SC25 (Ernest Jones), PENALTY SC offside (Daniel Fennell) 5 yards to the SC28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
86.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+26
82.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 26 yds for a TD (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 66 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
82.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
82.8%
Josh Vann run for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+9
83.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
83.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
83.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
83.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
83.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+19
83.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 19 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
83.3%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Vandy 9 Mon Denson fumbled, forced by Elijah McAllister, recovered by Vandy Elijah McAllisterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:4320% → 23%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
80.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 12 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
80.2%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 8 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+7
79.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
79.8%
Justice Shelton-Mosley run for 3 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Ernest Jones) to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
79.4%
Keyon Brooks run for 6 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
79.4%
Keyon Brooks run for 2 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
0
76.4%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete, broken up by Israel MukuamuSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
76.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
76.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
77.4%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
77.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 8 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
77.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+5
78.0%
Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-1
78.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
77.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justice Shelton-Mosley at the Vandy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
75.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
75.5%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 2 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
75.8%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 12:37
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
76.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:0576% → 81%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
75.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
75.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
76.3%
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
76.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+14
76.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 14 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
77.1%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-10
77.1%
Kevin Harris rush for 3 yards to the VANDY20 (Dashaun Jerkins), PENALTY SC illegal block (OrTre Smith) 10 yards to the VANDY33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 16
OPP 33
+13
76.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
81.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 20 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
77.4%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to C.J. Bolar for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+3
77.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
78.0%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 9
OWN 23
0
78.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:3079% → 86%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
79.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 10 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-10
79.6%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the SCaro 41 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+17
78.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 17 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
80.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to OrTre Smith for 5 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
80.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+14
80.7%
Ryan Hilinski run for 14 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
81.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 8 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+9
81.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.2%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
81.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+9
80.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.1%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 1:2616% → 15%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
83.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 10 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
83.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-1
82.3%
Deuce Wallace sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-20
82.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 36 VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Ke'Shawn Vaughn) to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 23
OWN 21
0
84.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 60 yds, downed at the SCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
82.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
82.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+18
83.4%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 18 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
81.8%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
82.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
81.5%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James Bostic, broken up by Javon KinlawSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+1
82.9%
Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 1 yd to the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
15 plays · 43 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
82.9%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the SCaro 12Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+13
82.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
83.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
84.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-1
84.6%
OrTre Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 43Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+17
83.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
84.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 8 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+2
85.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-14
85.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Ryan Hilinski for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 34 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal forward pass (Ryan Hilinski) to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 24
OPP 44
+6
84.0%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 18
OPP 38
-4
83.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the Vandy 32 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Markway) to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 22
OPP 42
+2
83.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 20
OPP 40
-5
82.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 25
OPP 45
0
82.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Justice Shelton-Mosley at the Vandy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
81.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 18
-6
81.6%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 12Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+6
82.7%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Chris Pierce for 6 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+35
83.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 48 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 35 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
86.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 9 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
86.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle MarkwaySimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
85.6%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 3:20
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
84.6%
Kevin Harris run for no gain to the Vandy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
81.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 8 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
79.5%
Keyon Brooks run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+1
81.2%
Deuce Wallace pass intercepted R.J. Roderick return for 1 yd to the Vandy 31 VANDERBILT Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:5889% → 90%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
89.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
89.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-1
89.3%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+11
88.5%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
90.8%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Vandy 6Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.8%
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
90.2%
Parker White 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
89.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
88.5%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
89.2%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+17
90.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 17 yds to the SOCAROLINA 45 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Deshaun Fenwick) to the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:4890% → 98%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
90.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+18
89.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 18 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
90.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+14
90.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 14 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
91.0%
Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+7
91.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
91.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
91.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-4
90.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+25
97.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 25 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
97.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+5
97.0%
Deuce Wallace pass intercepted T.J. Brunson return for 5 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
98.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 13
OPP 21
-4
98.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 17
OPP 25
+18
98.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 18 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
98.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the Vandy 2Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.2%
Dakereon Joyner run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Vandy 2Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.0%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
98.3%
Keyon Brooks run for 11 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.2%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to C.J. Bolar for no gain to the Vandy 12Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
98.3%
Keyon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+4
98.3%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 4 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:16
Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down
+8
TD · Q4 6:39
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 25 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+7.1
TD · Q2 1:38
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com