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MSST

Mississippi State 30 at Texas A&M 49

TA&M
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMSST aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMSST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:20 · Tucker Day punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Home team on offense+7.1Pregame prior+20.6Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:28: Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 32 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK) — MSST win probability +4.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:20: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 19 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +5.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:34: Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 16 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +7.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:37: Jace Christmann 33 yd FG GOOD — MSST win probability +4.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:20: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 52 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +7.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 3MSST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MSST 4th & 7 at MSST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:56TA&M 4th & 6 at MSST 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:18MSST 4th & 10 at MSST 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:20MSST 4th & 14 at MSST 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:26TA&M 4th & 1 at MSST 48, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:34MSST 4th & 1 at TA&M 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−1.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37MSST 4th & 9 at TA&M 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−2.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:26TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:28MSST 4th & 5 at MSST 43, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MSST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:50TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:10TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:28MSST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:20TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:34TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:20TA&M Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:48MSST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:17TA&M Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:26MSST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:00TA&M Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:49MSST Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
79.6%
Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
79.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete, broken up by Aaron HansfordSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
79.6%
Tucker Day punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 10 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+13
79.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
79.4%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the MisSt 49Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
79.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 2 yds to the MisSt 47Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
79.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete, broken up by Jarrian JonesSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
79.4%
Braden Mann punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
78.6%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
78.7%
Kylin Hill run for no gain to the MisSt 10Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-5
78.7%
Garrett Shrader rush for 25 yards to the MS35 (Andre White Jr.), PENALTY MS holding (Tommy Champion) 5 yards to the MS5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+5
78.8%
Kylin Hill run for 5 yds to the MisSt 10Similar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
78.8%
Tucker Day punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:2179% → 80%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
78.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+24
78.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 24 yds to the MisSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
78.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
78.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 11 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.7%
Isaiah Spiller rush for loss of 2 yards to the MS3 (M. Spencer), PENALTY MS offside defense (Tim Washington) 0 yards to the MS1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.1%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 5INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.5%
Nick Gibson run for 5 yds to the MisSt 30Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
79.3%
Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.2%
Garrett Shrader run for no gain to the MisSt 38Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+16
79.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 1 yd to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
78.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete, broken up by Elijah BladesSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
78.9%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
79.2%
Garrett Shrader pass intercepted Devin Morris return for no gain to the TexAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:0880% → 84%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
80.1%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
79.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+5
79.6%
MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MisSt 49Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
79.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 6 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
80.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 44Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+21
80.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 21 yds to the MisSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
80.3%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the MisSt 18Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
80.3%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
80.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 6 yds to the MisSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
84.2%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4218% → 23%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.5%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Farrod Green for 4 yds to the MisSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+36
82.5%
Kylin Hill run for 36 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
81.6%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+32
77.0%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 32 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0879% → 85%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
79.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 10 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
80.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+7
80.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 7 yds to the MisSt 46Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
79.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
80.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 14 yds to the MisSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
80.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the MisSt 19Similar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
80.3%
Kellen Mond run for 25 yds to the MisSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
85.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 19 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
83.4%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Chauncey RiversSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
83.5%
Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 21Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-7
83.6%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Devin Morris for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 14Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 14
OWN 14
0
83.8%
Tucker Day punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
85.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 6 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
85.7%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
85.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
84.9%
Braden Mann punt for 41 yds, downed at the MisSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
84.9%
Nick Gibson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 19 Nick Gibson fumbled, forced by Demani Richardson, recovered by TexAM Debione RenfroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:5486% → 93%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
85.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 16Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
85.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney Davis, broken up by C.J. MorganSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+16
93.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 16 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 13FG
19 plays · 63 yds · 4:578% → 11%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
91.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 9 yds to the MisSt 31Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
91.2%
Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.5%
Garrett Shrader pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+18
91.7%
Kylin Hill run for 18 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.1%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete, broken up by Clifford ChattmanSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
91.4%
Garrett Shrader run for 11 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
91.1%
Kylin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
91.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+8
91.4%
Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
91.0%
Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-8
90.5%
Garrett Shrader sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 35 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 18
OPP 35
+19
91.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Farrod Green for 19 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
90.5%
Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-1
92.5%
Kylin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
93.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Kylin HillSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+33
88.9%
Jace Christmann 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.6%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:4090% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
89.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+15
89.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 15 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
97.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 52 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 16TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:324% → 7%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.1%
Kylin Hill run for 4 yds to the MisSt 30Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+10
95.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 10 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
95.9%
Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the MisSt 42Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
95.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 3 yds to the MisSt 45Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+25
96.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 25 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
96.3%
Kylin Hill run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+14
96.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 14 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.2%
Kylin Hill run for no gain to the TexAM 14Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
96.2%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell, broken up by Leon O'Neal Jr.Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
92.7%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 14 yds for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:3195% → 99%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
95.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 14 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
95.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+2
95.2%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 1
50
+4
95.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
95.2%
Kellen Mond run for 16 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
95.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Dan Moore Jr.) to the MisSt 35Similar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+4
95.2%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 31Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+7
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 7 yds to the MisSt 24Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+15
95.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 15 yds to the MisSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
95.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the MisSt 4Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 18TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 3:511% → 4%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
99.0%
Kylin Hill run for 3 yds to the MisSt 24Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
99.0%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus MitchellSimilar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+5
99.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the MisSt 29Similar
Q3 0:34
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+6
99.3%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+39
99.4%
Kylin Hill run for 39 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.1%
Garrett Shrader run for 6 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+7
99.0%
Garrett Shrader run for 7 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.1%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Deddrick Thomas for 4 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+8
99.0%
Kylin Hill run for 8 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 1
OPP 0
0
99.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the TexAM 1Similar
Q4 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
Kylin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jace Christmann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
97.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+4
97.6%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
97.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (Carson Green) to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
97.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Braden Mann punt for 58 yds , Isaiah Zuber returns for no gain to the MisSt 15 Isaiah Zuber fumbled, recovered by MisSt Isaiah ZuberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 27 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+25
97.2%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Stephen Guidry for 25 yds Stephen Guidry fumbled, forced by Myles Jones, recovered by TexAM Keldrick CarperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
10 plays · 42 yds · 5:0698% → 100%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 39Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
98.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the MisSt 36Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
98.3%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the MisSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
98.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 27Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
98.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 24Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
98.3%
Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the MisSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
98.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 13 yds to the MisSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.3%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 2Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 22TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:110% → 1%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 13 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Austin Williams, broken up by Clifford ChattmanSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
99.8%
MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (LaQuinston Sharp) to the MisSt 33Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Austin WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+10
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Austin Williams for 10 yds to the MisSt 43Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 6 yds to the MisSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Garrett Shrader run for 5 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+12
99.8%
Kylin Hill run for 12 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Austin Williams, broken up by Clifford ChattmanSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Isaiah ZuberSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+14
99.8%
Garrett Shrader run for 14 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-10
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell, PENALTY MS holding (L. Sharp) 10 yards to the TAMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 20
OPP 30
-8
99.8%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Kylin Hill for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 28
OPP 38
+38
99.3%
Garrett Shrader pass complete to Isaiah Zuber for 38 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.4%
Connor Blumrick run for 11 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
Connor Blumrick run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:34
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 16 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q3 13:20
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 52 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 10:20
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 19 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com