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South Carolina 21 at Tennessee 41

TENN
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:41 · Ryan Hilinski run for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Home team on offense+29.3Score differential+21.2Pregame prior−1.5Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:34: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 48 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +13.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:10: Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:16: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 19 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +15.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:07: J.T. Shrout pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 55 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +16.4 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:21: Brent Cimaglia 31 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +9.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 13
  1. Q1 14:49TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:20SC 4th & 4 at SC 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19TENN 4th & 6 at SC 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:19SC 4th & 14 at SC 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TENN 4th & 1 at SC 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:50SC 4th & 14 at SC 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50SC 4th & 4 at TENN 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:57TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:16SC 4th & 1 at TENN 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−2.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    39.0%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:50TENN 4th & 5 at SC 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−8.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:50SC 4th & 21 at SC 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−4.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:10SC 4th & 15 at SC 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:07SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:43TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 29, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.9 ptsPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:15SC 4th & 2 at TENN 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−3.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.8%−4.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:21TENN 4th & 6 at SC 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−6.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:41SC 4th & 6 at SC 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:41SC 4th & 17 at TENN 45, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:21TENN 4th & 12 at midfield, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:02SC 4th & 4 at SC 26, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:11SC 4th & 25 at TENN 45, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:49SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:16SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:34TENN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:10SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:16TENN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:07TENN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
42.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 75 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.3%
Jauan Jennings run for 11 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
42.3%
Jennings,J. pass complete to Callaway,M. for 33 yards to the SC31 (T.J. Brunson), PENALTY UT ineligible downfield on pass (Kennedy,B.) 5 yards to the UT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
42.3%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
42.3%
Jauan Jennings run for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
42.3%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 14:49
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
42.3%
Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
42.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+1
42.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 1 yd to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
42.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
42.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:0042% → 43%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
42.1%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
42.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 5 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+12
42.3%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
42.5%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+9
42.5%
Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
42.6%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OPP 28
-1
42.6%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
42.5%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
43.4%
Brent Cimaglia 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
43.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Jovaughn Gwyn) to the SCaro 20Similar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
43.1%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
43.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Bryce ThompsonSimilar
Q1 7:19
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
43.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
43.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 57 yds, downed at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6DOWNS
18 plays · 77 yds · 6:3243% → 45%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
43.1%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
43.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 10 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
43.2%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 11
OWN 33
0
43.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+13
42.7%
Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
44.0%
Guarantano,J. pass incomplete to Jordan,T., PENALTY UT holding (Tatum,M.) 10 yards to the UT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+2
43.1%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+19
43.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 19 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.2%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
44.1%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+26
43.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 26 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
44.5%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
44.5%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
45.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
46.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
46.0%
Tim Jordan run for 6 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
45.2%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 9 yds · 3:2756% → 49%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
44.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 3
-1
44.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+12
44.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 12 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
43.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
43.8%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-8
44.4%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+65
51.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 55 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 65 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
48.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
48.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle MarkwaySimilar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
48.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 12 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
47.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
47.6%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
47.9%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
48.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 35 yds, downed at the Tenn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
51.4%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-5
51.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 4Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 14
OWN 4
0
51.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer TENNESSEE Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+6
50.3%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+6
49.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 44 , Bryan Edwards returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10TD
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:2351% → 59%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
49.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick Muse, broken up by Daniel BituliSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
49.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+4
49.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
48.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Shawn ShamburgerSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+16
48.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 16 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
48.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, PENALTY UT roughing passer (Middleton,D.) 9 yards to the UT8, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
48.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (4 Yards) to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
48.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.9%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4243% → 56%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
42.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 27 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
56.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 48 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:2447% → 63%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
52.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 10 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
52.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+17
50.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
49.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
49.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+19
49.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 19 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
48.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
48.8%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 19Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+18
49.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 18 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.3%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
36.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
42.0%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:1043% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
42.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 48 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
47.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 6 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-1
47.9%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
46.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
43.9%
Brent Cimaglia 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
41.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-5
40.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
41.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-9
42.2%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 16
OWN 16
-5
43.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (R.J. Roderick) to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 21
OWN 11
+7
43.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 44 yds , Eric Gray returns for 7 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:3046% → 61%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
46.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Eric GraySimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+22
45.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 22 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
48.2%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+8
48.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 8 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
48.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-4
48.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Princeton Fant for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+19
61.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 19 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
58.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (Ryan Hilinski) to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 15
OWN 10
0
58.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
58.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh Vann, broken up by Shawn ShamburgerSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 15
OWN 10
-5
59.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 5Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+5
60.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 5 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
60.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 58 yds, downed at the Tenn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 2:0661% → 79%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
60.8%
Jauan Jennings run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
61.0%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
63.0%
Jauan Jennings run for 1 yd to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+55
79.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 55 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
77.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
77.0%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
78.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.3%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
79.1%
Tim Jordan run for 3 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
78.3%
J.T. Shrout run for 6 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
78.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
80.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 13 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
79.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 24 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
77.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+7
77.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 7 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
77.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
78.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Darrell TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:1283% → 93%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.6%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+37
84.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 37 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
84.5%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
84.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Israel MukuamuSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
84.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Marquez Callaway for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+5
84.1%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
93.1%
Brent Cimaglia 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:409% → 2%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
90.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
91.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+29
98.4%
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Daniel Bituli return for 29 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Darrell TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
98.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to OrTre Smith for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
50
+7
98.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 7 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
98.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
98.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-7
98.3%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Deandre Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 17
OPP 45
+10
98.4%
Ryan Hilinski run for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.7%
Jauan Jennings run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+15
98.8%
Ty Chandler run for 15 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
98.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Austin Pope) to the Tenn 46Similar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 16
OWN 46
+4
98.8%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 12
50
+4
98.8%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+1
98.8%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 7
OPP 45
-5
98.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 12
50
0
98.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26DOWNS
17 plays · 46 yds · 2:511% → 1%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 11 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 0
-10
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski rush for 2 yards to the SC22, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SC holding (K. Enagbare) 10 yards to the SC10, NO PLAY, PENALTY SC holding declined.Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+6
99.3%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+10
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+5
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 15 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 14 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 5 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
99.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 5
OPP 0
-15
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh Vann, PENALTY UT offside defense (Bennett,K.) 5 yards to the UT30, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY, PENALTY SC unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the UT45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 25
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Deandre JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 25
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 25
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 25
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 42Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:07
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 55 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+16.4
TD · Q3 8:16
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 19 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+15.9
TD · Q2 2:34
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 48 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com