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MIZ

Missouri 7 at Kentucky 29

UK
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Tucker McCann punt for 49 yds , Josh Ali returns for 9 yds to the Kent 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−22.6Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:03: Asim Rose run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT MISSED) — UK win probability +15.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:44: Chance Poore 43 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +8.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:10: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +14.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:40: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 74 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +13.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:49: Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 20 — UK win probability +13.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:38UK 4th & 1 at UK 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:29MIZ 4th & 10 at UK 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:49MIZ 4th & 8 at UK 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:27MIZ 4th & 17 at MIZ 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:08UK 4th & 1 at MIZ 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.5%−1.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:03MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 44, down 12
    Close callPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44UK 4th & 5 at MIZ 25, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−6.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UK 4th & 8 at UK 27, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:10MIZ 4th & 12 at UK 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    23.4%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:13UK 4th & 5 at UK 9, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:27MIZ 4th & 2 at UK 17, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−1.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−9.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UK 4th & 6 at UK 22, up 15
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:25MIZ 4th & 1 at UK 49, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:41UK 4th & 10 at UK 46, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:25MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 30, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:15UK 4th & 7 at UK 42, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 12:27UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:03UK Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:10UK Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:40MIZ Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:25UK Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
27.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
27.4%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Joshua Paschal for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+9
27.4%
Tucker McCann punt for 49 yds , Josh Ali returns for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
28.0%
Asim Rose run for 6 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-6
28.1%
Clevan Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+9
28.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
28.0%
Max Duffy punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3MISSED FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:5571% → 68%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
29.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+3
29.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
29.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
29.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
29.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+8
29.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 8 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
29.0%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+13
29.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 13 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
28.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 14 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
28.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
28.7%
Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
28.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
28.6%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 8
OPP 25
-10
28.8%
[SHOT], Bryant, Kelly rush for 10 yards to the UK15, out-of-bounds (Jordan Wright), PENALTY MU holding (Durant, Yasir) 10 yards to the UK35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+8
29.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 8 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+45
31.9%
Tucker McCann 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
32.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+4
32.3%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+15
32.1%
[SHOT], Lynn Bowden pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner, PENALTY MU pass interference (Ware, Jarvis) 15 yards to the UK48, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
33.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
33.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Misso 49 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Markell Utsey, recovered by Misso DeMarkus AcySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
31.8%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
32.0%
[SHOT], Bryant, Kelly pass complete to Johnson, J. for 8 yards to the UK43 (Jordan Griffin), PENALTY UK holding (Jamari Brown) 9 yards to the UK42, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
31.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
31.7%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
31.9%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
32.6%
Tucker McCann punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 3:3834% → 43%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
34.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+4
34.3%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
34.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
34.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 9 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+44
35.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 44 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
36.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 18 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
39.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
40.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 6 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-7
40.4%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 18 Kelly Bryant fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+18
41.1%
Tucker McCann punt for 45 yds , Josh Ali returns for 18 yds to the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 4:0545% → 59%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
45.2%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+10
45.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 10 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
45.3%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-2
45.3%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+9
44.5%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Ali for 9 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
43.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
59.2%
Asim Rose run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Dawson Downing for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
55.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 8 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
55.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
56.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Dawson Downing for 7 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
55.6%
Tucker McCann punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:4460% → 69%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
59.9%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
59.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+46
59.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 46 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
61.3%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
61.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 1 yd to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
60.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
69.4%
Chance Poore 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
69.3%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 20 Kelly Bryant fumbled, recovered by Kent Jordan Wright , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:1273% → 89%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
73.2%
[SHOT], Lynn Bowden rush for no gain to the MU20 (Elliott, Jordan), PENALTY MU personal foul (Elliott, Jordan) 10 yards to the MU10, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
88.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
84.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.1%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
86.0%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
85.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
84.9%
Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:4515% → 28%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
85.0%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
85.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+74
71.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 74 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:2973% → 72%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
73.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
72.9%
Clevan Thomas Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
71.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 44 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Tyree Gillespie, recovered by Misso Joshuah Bledsoe , return for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 27%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
69.1%
[SHOT], Scott, Kam rush for no gain to the UK44 (Jamar Watson), PENALTY MU holding (Borom, Larry) 10 yards to the MU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+6
71.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Kam Scott for 6 yds Kam Scott fumbled, forced by Brandin Echols, recovered by Misso Yasir DurantSimilar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 22
OWN 44
+10
73.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 10 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
70.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
73.0%
Tucker McCann punt for 42 yds, downed at the Kent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
75.9%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 5Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+4
75.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
74.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Bryce Oliver, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
74.1%
Max Duffy punt for 70 yds, downed at the Misso 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 62 yds · 0:0022% → 25%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
78.4%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tyler BadieSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
78.9%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+15
79.1%
[SHOT], Powell, Taylor pass incomplete to Nance, Jonathan, PENALTY UK pass interference (Jamari Brown) 15 yards to the MU39, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
76.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+3
74.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
50
+9
75.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Kam Scott for 9 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
74.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
74.9%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
75.3%
Taylor Powell run for 13 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
73.1%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-5
73.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Tre'Vour Wallace-Simms) to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+8
74.7%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Jalen Knox for 8 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+3
74.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 2
OPP 17
0
75.0%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:2489% → 99%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
88.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
89.5%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+1
89.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+26
88.4%
Max Duffy run for 26 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
90.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Jamin Davis) to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
90.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 0
+34
89.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 34 yds to the KENTUCKY 34 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
90.7%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-1
90.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
98.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 33 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 17 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
97.9%
[SHOT], Powell, Taylor pass incomplete to Badie, Tyler, PENALTY MU ineligible downfield on pass (Nance, Jonathan) 5 yards to the MU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
98.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+12
98.1%
Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
98.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
97.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 46 Larry Rountree III fumbled, forced by Chris Oats, recovered by Kent Jordan GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
99.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+4
98.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-9
98.8%
Max Duffy punt 38 yards to the MU7, fair catch by Floyd, Richaud, PENALTY UK holding (Drew Schlegel) 9 yards to the UK46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
98.8%
Max Duffy punt for 47 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for no gain to the Misso 7 TEAM fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:371% → 1%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
99.0%
Dawson Downing run for 7 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 14
0
99.0%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dawson Downing, broken up by Kordell LooneySimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+16
99.2%
Dawson Downing run for 16 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.1%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Dawson Downing for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Tyler Badie, broken up by J.J. WeaverSimilar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.2%
Tucker McCann punt for 44 yds , Josh Ali returns for 2 yds to the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.5%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
99.5%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
99.5%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Asim Rose run for no gain to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.5%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Max Duffy punt for 51 yds, downed at the Misso 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.6%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:03
Asim Rose run for 20 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT MISSED)
+15.4
TD · Q2 0:10
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)
+14.3
TD · Q3 12:40
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 74 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-13.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com