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ARK

Arkansas 7 at Alabama 48

ALA
2019 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2019 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:10 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:03: Henry Ruggs III 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — ALA win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:34: Jerry Jeudy 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — ALA win probability +1.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:25: Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — ALA win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:57: Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick) — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:20ARK 4th & 8 at ALA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:53ALA 4th & 8 at ARK 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:41ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 34, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:27ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 4, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:55ARK 4th & 10 at ARK 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 20, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:36ALA 4th & 10 at ARK 12, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:56ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 45, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:26ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 39, up 48
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:32ALA 4th & 5 at ARK 5, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:15ARK 4th & 9 at ARK 6, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:03ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:34ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:25ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:57ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:07ALA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:38ALA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:52ARK Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:252% → 3%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
97.7%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 28Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+22
97.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
50
0
97.6%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
50
+2
97.5%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q1 12:28
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
97.5%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Devwah WhaleySimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
97.5%
Sam Loy punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:1297% → 97%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
97.4%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+14
97.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 14 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.3%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
97.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 6 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
97.1%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
97.1%
Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
97.1%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
97.0%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for no gain to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+8
96.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 8 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
96.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
96.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ark 14Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
96.7%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+1
96.6%
Mac Jones run for 1 yd to the Ark 13Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
96.6%
Joseph Bulovas 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:254% → 4%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Treylon Burks for 15 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
96.3%
John Stephen Jones pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
50
+9
96.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+37
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Alab Christian Harris , return for 37 yds to the Ark 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.9%
Henry Ruggs III 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:403% → 4%
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon HarrisSimilar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
96.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 15 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
96.4%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 46Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
96.3%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Anfernee Jennings return for no gain to the Ark 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:3697% → 98%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.6%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
96.5%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Ark 41Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+20
96.4%
Najee Harris run for 20 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
96.5%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Ark 14Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
97.5%
Jerry Jeudy 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:363% → 3%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
97.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
97.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 34Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
97.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:41
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
97.3%
Sam Loy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:0198% → 98%
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
97.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+47
97.5%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 47 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
97.5%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs IIISimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
97.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 14Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+13
97.5%
Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 13 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:452% → 2%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
98.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 4Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 8
OWN 4
0
98.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trey KnoxSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
98.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 8
OWN 4
0
98.1%
Sam Loy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Ark 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:1398% → 99%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
98.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 24 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
98.4%
Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 18 yds to the Ark 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.4%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Ark 1Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:382% → 1%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
98.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
98.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds to the Ark 35Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+10
99.0%
Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to O'Grady, Cheyenne, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the ARKANSAS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to De'Jon HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Devwah WhaleySimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Sam Loy punt for 38 yds, downed at the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0799% → 99%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.2%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-3
99.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Alab 27 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jerry Jeudy) to the Alab 17Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 1 yd to the Alab 18Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+2
99.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 2 yds to the Alab 20Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Ty Perine punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ark 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:061% → 1%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 30Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+3
99.4%
Treylon Burks run for 3 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+24
99.4%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Patrick Surtain II return for 24 yds to the Ark 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
99.5%
Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Ark 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.5%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for no gain to the Ark 12Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
99.6%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
99.6%
Najee Harris run for no gain to the Ark 12Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
99.5%
Joseph Bulovas 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15INT TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 12 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+7
99.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
99.6%
Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to Harris, De'Jon, PENALTY ALABAMA personal foul 15 yards to the ALABAMA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.6%
T.J. Hammonds run for 7 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
99.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+84
99.6%
Trevon Diggs 84 Yd Interception Return (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
99.7%
Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.7%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
99.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+40
99.8%
Jerry Jeudy 40 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
99.7%
John Stephen Jones sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+12
99.8%
John Stephen Jones pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 12 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
John Stephen Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Sam Loy punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:24100% → 100%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 22Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 2 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+8
99.8%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.8%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 9 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jahleel BillingsleySimilar
Q3 7:26
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Ty Perine punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ark 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 7:240% → 0%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
John Stephen Jones run for 6 yds to the Ark 21Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-2
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 22Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
99.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
John Stephen Jones run for 12 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.9%
John Stephen Jones pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+5
99.9%
John Stephen Jones run for 5 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
John Stephen Jones pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 9 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
John Stephen Jones pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 19Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 10 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.9%
John Stephen Jones run for 1 yd to the Alab 8Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Cheyenne O'Grady 8 Yd pass from John Stephen Jones (Connor Limpert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21DOWNS
16 plays · 89 yds · 9:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to John Metchie for 5 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-1
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 21Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 6 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+37
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 37 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Keilan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Ark 35Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+15
99.9%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 15 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+2
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Ark 13Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+5
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 3Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Ark 3Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
100.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 5Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
100.0%
Taulia Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Tyrell ShaversSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
100.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 8Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+1
100.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 9Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 6
OWN 9
-3
100.0%
John Stephen Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 6Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 9
OWN 6
0
100.0%
Sam Loy punt for 52 yds, downed at the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+4
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
100.0%
Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:34
Jerry Jeudy 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)
+1
TD · Q1 4:03
Henry Ruggs III 14 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Joseph Bulovas Kick)
+0.8
TD · Q2 12:25
Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Joseph Bulovas Kick)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com