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MIZ

Missouri 14 at Vanderbilt 21

VAN
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:27 · Tucker McCann punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior−40.6Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:06: Mo Hasan pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 61 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +9.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:44: Mo Hasan pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 8 yds to the Vandy 28 — VAN win probability +12.7 pts (now 55%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:37: Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +34.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:57: Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK) — VAN win probability +30.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. MISSED FG · Q4 6:00: Tucker McCann 48 yd FG MISSED — VAN win probability +11.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:27MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:28VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 13, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:23MIZ 4th & 12 at VAN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:06VAN 4th & 14 at VAN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:16MIZ 4th & 1 at VAN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:14MIZ 4th & 22 at VAN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:59VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:56MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:54VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:01MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:45VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:54VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:29MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−3.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:46MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:00MIZ 4th & 12 at VAN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−3.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−6.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:04VAN 4th & 5 at MIZ 15, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−2.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 12:00VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:03MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:06VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:37MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:57VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
9.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
9.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
9.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
9.7%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
9.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+3
9.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 3 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
9.7%
Tucker McCann punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
10.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
10.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 10
OWN 5
+8
10.4%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 8 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+6
10.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 45 , Cade Musser returns for 6 yds to the Misso 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
11.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 10 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
11.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-9
11.2%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Cameron Tidd for a loss of 9 yards to the VANDERBILT 46 MISSOURI Penalty, intentional grounding (Kelly Bryant) to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 19
OWN 46
+7
11.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 7 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
11.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Justice Shelton-Mosley at the Vandy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
12.0%
Mo Hasan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+12
12.0%
Mo Hasan run for 12 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
12.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
12.0%
Mo Hasan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-1
12.0%
Mo Hasan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
11.8%
Mo Hasan pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan ElliottSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+2
11.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 45 yds , Cade Musser returns for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6MISSED FG
16 plays · 41 yds · 4:0287% → 85%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
13.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+5
13.3%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+15
13.3%
[SH], Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Scott, Kam, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Tae Daley) 15 yards to the MU42, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
13.0%
Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
12.8%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
12.8%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
12.8%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
13.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
12.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
12.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 11 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
12.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
12.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-5
14.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Johnathon Johnson) to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 15
OPP 25
-7
14.3%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Lashawn Paulino-Bell for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 1:14
4TH & 22
OPP 32
+50
15.3%
Tucker McCann 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:1416% → 23%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+34
15.7%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 34 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
17.1%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Jared Pinkney for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+3
17.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+15
17.1%
[SH], Mo Hasan pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, PENALTY MU pass interference (Ware, Jarvis) 15 yards to the MU17, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
17.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 21
-1
17.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+21
16.6%
Mo Hasan run for 21 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.5%
Mo Hasan pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn, broken up by Ronnell PerkinsSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5078% → 83%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
21.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 16 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
21.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-3
20.7%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+55
21.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Kam Scott for 55 yds to the Vandy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
19.7%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Vandy 4Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
16.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 4 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
20.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
20.4%
Mo Hasan pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
19.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 28 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
19.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
19.0%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
19.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
19.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Dimitri MooreSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
20.1%
Tucker McCann punt for 51 yds, downed at the Vandy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
21.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
23.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
23.2%
Mo Hasan sacked by Cameron Wilkins and Akial Byers for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 14
OWN 41
-10
22.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for 2 yards to the VANDY43 (Bledsoe, J.;Ware, Jarvis), PENALTY VANDY holding (Jared Pinkney) 10 yards to the VANDY31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 24
OWN 0
0
21.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 24
OWN 31
+12
21.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 12 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+4
21.5%
Mo Hasan run for 4 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
21.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 14 yds, downed at the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
20.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
21.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
22.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance, broken up by Elijah McAllisterSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+31
23.1%
Tucker McCann punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 39 , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 31 yds to the VANDERBILT 31 VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Lashawn Paulino-Bell) to the Vandy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
35.9%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 61 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14END OF HALF
10 plays · 19 yds · 1:1265% → 61%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
34.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
32.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 6 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
33.1%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 17 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
32.3%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+5
34.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-15
36.2%
[SH], Bryant, Kelly pass complete to Okwuegbunam, A. for 9 yards to the VANDY35 (Jaylen Mahoney;Allan George), PENALTY MU personal foul (Wallace-Simms) 15 yards to the MU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 25
OWN 41
+3
38.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the Misso 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
36.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
37.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
38.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 58 yds for a 1ST down , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 3 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
40.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Cole Clemens) to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 15
OWN 23
0
40.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 23Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+1
40.0%
Mo Hasan run for 1 yd to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+8
38.9%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Chris Pierce for 8 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
38.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17INT
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:1858% → 58%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
42.3%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+12
42.3%
Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
41.4%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
41.9%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+12
42.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 12 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
39.4%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+26
38.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 26 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
36.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
37.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+5
39.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Vandy 14Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+5
46.4%
McCann, Tucker field goal attempt from 32 MISSED - wide right,, clock 07:21, PENALTY VANDY roughing the kicker (Tae Daley) 5 yards to the VANDY9, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
42.2%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Vandy 9Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
42.2%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted, touchback. Allan George return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5055% → 53%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
54.9%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 8 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-2
56.0%
Mo Hasan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
53.8%
Mo Hasan pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 2 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+44
52.8%
Harrison Smith punt for 44 yds , Cade Musser returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0048% → 44%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
52.0%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
51.4%
[SH], Bryant, Kelly rush for 7 yards to the MU37 (Dashaun Jerkins), PENALTY MU holding (Borom, Larry) 10 yards to the MU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 17
OWN 20
0
53.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Dawson DowningSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+6
54.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 11
OWN 26
0
55.8%
Tucker McCann punt for 56 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for no gain to the Vandy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20INT
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:0059% → 63%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+21
59.1%
Mo Hasan run for 6 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Jalen Knox) to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
61.9%
Keyon Brooks run for 5 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+42
62.7%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Cameron Wilkins return for 42 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
28.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3739% → 39%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
40.9%
Riley Neal run for 6 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
40.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
40.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
38.7%
Harrison Smith punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cade Musser at the Misso 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0063% → 60%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
37.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 6 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+3
37.1%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+4
37.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
36.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
36.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
38.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Albert Okwuegbunam, broken up by Anfernee OrjiSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+16
40.1%
Tucker McCann punt for 54 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 16 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:3144% → 81%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
44.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
44.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+15
43.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 15 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
49.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 9 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Markell Utsey) to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
50.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
50.5%
Keyon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+21
81.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:5727% → 21%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
72.9%
Kelly Bryant run for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (Dimitri Moore) to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
67.5%
[SH], Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Nance, Jonathan (BJ Anderson), PENALTY VANDY pass interference (BJ Anderson) 7 yards to the VANDY42, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
67.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Kam Scott for 14 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
64.3%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-3
64.3%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-2
68.1%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Andre Mintze for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 12
OPP 30
+48
79.5%
Tucker McCann 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 26DOWNS
17 plays · 55 yds · 5:5685% → 97%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
85.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
85.2%
Riley Neal run for 8 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
86.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 9 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
87.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
92.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
92.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Elliott) to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+1
92.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+2
95.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+5
94.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Elliott) to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
95.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Misso 20Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
95.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+1
95.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 15
0
96.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:37
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-34
TD · Q4 8:57
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)
+30.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:44
Mo Hasan pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 8 yds to the Vandy 28
+12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com