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UK

Kentucky 0 at Georgia 21

UGA
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:29 · Max Duffy punt for 69 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+38.7Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. SACK · Q2 8:00: Lynn Bowden Jr. sacked by Quay Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 47 — UK win probability +3.1 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:26: Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 38 — UK win probability +3.3 pts (now 19%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:20: D'Andre Swift 39 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +12.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:02: D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down — UGA win probability +3.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:54: Brian Herrien 8 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +6.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UK made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 12:13UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:34UK 4th & 4 at UK 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:49UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:03UK 4th & 12 at UGA 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:51UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:29UK 4th & 3 at UK 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:02UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:15UK 4th & 7 at UK 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:19UGA 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:38UK 4th & 5 at UGA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:03UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:18UK 4th & 16 at UGA 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:09UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:31UK 4th & 15 at UK 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−3.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:42UK 4th & 8 at UGA 8, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−4.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:58UGA 4th & 4 at UK 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:32UK 4th & 12 at UGA 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q3 6:20UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:54UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:24UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0995% → 94%
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
94.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
94.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
94.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
94.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 2 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
94.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:286% → 7%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
94.2%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
94.1%
Josh Ali run for 3 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.9%
Asim Rose run for no gain to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
93.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Justin Rigg) to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+11
93.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
93.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 4
OWN 36
+7
93.3%
Max Duffy punt for 53 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for 7 yds to the Geo 43 GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Prather Hudson) to the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2293% → 93%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
93.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 3 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 12
-1
93.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 11Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 8
OWN 11
0
92.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q1 6:49
4TH & 8
OWN 11
+19
92.7%
Jake Camarda punt for 54 yds , Josh Ali returns for 19 yds to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:348% → 8%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
92.5%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
92.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Asim RoseSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+7
92.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
92.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Logan Stenberg) to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-5
92.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
92.4%
Max Duffy punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4992% → 92%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
92.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
92.1%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+2
91.9%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
91.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:118% → 9%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
91.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
91.2%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
91.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas Jr.Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
91.3%
Max Duffy punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:0191% → 90%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
91.3%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
91.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 0:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
91.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 4 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
91.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 4 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
91.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
90.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+1
90.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 16
OWN 36
0
89.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 16
OWN 36
0
89.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2611% → 11%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
89.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
89.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
88.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
89.1%
Max Duffy punt for 58 yds, downed at the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:3789% → 89%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
89.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 22 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
89.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
89.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Kearis JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
89.2%
Jake Fromm run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 1
50
0
89.0%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2214% → 14%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
85.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. sacked by Quay Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+8
86.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 8 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
85.3%
Josh Ali pass incomplete to Keaton UpshawSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
85.9%
Max Duffy punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 5:0288% → 84%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
87.5%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+20
87.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 20 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
87.2%
Jake Fromm run for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 25 Jake Fromm fumbled, recovered by Geo Jake FrommSimilar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+23
86.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 23 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
87.5%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 49Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 49
-10
87.2%
Herrien, Brian rush for 6 yards to the KENTUCKY45, PENALTY GEORGIA holding 10 yards to the GEORGIA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 19
OWN 39
+6
86.0%
Jake Fromm run for 6 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
85.4%
Jake Fromm run for no gain to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
84.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5017% → 19%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
82.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 17Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+6
82.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+4
82.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
81.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:0819% → 21%
Q3 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
80.7%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+9
79.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
78.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 11 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
78.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 11 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
76.6%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+3
76.0%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-10
76.2%
Bowden Jr., Lynn rush for 7 yards to the GEORGIA20, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding 10 yards to the GEORGIA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 16
OPP 37
0
77.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 16
OPP 37
0
79.1%
Max Duffy punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5080% → 77%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
80.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+2
79.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 8:41
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
78.2%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 6
OWN 17
-6
77.1%
Jake Camarda punt for 48 yds , Josh Ali returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 29 Josh Ali fumbled, recovered by Kent Brandin EcholsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3124% → 23%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
76.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
76.5%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-10
75.8%
Bowden Jr., Lynn rush for 5 yards to the KENTUCKY39, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding 10 yards to the KENTUCKY24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
76.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q3 6:31
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
77.5%
Max Duffy punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
90.2%
D'Andre Swift 39 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2914% → 13%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
85.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
87.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 31 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by J.R. Reed, recovered by Geo Richard LeCounte , return for 1 yd to the Kent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 2:0891% → 96%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
91.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
91.0%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
89.8%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+4
89.7%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.4%
Brian Herrien 8 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:346% → 5%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
93.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+30
93.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 21 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (DJ Daniel) to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
93.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Geo 8Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Christopher Rodriguez Jr.Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
14 plays · 92 yds · 8:0096% → 100%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+24
96.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
96.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 13 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
96.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+14
96.8%
Brian Herrien run for 14 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
97.1%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 6
OPP 31
-5
97.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kent 36Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+6
97.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+1
97.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 9:58
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+7
96.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
97.3%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+8
97.3%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Kent 3Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
D'Andre Swift 3 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 4:381% → 1%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
Asim Rose run for 15 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 9 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.4%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Asim RoseSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+8
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 8 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 8 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-10
99.3%
Bowden Jr., Lynn pass incomplete to Wagner, Ahmad, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Horsey, Kenneth) 10 yards to the GEORGIA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Bryce OliverSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
3 plays · -9 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 16
OWN 28
-3
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:20
D'Andre Swift 39 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+12.7
TD · Q3 1:54
Brian Herrien 8 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)
+6.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:02
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com