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TENN

Tennessee 13 at Alabama 35

ALA
2019 · Week 8 · Oct 19, 2019 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:25 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:54: Brent Cimaglia 37 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +0.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 9:02: Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:32: Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +0.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:55: Slade Bolden pass complete to Miller Forristall for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q4 7:21: Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, recovered by Alab Trevon Diggs , return for 100 yds, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — ALA win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:27TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:30TENN 4th & 9 at ALA 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:00ALA 4th & 17 at ALA 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:44TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:32ALA 4th & 6 at ALA 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:32TENN 4th & 15 at ALA 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:43TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 35, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:24ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 37, up 15
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:20TENN 4th & 20 at TENN 15, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:29ALA 4th & 1 at TENN 7, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:22ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:21TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:35ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:02ALA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:55ALA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:222% → 2%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
97.9%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
97.8%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 3 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
97.8%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 8
OWN 17
-5
97.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 13
OWN 12
+13
97.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 36 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 13 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:0098% → 98%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+19
97.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 19 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
97.7%
Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-5
97.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+13
97.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Bryce Thompson) to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.6%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:023% → 3%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.5%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
97.5%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.4%
Brian Maurer pass intercepted Jared Mayden return for 4 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4INT
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:1598% → 97%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
97.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 14 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
97.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+9
97.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 9 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+15
97.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 15 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+59
97.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass intercepted Nigel Warrior return for 59 yds to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:073% → 4%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
97.1%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-1
97.0%
Brian Maurer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+20
96.9%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Josh Palmer for 20 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
96.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Alab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
96.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+18
96.7%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 18 yds to the Alab 3Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
96.6%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Alab 2Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
96.0%
Brian Maurer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4096% → 97%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.2%
Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.2%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
96.1%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
96.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 18 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
96.0%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 4:414% → 5%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Wanya Morris) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
96.3%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 16 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
96.1%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
96.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 8 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
95.8%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+33
95.7%
Tim Jordan run for 33 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
95.3%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+13
95.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
95.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Darnell Wright) to the Alab 10Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.2%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Alab 10Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
95.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (K'Rojhn Calbert) to the Alab 20Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
0
95.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 20
0
95.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 0
OPP 20
+37
94.6%
Brent Cimaglia 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4595% → 96%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Miller Forristall for 14 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+48
94.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 48 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
94.9%
Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+8
94.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 8 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+7
94.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 7 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Daniel Bituli) to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.1%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:184% → 4%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
95.6%
Tim Jordan run for 11 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trevon Diggs) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
50
0
95.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Austin PopeSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
50
0
95.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 10
50
+1
95.4%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Alab 49Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
95.6%
Paxton Brooks punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 3:2096% → 95%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
95.6%
Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Greg Emerson for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 16Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+5
95.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 5 yds to the Alab 21Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+13
95.0%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 13 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.2%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
95.2%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Major TennisonSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-10
95.0%
Mac Jones sacked by Jaylen McCollough for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 27Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 17
OWN 27
0
94.7%
Will Reichard punt for 33 yds, downed at the Tenn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:045% → 5%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
94.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
94.8%
Tim Jordan run for 7 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-3
94.5%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
94.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 1:3895% → 95%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
95.0%
Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.0%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
94.9%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+15
94.6%
Najee Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
95.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 21 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.3%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Miller ForristallSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
95.2%
Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 8 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+41
95.1%
Joseph Bulovas 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0895% → 94%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
94.7%
Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 6Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+3
94.6%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 9Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+4
94.3%
Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 4 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
94.1%
Ty Perine punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:216% → 8%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
93.9%
Ty Chandler run for 25 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.3%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
93.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 9 yds to the Alab 21Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
93.3%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
92.8%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Alab 17Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
92.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+10
93.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 10 yds to the Alab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
92.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wanya Morris) to the Alab 17Similar
Q3 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
0
92.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+2
92.7%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
0
93.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q3 8:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
92.5%
Brent Cimaglia 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:2493% → 97%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.6%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
92.5%
Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+15
92.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Darrell Taylor) to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.2%
Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
93.3%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+12
92.9%
Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
93.9%
Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
93.9%
Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+9
93.8%
Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
93.8%
Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 6Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.1%
Slade Bolden pass complete to Miller Forristall for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:004% → 4%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
95.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Xavier McKinney) to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
95.2%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
95.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 5
OWN 43
-8
95.2%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Terrell Lewis for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 2:43
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Joe Doyle punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0997% → 97%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-10
97.0%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jedrick Wills Jr.) to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+4
96.9%
Mac Jones run for 4 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+22
96.8%
Ty Perine punt for 51 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 22 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18FUMBLE TD
16 plays · 66 yds · 7:544% → 1%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.8%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
95.7%
Jauan Jennings run for 1 yd to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+13
95.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 13 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
95.5%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 5
OPP 42
0
95.3%
Tim Jordan run for no gain to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+8
95.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 8 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
95.3%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 11
OPP 35
-5
95.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Darnell Wright) to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+6
95.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 6 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+15
96.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
95.5%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Alab 11Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+9
95.5%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Alab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.4%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 3Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
95.4%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Alab 2Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.9%
Quavaris Crouch run for 1 yd to the Alab 1Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 0
OPP 1
+100
99.2%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, recovered by Alab Trevon Diggs , return for 100 yds, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (J.T. Shrout) to the Tenn 27Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-12
99.5%
J.T. Shrout sacked by Terrell Lewis for a loss of 12 yards to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+22
99.5%
Joe Doyle punt for 45 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 22 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+6
99.5%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+4
99.6%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
99.6%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
99.6%
Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:55
Slade Bolden pass complete to Miller Forristall for 6 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+3.3
FUMBLE · Q4 7:21
Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, recovered by Alab Trevon Diggs , return for 100 yds, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 9:02
Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com