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UNLV

UNLV 34 at Vanderbilt 10

VAN
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-4.4VAN 14.0%Daniel Gutierrez 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 27 - HOME 10 · Q4 14:56
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:56 · Daniel Gutierrez 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+9.5Home team on offense−32.2Score differential−15.8Garbage-time factor−8.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:45: Charles Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +3.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:05: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 63 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +5.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:39: Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UNLV win probability +11.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:56: Daniel Gutierrez 29 yd FG GOOD — UNLV win probability +4.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:44: Chad Magyar run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) — UNLV win probability +6.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 5:41VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.9%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:52UNLV 4th & 4 at VAN 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:58VAN 4th & 6 at UNLV 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:28VAN 4th & 5 at UNLV 29, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−2.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:33VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UNLV 4th & 4 at VAN 39, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    51.6%−2.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:49VAN 4th & 13 at UNLV 35, down 14
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:25UNLV 4th & 6 at midfield, up 14
    Close callPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:56UNLV 4th & 10 at VAN 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−2.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−11.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:29UNLV 4th & 6 at VAN 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:44VAN 4th & 4 at VAN 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:28UNLV 4th & 2 at VAN 23, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:07VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:26VAN 4th & 7 at UNLV 48, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:22UNLV 4th & 1 at VAN 43, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:10VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:45UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:05UNLV Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:39UNLV Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:44UNLV Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:5084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by Evan AustrieSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
83.9%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+53
83.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 53 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
83.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+11
83.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Bostic for 11 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+11
83.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:2516% → 20%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.7%
Charles Williams run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
83.6%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
83.6%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+1
83.6%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the UNLV 38Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+11
83.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 11 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
83.6%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
83.5%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+26
83.5%
Chad Magyar run for 26 yds to the Vandy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
83.4%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
83.4%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+8
83.5%
[SH], OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to WOODS JR., D., PENALTY VANDY personal foul (Kenny Hebert) 8 yards to the VANDY8, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
83.4%
Kenyon Oblad run for 3 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.1%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
81.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
81.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
81.2%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
81.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Bostic for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
81.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+11
80.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Bostic for 11 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
81.2%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5822% → 23%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
78.3%
Chad Magyar run for 5 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+9
78.2%
Chad Magyar run for 9 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
78.1%
Tyleek Collins run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
78.0%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
77.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Steve JenkinsSimilar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
77.1%
Daniel Gutierrez 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:4978% → 77%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+43
77.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 43 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
79.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
79.2%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the UNLV 28Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
78.7%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James Bostic, broken up by Greg FrancisSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
77.3%
Ryley Guay 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 6TD
2 plays · 72 yds · 0:5324% → 29%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
76.1%
Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+63
70.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 63 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:3170% → 71%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
70.0%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
69.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+10
70.0%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 10 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
70.9%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+19
70.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 19 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
71.8%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
71.8%
Keyon Brooks run for 5 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
71.1%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+48
70.9%
Ryley Guay 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:4230% → 48%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
69.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 19 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
68.3%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 45Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+17
68.3%
Chad Magyar run for 17 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
68.0%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Tyleek Collins, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
68.1%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+14
68.3%
Tyleek Collins run for 14 yds to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
67.8%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+10
63.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 10 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
63.5%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
63.5%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.8%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
54.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
54.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 6 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
55.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
55.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam Johnson, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
55.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
54.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to James Bostic, broken up by Jericho FlowersSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
54.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:3051% → 54%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
48.7%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 32Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+1
48.7%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the UNLV 33Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+5
46.1%
Chad Magyar run for 5 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.8%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Randal Grimes) to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
46.1%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+16
46.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 16 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
44.3%
Chad Magyar run for no gain to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
44.6%
Chad Magyar run for 1 yd to the UNLV 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+15
45.0%
[SH], OBLAD, Kenyon pass incomplete to BEAN, Noah, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Anfernee Orji) 15 yards to the VANDY45, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
43.7%
Chad Magyar run for 4 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
43.7%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
44.1%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 0
0
45.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
45.6%
Hayes Hicken punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
39.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+34
39.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 34 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
42.7%
Justice Shelton-Mosley run for 8 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+2
43.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
43.5%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-3
43.3%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 35Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 13
OPP 35
0
41.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 13
OPP 35
0
40.2%
Harrison Smith punt for 26 yds, downed at the UNLV 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
30.9%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Jamaal Neal for 14 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
30.6%
Kenyon Oblad run for 8 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
30.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
30.3%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 12 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
28.6%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
28.7%
Chad Magyar run for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
28.7%
Chad Magyar run for no gain to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-5
30.8%
UNLV Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 6
50
+14
30.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 36 yds , Justice Shelton-Mosley returns for 14 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0026% → 28%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 6 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+8
26.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 8 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
27.9%
Keyon Brooks run for 11 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
28.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+44
28.4%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Javin White return for 44 yds to the Vandy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5682% → 86%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
17.7%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the Vandy 11Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
17.7%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
18.5%
Kenyon Oblad pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
14.0%
Daniel Gutierrez 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
19.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 5 yds to the UNLV 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
19.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+25
19.1%
Riley Neal sacked by Rayshad Jackson and Javin White for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 40 Riley Neal fumbled, recovered by UNLV Nate Neal , return for 0 yards , return for 25 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 17TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:2189% → 98%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
11.1%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
11.2%
Charles Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+5
11.4%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 5 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+8
10.2%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 8 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
8.6%
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 9 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
8.6%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
2.2%
Chad Magyar run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Chris PierceSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
3.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
3.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 2 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
3.1%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justice Shelton-MosleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
1.8%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
1.8%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+3
1.9%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+1
2.1%
Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
1.5%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
1.5%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+16
1.5%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to James Bostic for 16 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
1.5%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
1.5%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
1.5%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Jackson Winrow for 9 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
1.6%
Deuce Wallace run for no gain to the Vandy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
0.9%
Kenyon Oblad run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 49 Kenyon Oblad fumbled, recovered by Vandy Jaylen MahoneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.3%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan, broken up by Rayshad JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
1.3%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Chris Pierce for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
1.3%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Chris Pierce, broken up by Farrell Hester IISimilar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
1.3%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jackson WinrowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 23END OF GAME
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:2399% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.9%
Chad Magyar run for no gain to the UNLV 48Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
0.9%
Chad Magyar run for 7 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+2
0.9%
Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+4
0.5%
Chad Magyar run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
0.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dimitri Moore) to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
0.4%
Chad Magyar run for 3 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 7
OPP 21
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 23Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 9
OPP 23
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:39
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Noah Bean for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK) VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-11.7
TD · Q4 10:44
Chad Magyar run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 12:05
Kenyon Oblad pass complete to Randal Grimes for 63 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)
-5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com