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ARK

Arkansas 20 at Kentucky 24

UK
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadARK aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreARK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:17 · Sam Loy punt for 44 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for no gain to the Ark 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+3.6Home team on offense−4.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:48: Connor Limpert 44 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +7.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:55: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +9.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 1:50: Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +17.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:35: Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +28.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:53: Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +31.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ARK made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:13UK 4th & 8 at ARK 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57ARK 4th & 13 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:18UK 4th & 1 at UK 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:57ARK 4th & 10 at UK 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    41.8%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:46UK 4th & 7 at ARK 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.2%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:48ARK 4th & 11 at UK 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:02UK 4th & 22 at ARK 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−3.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:02ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:33UK 4th & 2 at UK 45, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:17ARK 4th & 19 at ARK 4, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−7.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00ARK 4th & 4 at midfield, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:13UK 4th & 10 at UK 2, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−6.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:36ARK 4th & 15 at UK 22, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 9.0 ptsWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%−9.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−14.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:18ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:55UK Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:50UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:35ARK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−1.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:53UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4239% → 40%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
60.7%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Georgia Drake for 1 yd to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
60.5%
Rakeem Boyd 74 Yd Run (Connor Limpert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
60.5%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-1
60.5%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
60.5%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
60.6%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
60.6%
Asim Rose pass complete to Josh Ali for 10 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
60.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ark 41Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-10
60.6%
[SHOT], Lynn Bowden pass complete to Asim Rose for 8 yards to the AR33 (Joe Foucha), PENALTY UK holding (Josh Ali) 10 yards to the UK49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 16
OWN 49
+1
60.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 15
50
+7
60.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 7 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q1 14:13
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
60.5%
Max Duffy punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
58.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 8 yds to the Ark 14Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+8
58.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 8 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
58.3%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
58.3%
Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
58.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Mike Woods for 4 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
58.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Georgia DrakeSimilar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
58.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 38Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+15
57.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Mike Woods for 15 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
57.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Trey Knox for 6 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
57.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tyson MorrisSimilar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-8
57.8%
Nick Starkel sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard line Nick Starkel fumbled, recovered by Ark Nick Starkel , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 13
50
0
58.4%
Sam Loy punt for 35 yds , Josh Ali returns for no gain to the Kent 15 Josh Ali fumbled, recovered by Kent Josh AliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
56.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
56.5%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+2
57.0%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-3
56.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 33 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Jonathan Marshall, recovered by Ark De'Jon HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5FG
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:5047% → 47%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
53.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 1
OPP 23
0
53.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Georgia DrakeSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+4
53.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
53.3%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Kent 19Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+10
53.3%
[SHOT], Nick Starkel pass incomplete to C. O'Grady, PENALTY UK holding (Brandin Echols) 10 yards to the UK9, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Georgia Drake, broken up by Brandin EcholsSimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Rakeem BoydSimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
53.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Mike Woods for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
52.7%
Connor Limpert 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:1152% → 48%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
52.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 14 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
52.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
53.5%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+8
53.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 8 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
54.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 8 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 2
OPP 24
0
54.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Ark 24Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 2
OPP 24
-5
53.4%
[SHOT], PENALTY UK illegal procedure 5 yards to the AR29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
53.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Ark 29Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
48.3%
Matt Ruffolo 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:5850% → 58%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
49.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
50
+4
48.5%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
48.5%
Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+8
48.9%
[SHOT], Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trey Knox, PENALTY UK pass interference (Jamari Brown) 8 yards to the UK35, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
48.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+10
48.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Treylon Burks for 10 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
48.2%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
48.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trey Knox, broken up by Jamari BrownSimilar
Q2 9:46
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
48.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Kent 26Similar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
41.9%
Connor Limpert 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5342% → 53%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
41.6%
Asim Rose run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
41.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Justin Rigg for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
42.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Justin Rigg for 31 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
44.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 14 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the Ark 18Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
44.5%
Asim Rose run for 9 yds to the Ark 9Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
43.3%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Ark 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
43.0%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Ark 2Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
43.0%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 3Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
46.8%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Georgia Drake for 6 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
45.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 5:5248% → 49%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
48.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
47.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+17
46.7%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 17 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
49.4%
Akeem Hayes run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
50.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+22
49.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 22 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Ark 35Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
52.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 33
-2
51.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 35Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+15
47.7%
[SHOT], Lynn Bowden pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner, PENALTY AR pass interference (Montaric Brown) 15 yards to the AR20, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
53.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
53.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Bumper PoolSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-7
51.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. sacked by McTelvin Agim for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 27Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 17
OPP 27
-5
47.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 32Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 22
OPP 32
+50
49.0%
Matt Ruffolo 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
48.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
47.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
48.9%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+18
50.6%
Sam Loy punt for 50 yds , Josh Ali returns for 18 yds to the Kent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
51.8%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
54.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
53.4%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
51.7%
Max Duffy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:1552% → 49%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
48.0%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Georgia Drake, broken up by Yusuf CorkerSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
48.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Trey Knox, broken up by Jamari BrownSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
49.7%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Mike Woods, broken up by Calvin Taylor Jr.Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 10
OWN 13
-5
51.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 8Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 15
OWN 8
-4
51.3%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Ark 4Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 19
OWN 4
0
51.3%
Sam Loy punt for 44 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for no gain to the Ark 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 3:1654% → 73%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
54.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 11 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
54.5%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+20
56.1%
Asim Rose run for 20 yds to the Ark 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for no gain to the Ark 13Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
56.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ark 10Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
73.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:5033% → 34%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
67.2%
[SHOT], Rakeem Boyd rush for 2 yards to the AR27 (Jamar Watson), PENALTY AR holding (C. O'Grady) 10 yards to the AR15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
67.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey Knox, broken up by Brandin EcholsSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+18
67.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Knox for 18 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
66.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyson Morris for 11 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
64.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
62.1%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
-3
62.6%
Ben Hicks sacked by Quinton Bohanna for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
50
0
66.1%
Sam Loy punt for 48 yds, downed at the Kent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
70.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 2Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
69.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 2Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OWN 2
0
68.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass incomplete to Bryce OliverSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+26
67.4%
Max Duffy punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 30 , Treylon Burks returns for 26 yds to the Kent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:5240% → 68%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
60.5%
Treylon Burks run for 11 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
60.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 15 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
60.5%
[SHOT], Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Joe Foucha, PENALTY UK pass interference (Brandin Echols) 1 yards to the UK2, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
32.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4242% → 81%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
42.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
50
0
47.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
50
+2
46.3%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+27
45.5%
Asim Rose run for 27 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
49.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Ark 19Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-5
49.8%
[SHOT], PENALTY UK false start (Logan Stenberg) 5 yards to the AR24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+24
81.2%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:1331% → 20%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
68.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
68.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+13
69.5%
Ben Hicks run for 13 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
66.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 9 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+15
62.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Georgia Drake for 15 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
62.3%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+22
62.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Georgia Drake for 22 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
59.7%
Ben Hicks run for 2 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
59.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-7
61.9%
Ben Hicks sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 15
OPP 22
0
80.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Calvin Taylor Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20Uncategorized
7 plays · 68 yds · 0:2688% → 92%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
87.8%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+51
89.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 51 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
92.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 15 yds to the Ark 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
92.1%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 10Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.1%
Team run for no gain to the Ark 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:53
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+31.4
TD · Q4 10:35
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)
-28.5
TD · Q3 1:50
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com