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South Carolina 20 at Georgia 17

UGA
2019 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2019 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2FGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:29 · Joseph Charlton punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 118Pregame prior+18.7Home team on offense−12.0Garbage-time factor−3.9Score differential−3.4Time remaining−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 3:00: Parker White 49 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +3.1 pts (now 22%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: Jake Fromm pass intercepted for a TD Israel Mukuamu return for 53 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:48: Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +45.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Geo 22 — SC win probability +24.1 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT2 0:00: Parker White 24 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +14.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 10:15UGA 4th & 6 at SC 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.7%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:05SC 4th & 4 at SC 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:57UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:52SC 4th & 5 at UGA 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    14.7%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:31UGA 4th & 6 at SC 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:00SC 4th & 4 at UGA 32, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.1%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:50SC 4th & 5 at SC 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:24UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:29SC 4th & 2 at UGA 49, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:54UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−2.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:12SC 4th & 1 at SC 26, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:17SC 4th & 13 at SC 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−3.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:26SC 4th & 5 at UGA 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    74.3%−3.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:40SC 4th & 3 at UGA 40, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%−4.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−9.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:58SC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:35UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:00SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:48UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:3892% → 91%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
91.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 8 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
91.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 14 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
91.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
91.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
91.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+3
91.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-1
90.9%
Jake Fromm sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
90.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:039% → 9%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.7%
Shi Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
90.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0390% → 89%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
90.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 4 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
90.2%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+2
90.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
89.9%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-2
89.9%
Zamir White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
89.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Eli WolfSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
89.3%
Jake Camarda punt for 66 yds, downed at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 3:4910% → 14%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
89.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+2
89.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+12
89.6%
Hilinski, Ryan pass incomplete to Muse, Nick, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Reed, J.R.) 12 yards to the SOCAROLINA27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA, QB hurry by TEAM, QB hit by TEAM.Similar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
89.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
89.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle Markway, broken up by Monty RiceSimilar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+15
89.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 15 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
88.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
88.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+11
88.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
87.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Kyle Markway) to the Geo 46Similar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+46
86.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 46 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1687% → 88%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
86.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+10
86.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 10 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
86.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
86.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (T.J. Brunson) to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
86.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 11 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
86.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:3113% → 15%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
86.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
86.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 7 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
85.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
85.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 3 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
85.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+5
85.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 5 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 1
OPP 41
-4
85.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Rhodes) to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
85.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:1486% → 85%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
85.5%
Zamir White run for 12 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
85.4%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
85.2%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Zamir White, broken up by Ernest JonesSimilar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
85.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+18
85.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 18 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-2
86.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+6
85.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 6 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
84.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1017% → 22%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for no gain to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
83.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 11 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
82.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 13 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
81.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
80.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+3
81.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 3 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+49
78.5%
Parker White 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9INT TD
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5481% → 72%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
81.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
80.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 10 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
81.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 6 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+53
71.7%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted for a TD Israel Mukuamu return for 53 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 39 yds · 0:5469% → 70%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
69.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 14 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
69.8%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
69.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+12
68.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 12 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
71.4%
Jake Fromm sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+19
68.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 19 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
71.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
70.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+53
70.0%
Rodrigo Blankenship 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by D.J. WonnumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:0334% → 35%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
66.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 17 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
64.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
63.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Eric StokesSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
63.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Jermaine JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:50
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
64.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:1767% → 62%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
66.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+2
65.7%
Zamir White run for 2 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+10
63.5%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Wolf, Eli, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Ibe, J.T.) 10 yards to the GEORGIA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
64.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 13 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
65.0%
Zamir White run for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
64.4%
Zamir White run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
63.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
61.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 31 yds · 3:5539% → 47%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
61.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Kyle Markway) to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-5
61.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+2
60.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 18
OWN 16
+19
61.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Adam Anderson) to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
58.3%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-5
58.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Sadarius Hutcherson) to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 15
OWN 26
0
57.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 15
OWN 26
+17
58.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 17 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
53.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
52.6%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Josh Vann for 7 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
51.8%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
53.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:2957% → 49%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
56.9%
Zamir White run for 7 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
56.9%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Geo 27Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
54.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 6 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
54.5%
Jake Fromm sacked by D.J. Wonnum and Kobe Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+6
52.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 6 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
51.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
49.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3752% → 53%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
47.7%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 5 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
46.3%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+4
47.6%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 1:12
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
46.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:0849% → 52%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+33
49.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 33 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
54.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 8 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 2
OPP 31
-5
52.9%
James Cook run for 5 yds to the SCaro 31 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Cleveland) to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+11
49.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 11 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
52.3%
Jake Fromm run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29 Jake Fromm fumbled, recovered by SCaro T.J. BrunsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:2859% → 61%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
40.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
38.1%
Dakereon Joyner run for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
35.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-5
34.9%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
36.7%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
37.3%
Dakereon Joyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
39.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:4442% → 40%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
41.5%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
40.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
38.9%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Simmons, Tyler, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Mukuamu, Israel) 4 yards to the GEORGIA30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
38.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-1
40.3%
Zamir White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
34.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Zamir White for 15 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
39.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Eli WolfSimilar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
39.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 7 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
40.4%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Israel Mukuamu return for no gain to the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5972% → 78%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
27.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Kingsley Enagbare) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+11
28.5%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Shi Smith for 11 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
25.0%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
24.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
22.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
20.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
20.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q4 6:26
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
22.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds, downed at the Geo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
15 plays · 96 yds · 4:3127% → 67%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
27.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George PickensSimilar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+9
25.9%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+6
24.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Javon Kinlaw) to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
25.5%
Jake Fromm run for 7 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+16
25.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 16 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
28.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 12 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
30.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
30.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+17
28.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 17 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
32.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 11 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
31.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
31.5%
Zamir White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
26.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Eli WolfSimilar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+5
21.0%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Wolf, Eli, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Robinson, Jammie) 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21MISSED FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:0348% → 55%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
51.6%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Nick Muse for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
48.8%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
49.1%
Joyner, Dakereon pass incomplete to Dawkins, Chavis, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Daniel, DJ) 15 yards to the GEORGIA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
43.9%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+6
47.8%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+3
45.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+57
45.0%
Parker White 57 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 17 yds · 0:3460% → 60%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
60.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
58.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+9
59.9%
Jake Fromm run for 9 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
62.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 5 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 0:08
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
63.2%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Eli Wolf, broken up by J.T. IbeSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-5
61.8%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal shift 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
60.0%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
64.7%
Jake Fromm pass intercepted Israel Mukuamu return for no gain to the SCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24MISSED FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0060% → 52%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Geo 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
40.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Geo 17Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
42.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Geo 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
47.8%
Parker White 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25FG
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Bryan Edwards run for 7 yds to the Geo 18Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
40.5%
Dakereon Joyner run for 2 yds to the Geo 16Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
42.6%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Geo 16Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+8
47.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 8 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
40.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Geo 6Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
40.5%
Feaster, Tavien rush for no gain to the GEORGIA6, PENALTY GEORGIA offside (Carter, Michail) 3 yards to the GEORGIA3, NO PLAY.Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
40.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Geo 2Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
42.7%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 6Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
27.8%
Parker White 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 26%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
41.3%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
35.4%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
31.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
26.2%
Rodrigo Blankenship 42 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:48
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+45.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-26.2
KEY PLAY · OT 0:00
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Geo 22
-24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com