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UGA

Georgia 43 at Tennessee 14

TENN
2019 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2019 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-3.5TENN 8.7%Jake Fromm pass complete to GeorgePickens for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-PointConversion failed )AWAY 26 - HOME 14 · Q2 0:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:09 · Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior−30.9Home team on offense−16.5Score differential−5.9Garbage-time factor−3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:57: Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +1.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:59: Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +8.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:09: Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UGA win probability +3.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:03: Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +2.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:02: Brian Herrien run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:58TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:34UGA 4th & 17 at TENN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    87.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:31UGA 4th & 5 at TENN 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:43TENN 4th & 6 at UGA 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:32UGA 4th & 5 at TENN 42, down 1
    Close callPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:02TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:59TENN 4th & 7 at UGA 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:22UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:37TENN 4th & 14 at TENN 13, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:03UGA 4th & 6 at TENN 10, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:27UGA 4th & 1 at TENN 39, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−2.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:06TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 44, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:52TENN 4th & 5 at UGA 5, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:07UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:25TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:57TENN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:59UGA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:09UGA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:02UGA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:557% → 7%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
6.6%
Ty Chandler run for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
6.7%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
6.8%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
6.9%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q1 13:58
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
6.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 6:4493% → 92%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
6.9%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
7.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 9 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
7.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
7.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 13 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
7.6%
White, Zamir rush for 1 yard to the GEORGIA43, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Hill, Trey) 10 yards to the GEORGIA32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+28
7.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 28 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
7.8%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+11
8.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
8.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+11
8.4%
Zamir White run for 11 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
8.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 9 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+2
8.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:379% → 10%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.5%
Tim Jordan run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+73
9.8%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 73 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:4090% → 89%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
9.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 8 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
9.9%
Tyler Simmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+44
10.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 44 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
10.1%
Fromm, Jake pass complete to Cager, Lawrence for 25 yards to the TENNESSEE0, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Cager, Lawrence) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 25
OPP 40
+6
10.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 6 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 19
OPP 34
0
10.7%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 19
OPP 34
+2
11.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 17
OPP 32
+50
11.1%
Rodrigo Blankenship 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:2811% → 15%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
11.0%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
11.7%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 18 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
12.1%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
12.1%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+11
12.0%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 11 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
12.7%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+9
12.8%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 9 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
13.1%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
13.1%
Maurer, Brian pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY GEORGIA roughing passer (Marshall, David) 8 yards to the GEORGIA8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
13.1%
Brian Maurer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 12Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
14.8%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:2086% → 85%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
14.0%
Tyler Simmons run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
14.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 9 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
14.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Lawrence CagerSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+40
14.5%
Brian Herrien run for 40 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
13.9%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
14.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
14.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George Pickens, broken up by Bryce ThompsonSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
15.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:4116% → 18%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.0%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
16.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Riley Locklear) to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
16.6%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 21 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
18.0%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
18.0%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-4
18.7%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
18.2%
Joe Doyle punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0382% → 81%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
17.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
17.8%
Jake Fromm run for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+10
18.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 10 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
18.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+1
18.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 1 yd to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
19.4%
Jake Camarda punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:2321% → 21%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
21.2%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 23Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-11
21.5%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Wanya Morris) to the Tenn 12Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 22
OWN 12
+5
20.9%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
21.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:5380% → 88%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
20.4%
Zamir White run for 6 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+7
20.5%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
20.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 8 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+10
20.1%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Wolf, Eli, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Bituli, Daniel) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
19.6%
Tyler Simmons run for 17 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
20.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
11.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11MISSED FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:5315% → 16%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
14.6%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 21 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
16.0%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 21 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
17.7%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Ty Chandler for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
17.7%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
16.4%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
15.5%
Brent Cimaglia 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 0:4286% → 91%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
14.0%
D'Andre Swift run for 23 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
12.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 15 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
12.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 4 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+21
12.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 21 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
8.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0311% → 10%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.6%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Eric StokesSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
10.4%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman, broken up by Eric StokesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:3189% → 89%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-4
10.9%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
11.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Andrew Thomas) to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
11.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
11.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 53 yds, downed at the Tenn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4011% → 11%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
11.3%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
11.2%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for no gain to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 17
-4
10.9%
Brian Maurer sacked by Azeez Ojulari for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 13Similar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 14
OWN 13
+6
11.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 36 yds , Dominick Blaylock returns for 6 yds to the Geo 19 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (DJ Daniel) to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2790% → 93%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
10.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 8 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+20
9.9%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Daniel Bituli) to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
9.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for 11 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
9.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 8 yds to the Tenn 6Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 2
OPP 6
-14
9.6%
Swift, D'Andre rush for no gain to the TENNESSEE6, PENALTY GEORGIA personal foul (Landers, Matt) 14 yards to the TENNESSEE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 16
OPP 21
-4
9.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (George Pickens) to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 21
OPP 25
+8
9.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 8 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+7
10.1%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
7.4%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:139% → 9%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
8.6%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
9.2%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
9.0%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
8.9%
Brian Maurer run for no gain to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
8.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 14 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
9.4%
Brian Maurer pass intercepted Richard LeCounte return for no gain to the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:0293% → 93%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
7.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to James Cook for 3 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
6.9%
Zamir White run for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
6.9%
Zamir White run for 17 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
6.2%
Zamir White run for 8 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
6.0%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick Blaylock, broken up by Nigel WarriorSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+1
6.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
6.9%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:179% → 8%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
9.2%
Maurer, Brian pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Daniel, DJ) 6 yards to the TENNESSEE45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
9.5%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-5
9.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Trey Smith) to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-8
9.0%
Brian Maurer sacked by Azeez Ojulari for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 20
OWN 35
+9
8.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 9 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
8.4%
Joe Doyle punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:5694% → 99%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.7%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
5.5%
Zamir White run for no gain to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+33
5.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 33 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
4.8%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+5
4.2%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
4.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 12 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
4.0%
Zamir White run for 5 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
4.0%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Tenn 3Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
4.1%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 35 yds · 3:151% → 0%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.4%
Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Eric StokesSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.4%
Tim Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+33
1.2%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 33 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
1.1%
Brian Maurer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 46 Brian Maurer fumbled, recovered by TennSimilar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 13
OPP 46
+11
1.0%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Tim Jordan for 11 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+10
1.2%
Brian Maurer pass complete to Austin Pope for 10 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
1.2%
Brian Maurer run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-5
1.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Darnell Wright) to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+60
0.2%
Brian Maurer sacked by Eric Stokes for a loss of 10 yards Brian Maurer fumbled, forced by Eric Stokes, recovered by Geo Tae Crowder , return for 0 yards , return for 60 yds, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22DOWNS
14 plays · 70 yds · 3:350% → 0%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
0.1%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-1
0.1%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+17
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 17 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 8 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+20
0.1%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nate McBride) to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
0.2%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Keyton, Ramel, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Wilson, Divaad) 15 yards to the GEORGIA5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Isaiah MontgomerySimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Tim JordanSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:20100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 4Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 4
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:59
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q2 0:09
Jake Fromm pass complete to George Pickens for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-3.5
TD · Q4 8:02
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com