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UK

Kentucky 7 at South Carolina 24

SC
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:39 · Joseph Charlton punt for 57 yds , Josh Ali returns for 9 yds to the Kent 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Home team on offense+32.1Pregame prior+1.4Score differential+23.0Garbage-time factor+13.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+7.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:22: Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 17 — SC win probability +3.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:42: Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 01:42 — SC win probability +4.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Sawyer Smith pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 41 — UK win probability +2.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:59: Rico Dowdle run for 30 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +11.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:48: Tavien Feaster run for 19 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 10UK made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 8:56SC 4th & 11 at UK 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:29UK 4th & 3 at UK 10, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:20UK 4th & 7 at SC 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    36.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:44SC 4th & 3 at SC 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24UK 4th & 3 at UK 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:43SC 4th & 2 at UK 8, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%−0.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:43UK 4th & 8 at UK 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:37SC 4th & 11 at SC 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:21UK 4th & 1 at UK 46, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:39SC 4th & 21 at SC 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:59UK 4th & 6 at UK 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:13SC 4th & 4 at SC 35, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:59UK 4th & 10 at UK 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:53SC 4th & 9 at SC 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:18UK 4th & 8 at SC 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:40SC 4th & 10 at UK 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00UK 4th & 8 at UK 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:10SC 4th & 2 at SC 14, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:50UK 4th & 10 at UK 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:48UK 4th & 18 at UK 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:39SC 4th & 7 at SC 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:09SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:59SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:48SC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:32UK Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5163% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 15 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
63.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
63.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+6
63.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
63.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
63.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+12
63.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
63.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 22 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
63.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
63.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the Kent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
64.5%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
64.5%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
64.3%
Asim Rose run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+4
64.5%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
64.4%
Sawyer Smith pass intercepted Ernest Jones return for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
65.5%
Rico Dowdle rush for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Quinton Bohanna), PENALTY UK encroachment (Joshua Paschal) 5 yards to the UK49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
65.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
65.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
65.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Quandre MoselySimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
65.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for no gain to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 6
OPP 40
-5
65.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
65.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0134% → 33%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
65.9%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+3
66.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 3
OWN 10
0
66.2%
Sawyer Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
66.6%
Max Duffy punt for 49 yds , Darius Rush returns for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
64.9%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
64.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
65.1%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+5
65.7%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
66.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for no gain to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
66.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+7
66.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 7 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
66.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 48 yds, downed at the Kent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
66.3%
Sawyer Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
66.5%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Ali for 7 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
66.6%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
67.0%
Max Duffy punt for 49 yds, downed at the SCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:3967% → 69%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
66.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+4
67.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
67.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
68.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Xavier Legette for 4 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+20
67.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 20 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
68.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
68.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
68.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+2
68.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Kent 8Similar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
69.0%
Parker White 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.1%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Jammie RobinsonSimilar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.3%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Ali for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
69.8%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
70.2%
Max Duffy punt for 62 yds, downed at the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
69.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+15
69.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 15 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
69.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+9
69.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+12
69.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 12 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
70.5%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-6
69.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Calvin Taylor Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
68.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 47 yds, downed at the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:0128% → 28%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
71.7%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+20
71.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 20 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
70.7%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
70.7%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
70.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
72.0%
Max Duffy punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 2:3173% → 76%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
73.0%
Ryan Hilinski run for 3 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+2
72.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+8
76.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 8 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
77.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 23 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
78.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 15
OWN 41
-6
77.8%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 21
OWN 35
0
76.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Kash DanielSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 21
OWN 35
0
76.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Brandin EcholsSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 21
OWN 35
0
76.2%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
76.5%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
73.5%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Clevan Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
73.5%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-11
74.3%
Sawyer Smith sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 11 yards to the Kent 30 Sawyer Smith fumbled, recovered by SCaro Aaron Sterling , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
86.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 30 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
85.4%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
85.7%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
85.8%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
85.8%
Max Duffy punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
87.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+1
87.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
86.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by DeAndre SquareSimilar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
86.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
87.4%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
87.6%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 6 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-6
86.9%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 20 Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Jahmar Brown, recovered by Kent Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
88.0%
Max Duffy punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
90.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 1
OWN 41
-5
91.2%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-3
90.6%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
89.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Lynn Bowden Jr. at the Kent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 42 yds · 2:4810% → 8%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
90.2%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Israel MukuamuSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
90.4%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+9
90.4%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 9 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
89.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Landon Young) to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
90.2%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 15
OWN 26
-5
90.4%
KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 20
OWN 21
0
90.4%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 20
OWN 21
+15
90.5%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Clevan Thomas, QB hurry by K. Enagbare, PENALTY SC personal foul (K. Enagbare) 15 yards to the UK36, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
89.6%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
89.7%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Asim Rose, broken up by Jaycee HornSimilar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+26
91.9%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 26 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.5%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin Rigg, broken up by T.J. BrunsonSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
91.5%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
91.5%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 8
OPP 35
-6
91.6%
Sawyer Smith sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
94.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, PENALTY UK offside (T.J. Carter) 5 yards to the SC46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+4
94.3%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 1
50
+4
94.3%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Jamari BrownSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
94.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
94.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 10
OPP 46
+41
93.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 46 yds for a touchback SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:366% → 6%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.7%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-9
93.5%
Sawyer Smith sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+11
94.2%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Asim Rose for 11 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
94.1%
Max Duffy punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
95.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 7Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
95.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick Muse, broken up by Kash DanielSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 9
OWN 7
+7
95.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
95.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 60 yds, downed at the Kent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
95.1%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+10
94.8%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Jammie RobinsonSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
95.0%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Ahmad WagnerSimilar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
95.2%
Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, downed at the SCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 3:3096% → 99%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+28
96.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 28 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
96.6%
Mon Denson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 3
50
+5
96.7%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
96.7%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Kent 37 Mon Denson fumbled, forced by Calvin Taylor Jr., recovered by SCaro Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+11
96.7%
Ryan Hilinski run for 11 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
96.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 7 yds to the Kent 19Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
99.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 19 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin Rigg, broken up by Damani StaleySimilar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-8
99.1%
Sawyer Smith sacked by D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 19Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 18
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Max Duffy punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
99.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.3%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
99.3%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 7
OWN 36
+9
99.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 57 yds , Josh Ali returns for 9 yds to the Kent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 28TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 2:001% → 3%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
99.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Josh Ali for 9 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+44
99.4%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 44 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+26
99.3%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 26 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.5%
Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 29END OF GAME
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
98.6%
Mon Denson run for 2 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+6
98.8%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.9%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:59
Rico Dowdle run for 30 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
+11.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:42
Timeout SOUTH CAROLINA, clock 01:42
+4
KEY PLAY · Q2 6:22
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 17
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com