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TA&M

Texas A&M 31 at Arkansas 27

ARK
2019 · Week 5 · Sep 28, 2019 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFUMBLETDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:17 · Connor Limpert 51 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior−43.3Home team on offense+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:55: Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +7.4 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: Devwah Whaley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +13.1 pts (now 36%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:21: Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +25.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:46: Connor Limpert 40 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +8.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. FG · Q4 3:52: Seth Small 50 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +9.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:17ARK 4th & 5 at TA&M 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:51TA&M 4th & 12 at ARK 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15ARK 4th & 8 at TA&M 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:16TA&M 4th & 17 at TA&M 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:11TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−1.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:55TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:06ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:51ARK 4th & 20 at ARK 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−10.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:46ARK 4th & 7 at TA&M 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−2.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−12.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:52TA&M 4th & 10 at ARK 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−2.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:10ARK 4th & 2 at midfield, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.1%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:31ARK 4th & 5 at TA&M 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−4.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−10.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:56TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:48TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:55ARK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:08TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:34ARK Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:21TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:346% → 7%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
6.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Mike Woods for 12 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
6.5%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 10 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
6.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 14 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
7.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to T.J. Hammonds for 1 yd to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+4
7.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
7.3%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+51
7.2%
Connor Limpert 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0393% → 92%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
7.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 12 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
7.3%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
7.5%
Kellen Mond sacked by McTelvin Agim for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 49Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+5
7.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 5 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
7.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
8.1%
Braden Mann punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:438% → 9%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
8.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 8 yds to the Ark 22Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-1
8.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 21Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+5
8.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 5 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
8.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
9.2%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 4 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
9.1%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
9.1%
Sam Loy punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:2491% → 91%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
9.3%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+2
9.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 2 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+17
9.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 17 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
9.4%
Quartney Davis run for 18 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
9.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Ark 21Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+10
9.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 10 yds to the Ark 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
9.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Ark 9Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
8.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:259% → 12%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
9.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 9 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
9.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
9.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 36Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
9.7%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
9.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Tyson Morris for 10 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
10.2%
Rakeem Boyd run for 24 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
10.8%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+5
10.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
10.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Koilan JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
11.9%
Connor Limpert 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:1588% → 91%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
11.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 30 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
11.1%
Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
11.3%
Quartney Davis run for 1 yd to the Ark 39Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+10
11.6%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Davis, Quartney, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference 10 yards to the ARKANSAS31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
11.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Ark 31Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
11.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 15 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
11.5%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-4
11.6%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 20Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+16
12.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 16 yds to the Ark 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
11.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
9.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7INT
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:5410% → 12%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
9.9%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 7 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
10.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Treylon Burks for 1 yd to the Ark 33Similar
Q2 8:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
10.0%
Nick Starkel pass complete to T.J. Hammonds for 7 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
10.4%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 27 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
11.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 16 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
11.2%
Starkel, Nick pass incomplete to Burks, Treylon, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 12 yards to the TEXASAM5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
11.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the TexAM 4Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
11.4%
Nick Starkel run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 6Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
11.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (3 Yards) to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
11.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the TexAM 3Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+18
11.6%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Justin Madubuike return for 18 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FUMBLE TD
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
14.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 12 yards Isaiah Spiller fumbled, recovered by Ark De'Jon Harris , return for 6 yds, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:5985% → 84%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
14.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by T.J. Smith for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 14 Kellen Mond fumbled, forced by T.J. Smith, recovered by TexAM Kellen Mond , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+1
15.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+3
16.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+32
16.5%
Braden Mann punt for 55 yds , Treylon Burks returns for 32 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:1019% → 27%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
18.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to T.Q. Jackson for 2 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+15
18.6%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to O'Grady, Cheyenne, PENALTY TEXASAM roughing passer 15 yards to the TEXASAM24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARKANSAS.Similar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
19.6%
Boyd, Rakeem rush for 6 yards to the TEXASAM18, PENALTY ARKANSAS illegal formation 5 yards to the TEXASAM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+16
19.6%
Rakeem Boyd run for 16 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
27.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 13 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:4176% → 85%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
23.2%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
22.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jacob KibodiSimilar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+11
22.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 11 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
21.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 9 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
21.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
21.7%
Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
21.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
22.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 13 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
21.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
15.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
18.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:3983% → 80%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
17.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 1 yd to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
17.5%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
19.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 13:11
4TH & 9
OWN 33
+3
19.6%
Braden Mann punt for 54 yds , Treylon Burks returns for 3 yds to the Ark 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 2:2620% → 36%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
19.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Koilan Jackson for 19 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Ark 35Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+23
20.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 23 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
22.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 15 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
24.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
24.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+13
23.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 13 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
36.4%
Devwah Whaley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2068% → 66%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
31.6%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jamario Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+12
33.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 12 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
32.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
34.2%
Braden Mann punt for 59 yds, downed at the Ark 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4435% → 34%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
34.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
34.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 11Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
34.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
33.6%
Sam Loy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:0768% → 66%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
31.7%
Kellen Mond run for 8 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
31.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
31.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 7 yds to the Ark 38Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+6
32.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
32.2%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the Ark 23Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+8
32.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
32.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 1 yd to the Ark 14Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+12
34.4%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Montaric Brown return for 12 yds to the Ark 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:4742% → 41%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
41.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 11Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+1
42.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Devwah Whaley for 1 yd to the Ark 12Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-10
41.8%
Ben Hicks sacked by Buddy Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 2Similar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 20
OWN 2
+9
40.6%
Sam Loy punt for 41 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 9 yds to the Ark 34 Ainias Smith fumbled, recovered by TexAM Ainias SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:3062% → 81%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
37.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Ark 49Similar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 25
OPP 49
+4
41.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 21
OPP 45
+11
43.4%
Kellen Mond run for 11 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+14
42.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 14 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
39.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-1
43.4%
Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 26Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+11
45.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 11 yds to the Ark 15Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+12
45.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 12 yds to the Ark 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 20FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 3:1427% → 41%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Ark 20Similar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
26.7%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+31
26.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 31 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
31.8%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+10
31.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 10 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
32.7%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
30.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
32.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Mike WoodsSimilar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+16
29.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyson Morris for 16 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
35.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
35.2%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+3
32.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
41.1%
Connor Limpert 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:4365% → 79%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
34.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
36.0%
Kellen Mond run for 18 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
30.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+14
31.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
29.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+10
29.8%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding 10 yards to the ARKANSAS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
28.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
28.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 7 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-7
29.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jamario Bell for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 32Similar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+50
20.6%
Seth Small 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22DOWNS
19 plays · 56 yds · 2:4827% → 19%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
27.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 13 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
30.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-5
32.2%
Hicks, Ben pass incomplete to Hammonds, T.J., PENALTY ARKANSAS illegal motion 5 yards to the ARKANSAS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
27.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 47Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
29.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 2
50
0
30.1%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 2
50
+4
23.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 4 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
28.2%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+22
27.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 22 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-7
37.0%
Ben Hicks sacked by Justin Madubuike for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 31Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 17
OPP 31
0
24.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 17
OPP 31
-5
21.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Treylon Burks) to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 22
OPP 36
+17
17.7%
Ben Hicks run for 17 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 5
OPP 19
0
18.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Cheyenne O'GradySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:21
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
-25.9
TD · Q3 10:34
Devwah Whaley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)
+13.1
FG · Q4 3:52
Seth Small 50 yd FG GOOD
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com