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South Carolina 14 at Missouri 34

MIZ
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FUMBLEFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:51 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:35: Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +8.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:06: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +7.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:49: Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 75 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +10.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 10:50: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:43: Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted for a TD Ronnell Perkins return for 100 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +13.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 9SC made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:05SC 4th & 1 at SC 12, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:19MIZ 4th & 1 at SC 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:31SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:12MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:29SC 4th & 3 at SC 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:19SC 4th & 19 at MIZ 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:22MIZ 4th & 3 at SC 29, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.5%−2.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:17SC 4th & 9 at SC 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:35MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:47SC 4th & 9 at SC 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:06SC 4th & 4 at SC 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:31MIZ 4th & 3 at SC 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:09SC 4th & 1 at MIZ 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.5%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:06MIZ 4th & 15 at SC 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−3.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:06SC 4th & 12 at SC 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:17MIZ 4th & 7 at SC 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:17SC 4th & 25 at SC 10, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:36MIZ 4th & 2 at SC 38, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:00SC 4th & 4 at MIZ 4, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 9:35SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:06MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:49SC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:50MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:43MIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
70.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 14 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
70.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
70.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
70.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 5 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
70.6%
Tucker McCann punt for 52 yds, downed at the SCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
70.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
70.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+9
70.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 9 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 12
+25
70.4%
Joseph Charlton punt for 63 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 25 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
50
+1
70.5%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+12
70.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 12 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
70.5%
Tyler Badie run for 14 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
70.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 21 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
70.6%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the SCaro 2Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.5%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 12:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-6
70.4%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:2130% → 28%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
69.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
71.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Ryan Hilinski for a loss of 9 yards for a TD Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by Misso Cale Garrett for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
71.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
71.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
71.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
71.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
71.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
71.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
71.3%
Tucker McCann punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
71.6%
Ryan Hilinski run for 5 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
71.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+2
71.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
71.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
72.2%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+2
72.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+15
71.8%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Okwuegbunam, A., PENALTY SC roughing passer (K. Enagbare) 15 yards to the MU34, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
72.3%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Aaron Sterling for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 29 MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
72.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
71.8%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 23 Tyler Badie fumbled, forced by Aaron Sterling, recovered by SCaro Javon KinlawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2930% → 27%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
70.5%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 13
OPP 26
-6
70.9%
Dakereon Joyner sacked by Tyree Gillespie for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 32Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 19
OPP 32
0
72.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 19
OPP 32
+50
72.6%
Parker White 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:5773% → 74%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
72.6%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-1
72.4%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 30 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+22
72.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 22 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
73.4%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
73.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+11
73.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
73.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-10
73.8%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete, QB hurry by K. Enagbare, PENALTY MU holding (Wallace-Simms) 10 yards to the SC40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+11
73.1%
Kelly Bryant run for 11 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
73.4%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+47
73.7%
Tucker McCann 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:0526% → 24%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
74.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 11 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
73.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
73.5%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
75.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Joshuah BledsoeSimilar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
75.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
75.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 8 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+6
75.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
75.3%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 23Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
75.2%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+21
74.7%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted D.J. Wonnum return for 21 yds to the Misso 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q2 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
69.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 20 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
70.7%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
70.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
70.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
69.0%
Tucker McCann punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
70.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+1
70.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 1 yd to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
70.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete, broken up by Joshuah BledsoeSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 9
OWN 8
+11
71.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 59 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 11 yds to the Misso 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:4172% → 80%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
71.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+22
71.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 22 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
72.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+13
72.6%
Johnathon Johnson run for 13 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
72.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+8
72.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
77.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Dakereon JoynerSimilar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
77.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
78.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 60 yds, downed at the Misso 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:5278% → 78%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
78.2%
Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 10Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+5
78.2%
Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+13
77.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 13 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+21
78.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 21 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
79.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 9
50
0
79.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 9
50
+6
78.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 6 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
77.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 36 yds, downed at the SCaro 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
78.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chavis DawkinsSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-1
78.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
68.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 75 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5968% → 82%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
68.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
68.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+3
69.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+10
69.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
50
-10
70.7%
Bryant, Kelly rush for 1 yard to the SC49 (Jaycee Horn), PENALTY MU holding (Okwuegbunam, A.) 10 yards to the MU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
68.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+10
68.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 10
50
+14
68.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 14 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
71.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 15 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
71.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan Nance, broken up by T.J. BrunsonSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+21
82.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22INT TD
18 plays · 72 yds · 5:0720% → 10%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+18
80.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 18 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
78.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-10
78.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Chavis Dawkins, PENALTY SC holding (S. Hutcherson) 10 yards to the SC34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 19
OWN 34
0
79.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi Smith, broken up by Khalil OliverSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+18
80.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 18 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+13
78.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 13 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
76.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
75.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
75.8%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+9
76.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 9 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
75.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 5 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
75.8%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+100
89.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted for a TD Ronnell Perkins return for 100 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
90.7%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 34 Rico Dowdle fumbled, forced by Akial Byers, recovered by Misso Akial ByersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24MISSED FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4995% → 96%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+18
94.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (R.J. Roderick) to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
94.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Johnathon Johnson, broken up by Javon KinlawSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-8
94.7%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 18
OPP 24
+3
94.4%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 15
OPP 21
+39
95.5%
Tucker McCann 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
92.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 41 yards to the MU38, out-of-bounds, PENALTY SC pass interference (Bryan Edwards) 10 yards to the SC11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
92.8%
Tavien Feaster run for no gain to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 20
OWN 11
0
92.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien Feaster, broken up by Jordan ElliottSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+8
92.9%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
93.0%
Joseph Charlton punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 7:1297% → 99%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.5%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
96.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 9 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
96.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 8 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
97.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 8 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-10
97.3%
Badie, Tyler rush for 7 yards to the SC45 (T.J. Brunson), PENALTY MU holding (Colon-Castillo) 10 yards to the MU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+9
97.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 9 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+11
97.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 11 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
97.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 16 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
97.4%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+2
97.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 2 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+15
97.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (T.J. Brunson) to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
97.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
97.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 1 yd to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
97.2%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 7Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
99.4%
Tucker McCann 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.8%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jordan Elliott for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
98.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien Feaster, broken up by Nick BoltonSimilar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-8
98.9%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Kobie Whiteside for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+50
98.9%
Joseph Charlton punt for 50 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+14
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+4
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
99.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 26 yds, downed at the SCaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 29DOWNS
15 plays · 84 yds · 2:481% → 1%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+21
99.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 21 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
99.3%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.3%
Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete, broken up by Tyree GillespieSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+21
99.3%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Kyle Markway for 21 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Bryan Edwards) to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+16
99.2%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Cam Smith for 16 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.2%
Dakereon Joyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
99.2%
Dakereon Joyner sacked by Kobie Whiteside for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Dakereon Joyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+11
99.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Shi Smith for 11 yds to the Misso 4Similar
Q4 1:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.4%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Kyle MarkwaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 3Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 11
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:43
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted for a TD Ronnell Perkins return for 100 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 10:50
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 21 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q3 14:49
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 75 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com