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Notre Dame 17 at Georgia 23

UGA
2019 · Week 4 · Sep 21, 2019 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+4UGA 71.9%Rodrigo Blankenship 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 10 · Q3 8:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:31 · Rodrigo Blankenship 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior+16.6Home team on offense+1.7Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score differential−0.9Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:39: Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +4.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:27: D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +9.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:31: Rodrigo Blankenship 40 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +4.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:19: Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 15 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +8.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:12: Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +15.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ND made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:05ND 4th & 11 at ND 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29UGA 4th & 18 at UGA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:47ND 4th & 2 at UGA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:34UGA 4th & 12 at UGA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:22ND 4th & 9 at ND 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:39ND 4th & 1 at UGA 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00ND 4th & 7 at UGA 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:49UGA 4th & 4 at ND 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:31UGA 4th & 11 at ND 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−8.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:57ND 4th & 3 at ND 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:21UGA 4th & 4 at ND 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%−0.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    59.8%−9.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:18ND 4th & 12 at ND 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−3.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:54UGA 4th & 1 at ND 26, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:00UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 25, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:48ND 4th & 8 at UGA 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−6.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ND made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 10:39ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:27UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:19UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:12ND Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 2:4713% → 14%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
86.8%
Lawrence Keys III run for 8 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
86.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Liam Eichenberg) to the NDame 26Similar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
86.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Liam Eichenberg) to the NDame 21Similar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+10
86.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 10 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+15
86.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 15 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.3%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
86.3%
Lawrence Keys III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
86.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
86.2%
Jay Bramblett punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Simmons at the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 3:3086% → 85%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
86.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 6 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+8
86.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 8 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
85.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-2
85.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-4
85.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 13
OWN 20
-5
84.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Warren McClendon) to the Geo 15Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
84.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3615% → 16%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
84.6%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-5
84.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Robert Hainsey) to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 14
OPP 44
0
84.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q1 7:23
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+12
84.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 12 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
84.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 4:0285% → 83%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
84.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
84.5%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+9
84.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 9 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
84.5%
Tyler Simmons run for 9 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-10
84.4%
Fromm, Jake pass complete to Swift, D'Andre for loss of 1 yard to the NOTREDAME45, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Kindley, Solomon) 10 yards to the GEORGIA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-1
83.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Matt Landers for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
83.3%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to D'Andre SwiftSimilar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
83.2%
Jake Camarda punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chris Finke at the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5FUMBLE
11 plays · 29 yds · 5:0517% → 19%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
82.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
82.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 7 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
82.4%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-2
81.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 27Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+15
82.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 15 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.0%
Tony Jones Jr. run for no gain to the NDame 42Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
81.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 4 yds Cole Kmet fumbled, forced by Mark Webb, recovered by NDame Cole KmetSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-5
80.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Cole Kmet) to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+2
81.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 2 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 12:22
4TH & 9
OWN 43
-3
81.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 46 yds , Tyler Simmons returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 8 Tyler Simmons fumbled, recovered by NDame Chase ClaypoolSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3621% → 26%
Q2 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
79.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 3 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
78.8%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY GEORGIA pass interference (Daniel, DJ) 3 yards to the GEORGIA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q2 11:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
78.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.3%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the Geo 1 Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by J.R. ReedSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 8:0875% → 81%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
74.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 9 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
74.2%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
74.7%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+8
72.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Eli Wolf for 8 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
73.1%
D'Andre Swift run for 11 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
73.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 2 yds Charlie Woerner fumbled, recovered by Geo Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+16
72.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 16 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
73.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Cade Mays) to the NDame 29Similar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+3
72.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Dominick Blaylock for 3 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+3
72.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+14
70.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 14 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
71.5%
Jake Fromm run for 6 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8END OF HALF
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:0925% → 33%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+28
74.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 28 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
71.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+28
70.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 28 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
69.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Liam Eichenberg) to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+8
69.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 8 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
68.6%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
69.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
67.5%
Jonathan Doerer 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:0070% → 68%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
70.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+12
69.2%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 12 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
69.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 6 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+10
70.5%
Brian Herrien run for 10 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-6
70.4%
Matt Landers run for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 16
OWN 40
0
67.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+12
66.3%
D'Andre Swift run for 12 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
67.6%
Jake Camarda punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4234% → 35%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
65.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
65.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Tony Jones Jr.Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+11
65.1%
Ian Book pass intercepted Divaad Wilson return for 11 yds to the NDame 22 Divaad Wilson fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2071% → 72%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
70.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 8 yds to the NDame 14 GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Shaffer) to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+6
68.5%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 6 yds to the NDame 23Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 11
OPP 23
0
67.9%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+40
71.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2531% → 30%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 2 yds to the NDame 27Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
68.6%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet, broken up by J.R. ReedSimilar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
70.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 5 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+35
70.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dominick Blaylock at the GEORGIA 28 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:3173% → 78%
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
72.8%
Brian Herrien run for 16 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
75.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 19 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
76.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Brian Herrien for 12 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
76.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 5 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+1
76.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the NDame 14Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
74.5%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to Tyler SimmonsSimilar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+31
77.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 1:5225% → 20%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
75.3%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
74.9%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 6 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 2
OWN 34
-5
74.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Cole Kmet) to the NDame 29Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
78.5%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chris Finke, broken up by Divaad WilsonSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 7
OWN 29
-5
79.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Jordan Genmark Heath) to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
79.8%
Jay Bramblett punt for 58 yds, downed at the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:5276% → 91%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
76.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 7 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+10
76.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
76.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 10 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
78.0%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+36
77.6%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 36 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
82.7%
Fromm, Jake pass complete to Cager, Lawrence for 10 yards to the NOTREDAME8, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal touching (Woerner, Charlie) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+8
82.3%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
82.6%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George Pickens, broken up by TaRiq BracySimilar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
90.9%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 15 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:019% → 10%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.2%
Tony Jones Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 24Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
91.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 10 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
90.8%
Tony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
91.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 20 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.0%
Ian Book pass intercepted J.R. Reed return for no gain to the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 4:1191% → 97%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
90.7%
D'Andre Swift run for 15 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
91.2%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
50
+15
91.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 15 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.0%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
93.6%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+9
93.2%
Jake Fromm run for 9 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+43
96.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:394% → 19%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by Richard LeCounteSimilar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 9 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
96.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 5 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
96.3%
Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-5
96.1%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Finke, Chris, PENALTY NOTREDAME ineligible downfield on pass (Hainsey, Robert) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
96.3%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Cole Kmet, broken up by J.R. ReedSimilar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+9
96.4%
Ian Book run for 9 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
96.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Cole Kmet for 31 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-15
95.9%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Claypool, Chase, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul (Eichenberg, Liam) 15 yards to the GEORGIA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 25
OPP 33
+6
96.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Finke for 6 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+23
96.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 23 yds to the Geo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:0194% → 94%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
93.9%
James Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
94.1%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+5
94.0%
Fromm, Jake pass incomplete to Simmons, Tyler, PENALTY NOTREDAME offside (Tagovailoa-Amosa, Myron) 5 yards to the GEORGIA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Jake Fromm pass incomplete to George Pickens, broken up by Troy Pride Jr.Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Jake Camarda punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0312% → 11%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
88.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 3 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
87.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 9 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
87.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Tony Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
87.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase ClaypoolSimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
88.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Chase Claypool, broken up by DJ DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2396% → 96%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:12
Ian Book pass complete to Chase Claypool for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
-15.5
TD · Q2 2:27
D'Andre Swift run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q4 13:19
Jake Fromm pass complete to Lawrence Cager for 15 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com