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LAM

Lamar 3 at Texas A&M 62

TA&M
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadLAM aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreLAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Enrique Carmona punt for 65 yds, downed at the TEXASAM 11 TEXAS A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the TexAM 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+39.1Home team on offense+25.4Score differential+22.4Blowout margin+10.7Garbage-time factor+3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:26: Seth Small 21 yd FG GOOD — LAM win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:33: Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — LAM win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 0:00: Seth Small 31 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:02: Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:45: Kellen Mond run for 12 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 5LAM made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 10:26TA&M 4th & 4 at LAM 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:33LAM 4th & 12 at LAM 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00TA&M 4th & 5 at LAM 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:38LAM 4th & 5 at TA&M 5, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:02LAM 4th & 9 at LAM 17, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:50LAM 4th & 1 at LAM 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:38TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 41, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 24, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:56LAM 4th & 5 at LAM 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:46LAM 4th & 4 at TA&M 14, down 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:09LAM 4th & 7 at LAM 28, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:31LAM 4th & 2 at LAM 40, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:15TA&M 4th & 8 at LAM 40, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:44LAM 4th & 8 at LAM 17, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:19LAM 4th & 11 at LAM 24, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:14TA&M 4th & 4 at LAM 34, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 3:33TA&M Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:02TA&M Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:45TA&M Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:39TA&M Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:09TA&M Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:02TA&M Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:19TA&M Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:51TA&M Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:34100% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.6%
Kellen Mond run for 11 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+37
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 37 yds to the Lamar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Glenn Beal for 9 yds to the Lamar 14Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+11
99.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for 11 yds to the Lamar 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.6%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jacob KibodiSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the Lamar 4Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.4%
Seth Small 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
Myles Wanza run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 23Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
99.4%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Kenny Allen for 8 yds to the Lamar 31Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.4%
Enriqu Carmona punt 29 yards to the TAMU40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TAMU roughing the kicker (C. Chattman) 5 yards to the LU36, 1ST DOWN LU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.4%
A.J. Walker run for 1 yd to the Lamar 37Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
99.4%
A.J. Walker run for 2 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Jordan Hoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Enrique Carmona punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:4399% → 99%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 9 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 1
OWN 41
-1
99.2%
Jacob Kibodi run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+27
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 27 yds to the Lamar 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
99.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 9 yds to the Lamar 24 for a 1ST down LAMAR Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Lamar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.2%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the Lamar 8Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+6
99.2%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the Lamar 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Myles Wanza run for 1 yd to the Lamar 26Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Myles Wanza run for no gain to the Lamar 26Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
99.1%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Myles Wanza for a loss of 3 yards to the Lamar 23Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.1%
Enrique Carmona punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FG
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+36
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 36 yds to the Lamar 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 5 yds to the Lamar 14Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
99.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
99.1%
Seth Small 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:221% → 1%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.0%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Mason Sikes for 16 yds to the Lamar 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
99.0%
A.J. Walker run for 4 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyree Johnson) to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
98.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Myles Wanza for 4 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
98.9%
Jordan Hoy run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+10
98.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Myles Wanza for 10 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
98.9%
A.J. Walker run for 15 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.9%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Myles WanzaSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Kirkland Banks for 5 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.9%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Kirkland Banks, broken up by Charles OliverSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.7%
Bailey Giffen 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bobby Brown III Debione Renfro return for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3699% → 99%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
98.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+11
98.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 11 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
98.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
98.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 20 yards to the LU39 (Cameron Hayes), PENALTY TAMU ineligible downfield on pass (Kenyon Green) 5 yards to the TAMU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+38
98.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 38 yds to the Lamar 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.0%
LAMAR Penalty, offside defense (Davion May) to the Lamar 21Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+7
98.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the Lamar 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
98.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 11 yds to the Lamar 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Lamar 1Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.6%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the Lamar 1Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.2%
Kirkland Banks run for 1 yd to the Lamar 17Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Myles WanzaSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to A.J. WalkerSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 9
OWN 17
+12
99.2%
Enrique Carmona punt for 45 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 12 yds to the TexAM 29 TEXAS A&M Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon Ausbon, broken up by Cameron HayesSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 16 yds to the Lamar 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+21
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 21 yds to the Lamar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 11 yds to the Lamar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Myles Wanza run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 23Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Jordan Hoy run for 5 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Kenny Allen for 6 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+16
99.8%
Enrique Carmona punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 36 , Roshauud Paul returns for 16 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick Rogers TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+7
99.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Myles Wanza run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lamar 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+65
99.8%
Enrique Carmona punt for 65 yds, downed at the TEXASAM 11 TEXAS A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the TexAM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 8Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+15
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for 15 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.8%
Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+11
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 11 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Cameron Hayes return for 11 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
A.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the Lamar 37Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-10
99.8%
A.J. Walker rush for no gain to the LU37 (Tyree Johnson), PENALTY LU holding (Tamatoa Neher) 10 yards to the LU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:56
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+12
99.8%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Carmoni Green for 12 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Mason SikesSimilar
Q3 10:56
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Enrique Carmona punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+26
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 26 yds to the Lamar 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the Lamar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 34 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 16FG
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
99.9%
Myles Wanza run for 44 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
99.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Case Robinson for 11 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.9%
Jordan Hoy pass complete to Kirkland Banks for 6 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Kirkland BanksSimilar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
Bailey Giffen 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 4:37100% → 100%
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 10Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+11
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Camron Buckley for 11 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 22 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Glenn BealSimilar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 8 yards to the LU49 (Tariq Gordon), PENALTY TAMU ineligible downfield on pass (Colton Prater) 5 yards to the TAMU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+19
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the Lamar 42 for a 1ST down LAMAR Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 20 yds to the Lamar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 11 yds to the Lamar 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the Lamar 10Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 10 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to A.J. WalkerSimilar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
A.J. Walker run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Carmoni GreenSimilar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+38
99.9%
Enrique Carmona punt for 35 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 38 yds to the Lamar 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 25 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:020% → 0%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Myles Wanza run for 3 yds to the Lamar 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jordan Hoy pass incomplete to Kenny AllenSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
99.9%
Myles Wanza run for 2 yds to the Lamar 30 Myles Wanza fumbled, forced by Larry Pryor, recovered by TexAM Charles Oliver , return for 8 yds to the Lamar 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
Zach Calzada sacked by Abel Daily for a loss of 2 yards to the Lamar 32 Zach Calzada fumbled, recovered by Lamar Davion May , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. pass incomplete to A.J. WalkerSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Enrique Carmona punt for 45 yds, downed at the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 10 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Roshauud PaulSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 12 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+18
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Preston for 18 yds to the Lamar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the Lamar 40Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jacob KibodiSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Braden Mann punt for 35 yds, downed at the Lamar 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
100.0%
A.J. Walker run for 10 yds to the Lamar 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
100.0%
Cole Starnes run for 1 yd to the Lamar 16Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+1
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lamar 17Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+41
100.0%
Enrique Carmona punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lamar 13 , Roshauud Paul returns for 41 yds to the Lamar 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
100.0%
PENALTY TAMU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY LU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lamar 27Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lamar 24Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Cole Starnes run for no gain to the Lamar 24Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Enrique Carmona punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
100.0%
James Foster pass complete to Ryan Renick for 19 yds to the Lamar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Anthony RuffinSimilar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
James Foster run for 6 yds to the Lamar 34Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+6
100.0%
James Foster pass complete to Ainias Smith for 6 yds to the Lamar 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 9 yds to the Lamar 19Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+11
100.0%
James Foster run for 11 yds to the Lamar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
100.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Lamar 13Similar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Ainias SmithSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LAMDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 10 yds to the Lamar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
100.0%
Cole Starnes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lamar 31Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 8 yds to the Lamar 39Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Jermaine Givens Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lamar 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:02
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 1:45
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+0.4
FG · Q1 10:26
Seth Small 21 yd FG GOOD
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com