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Chattanooga 0 at Tennessee 45

TENN
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUTC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:20 · Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Quavaris Crouch
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+31.5Home team on offense+28.3Score differential+21.5Blowout margin+13.7Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:16: Ty Chandler run for 13 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — UTC win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:36: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:01: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 39 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:22: Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 28 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:03: Brian Maurer pass incomplete — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:52UTC 4th & 5 at UTC 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:36UTC 4th & 4 at UTC 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:39TENN 4th & 17 at TENN 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:01UTC 4th & 3 at UTC 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:34TENN 4th & 9 at UTC 38, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:41TENN 4th & 12 at UTC 17, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:20UTC 4th & 3 at TENN 26, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:20UTC 4th & 4 at TENN 13, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:03TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 15, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:07TENN 4th & 4 at UTC 30, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00UTC 4th & 6 at TENN 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:35TENN 4th & 1 at UTC 49, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:16TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:36TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:01TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:22TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:20TENN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:4498% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Marquez Callaway, broken up by Jordan JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
97.8%
Tim Jordan run for 9 yds to the Chatt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+8
97.8%
Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Chatt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
97.8%
Tim Jordan run for 4 yds to the Chatt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+7
97.8%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Chatt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.6%
Ty Chandler run for 13 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 2PUNT TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
97.5%
Ailym Ford run for a loss of 5 yards to the Chatt 30Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+10
97.5%
Nick Tiano pass complete to Chris James for 10 yds to the Chatt 40Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Henry To'o To'oSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+24
97.5%
Gabe Boring punt blocked by blocked by Brandon Johnson return for 24 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 3INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Lameric TuckerSimilar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.5%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
97.5%
Nick Tiano pass intercepted Nigel Warrior return for 22 yds to the Chatt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 2:1698% → 98%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
97.6%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Chatt 12Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
97.6%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Chatt 12Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
97.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Lameric TuckerSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Lameric TuckerSimilar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.7%
Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 31Similar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Gabe Boring punt for 43 yds, downed at the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.7%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
97.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 21Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+5
97.7%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q1 7:39
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+8
97.7%
Brian Maurer run for 8 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+2
97.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 14 , Brandon Dowdell returns for 2 yds to the Chatt 21 CHATTANOOGA Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Chatt 14Similar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 2
OWN 34
-15
97.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Trey Smith) to the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 7FUMBLE
11 plays · 75 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
97.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Chatt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.7%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 32Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
97.7%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 32Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+13
97.7%
Nick Tiano run for 13 yds to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
97.7%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 5
50
+5
97.6%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 5 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+37
97.6%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 37 yds to the Tenn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.5%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for no gain to the Tenn 8Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
97.5%
Ailym Ford run for 7 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
97.5%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, false start (Chris James) to the Tenn 6Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tenn Darrell TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 2:5998% → 99%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+20
97.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 20 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
97.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Princeton Fant for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.9%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Chatt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
97.9%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Chatt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
97.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 39 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Daniel BituliSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.0%
Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Chatt 31Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.9%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 32Similar
Q2 12:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.9%
Gabe Boring punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 5:0699% → 99%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.0%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.0%
Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
99.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 6 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
98.9%
Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.0%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+18
99.0%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 18 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
99.1%
Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Chatt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 28 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 11INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.5%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 3 yds to the Chatt 30Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for no gain to the Chatt 30Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
99.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Will Ignont) to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.5%
Nick Tiano pass intercepted Jeremy Banks return for 6 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12FG
14 plays · 39 yds · 2:5399% → 100%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.4%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+15
99.4%
Shrout,J. pass intercepted by Jerrell Lawson at the UTC35, Jerrell Lawson return to the UT40, out-of-bounds (Gray,E.), PENALTY UTC roughing passer (Telvin Jones) 15 yards to the UTC39, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.4%
Tim Jordan run for 1 yd to the Chatt 38Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
99.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
99.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 9
OPP 38
+10
99.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 10 yds to the Chatt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Eric Gray for 4 yds to the Chatt 24Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+9
99.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 9 yds to the Chatt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.6%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson, broken up by Cameron TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-2
99.6%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 17Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
99.6%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Warren BurrellSimilar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
99.7%
Brent Cimaglia 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.7%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.6%
Ailym Ford run for 8 yds to the Chatt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.6%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Juwan TyusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.7%
Tim Jordan run for 14 yds to the Chatt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.7%
Tim Jordan run for 5 yds to the Chatt 6Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Brian Maurer run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 16DOWNS
16 plays · 62 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.7%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 15 yds to the Chatt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for no gain to the Chatt 40Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Juwan TyusSimilar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.7%
Nick Tiano pass complete to Lameric Tucker for 15 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.7%
Nick Tiano pass complete to Chris James for 8 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
99.7%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Kenneth George Jr.Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+4
99.7%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.7%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+4
99.7%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+2
99.7%
Nick Tiano run for 2 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+7
99.6%
Nick Tiano pass complete to Bryce Nunnelly for 7 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.6%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 17Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+4
99.7%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
99.6%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete to Juwan Tyus, broken up by Kenneth George Jr.Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 4
OPP 13
0
99.5%
Nick Tiano pass incomplete, broken up by Quavaris CrouchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
Brian Maurer run for 2 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Brian Maurer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 59 yds, downed at the Chatt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 18INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for 3 yds to the Chatt 29Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Juwan Tyus for 8 yds to the Chatt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 35Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass intercepted Jeremy Banks return for no gain to the Tenn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
99.9%
Chip Omer run for 18 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Chip Omer run for 6 yds to the Chatt 30Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Fred Orr run for no gain to the Chatt 30Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Chip OmerSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 4
OPP 30
0
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Fred OrrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:210% → 0%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Kanore McKinnon for 7 yds to the Chatt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+9
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Andrew Manning for 9 yds to the Chatt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Andrew Manning, broken up by Jaylen McColloughSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
+15
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Trevon Flowers) to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Drayton Arnold run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Ailym FordSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for no gain to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass incomplete to Andrew ManningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
Fred Orr run for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.9%
Fred Orr run for 7 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Fred Orr run for 2 yds to the Chatt 49Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Brian Maurer run for no gain to the Chatt 49Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Fred Orr run for no gain to the Chatt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 22INT
12 plays · 23 yds · 5:540% → 0%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
50
-1
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 49Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for 2 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+9
99.9%
Drayton Arnold run for 9 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+11
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Demarcus Williams for 11 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Elijah Ibitokun-Hanks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
99.9%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to Gage Upshaw for 1 yd to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+7
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for 7 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Jeffrey Wood II run for no gain to the Tenn 12Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-15
100.0%
Drayton Arnold pass complete to R. Henderson for 12 yards to the UT0, clock 03:17, PENALTY UTC pass interference (R. Henderson) 15 yards to the UT27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 25
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Drayton Arnold pass intercepted, touchback. Kenney Solomon return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Fred Orr run for 6 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Fred Orr run for 5 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
James Christian run for 7 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
James Christian run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:01
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 39 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 5:22
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 28 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)
+0.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 5:03
Brian Maurer pass incomplete
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com