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ALA

Alabama 47 at South Carolina 23

SC
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadALA aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreALA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:06 · Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior−45.0Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:49: Shi Smith 31 Yd pass from Ryan Hilinski (Parker White Kick) — SC win probability +1.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 7:40: Najee Harris 42 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +2.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:26: Parker White 28 Yd Field Goal — SC win probability +2.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:52: DeVonta Smith 42 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick) — ALA win probability +5.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:49: Parker White 48 Yd Field Goal — SC win probability +2.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 10ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:06SC 4th & 1 at SC 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31SC 4th & 12 at ALA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28ALA 4th & 19 at ALA 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:22SC 4th & 13 at ALA 30, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:10SC 4th & 20 at ALA 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:10ALA 4th & 5 at SC 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:52SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:40ALA 4th & 2 at SC 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:00SC 4th & 5 at SC 30, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:06ALA 4th & 10 at SC 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−2.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00SC 4th & 3 at ALA 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    9.2%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:26SC 4th & 10 at ALA 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:52ALA 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49SC 4th & 10 at ALA 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:53SC 4th & 5 at ALA 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:04ALA 4th & 1 at SC 1, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:21ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:15ALA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:49SC Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:40ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:52ALA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:41ALA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:04ALA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:11SC Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3995% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
4.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+12
4.8%
Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
5.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 20 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
5.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
5.0%
Najee Harris 24 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 4:455% → 6%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
5.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
5.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
5.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 5 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+4
5.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+4
5.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
5.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
5.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 3 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
5.6%
Hilinski, Ryan pass pass intended for Markway, Kyle intercepted by Surtain II, Patrick at the ALABAMA48, Surtain II, Patrick return 0 yards to the ALABAMA48, PENALTY ALABAMA 12 men on the field 5 yards to the ALABAMA48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
5.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 7 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
5.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
5.9%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 11 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
6.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
6.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 8
OPP 22
-4
6.1%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by Jordan Battle for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
6.4%
Parker White 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:0394% → 93%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
6.4%
Tua Tagovailoa sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
6.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 3 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 7:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
6.9%
Tua Tagovailoa sacked by R.J. Roderick for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 16Similar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
7.2%
Skyler DeLong punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:187% → 7%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
7.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-6
7.5%
Ryan Hilinski sacked by DJ Dale for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 13
OPP 33
0
7.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 13
OPP 30
-7
7.3%
Parker White run for 3 yds to the Alab 30 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kyle Markway) to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
7.3%
Joseph Charlton punt for 36 yds, downed at the Alab 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
4 plays · 96 yds · 1:5593% → 93%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
7.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 8 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+7
7.7%
Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
7.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for no gain to the Alab 19Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+81
6.9%
Henry Ruggs III 81 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:267% → 9%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
7.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 10 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
7.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 27 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
7.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Kyle MarkwaySimilar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
7.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+5
7.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 31Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+31
9.1%
Shi Smith 31 Yd pass from Ryan Hilinski (Parker White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 3:3991% → 92%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
8.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
8.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-5
8.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+34
9.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 34 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
8.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Alex Leatherwood) to the SCaro 27Similar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
9.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+18
9.1%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
9.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 4 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q2 13:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
8.2%
Will Reichard 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:189% → 9%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
8.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
8.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
8.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+18
8.5%
Joseph Charlton punt for 55 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 18 yds to the Alab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 4:1291% → 93%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
8.6%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 32Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+5
9.2%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 5 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
9.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+4
8.7%
Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+3
8.8%
Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
9.1%
Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+42
6.9%
Najee Harris 42 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:407% → 7%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
7.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 31Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
7.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Nick Muse for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
7.1%
Shi Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5493% → 93%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
6.7%
Tagovailoa, Tua pass incomplete to Jeudy, Jerry, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Horn, Jaycee) 12 yards to the SOCAROLINA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-15
6.7%
Robinson Jr., Brian rush for 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA15, PENALTY ALABAMA face mask (Forristall, Miller) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+5
6.8%
Jaylen Waddle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 20
OPP 30
0
6.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Major TennisonSimilar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 20
OPP 30
+10
7.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 4:06
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
7.4%
Will Reichard 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12DOWNS
18 plays · 77 yds · 4:067% → 7%
Q2 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
7.4%
Hilinski, Ryan pass incomplete to Edwards, Bryan, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
7.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Sadarius Hutcherson) to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
7.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+5
7.4%
Hilinski, Ryan pass incomplete to Muse, Nick, PENALTY ALABAMA offside 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
7.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
8.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
8.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 10 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
8.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
8.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Shi SmithSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+10
8.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to OrTre Smith for 10 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
8.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 11 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
8.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 13 yds to the Alab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
8.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Alab 1Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
8.4%
Ryan Hilinski run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 3 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, recovered by SCaro Ryan HilinskiSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
7.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13FG
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:318% → 11%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
7.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 22 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
8.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Kyle Markway for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 1
50
+10
8.8%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 10 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
8.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
9.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for no gain to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
9.1%
Ryan Hilinski run for 2 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
9.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 20 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
9.2%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to OrTre Smith for 4 yds to the Alab 5Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
9.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 10Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
8.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
10.6%
Parker White 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3490% → 96%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to DeVonta SmithSimilar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
10.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 5 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
10.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 17 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
9.5%
Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
4.4%
DeVonta Smith 42 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:206% → 6%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
5.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
5.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+18
5.7%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 18 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.0%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
5.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+4
6.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
6.4%
Ryan Hilinski run for 5 yds to the Alab 47 Ryan Hilinski fumbled, forced by Anfernee Jennings, recovered by Alab DJ DaleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 6:3596% → 98%
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
4.3%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 13 yds to the SOCAROLINA 40 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 7
50
+11
4.3%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
4.1%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
3.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+2
3.7%
Slade Bolden run for 2 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
3.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Miller Forristall for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 3
OPP 22
0
3.4%
Tua Tagovailoa pass incomplete to Jerry JeudySimilar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+6
3.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 6 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
2.9%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Major Tennison for 12 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
2.8%
Najee Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 6Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
2.8%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 4 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
2.7%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 3Similar
Q3 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
1.6%
Will Reichard 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:032% → 5%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
2.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 12 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
2.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 33 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
2.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Nick MuseSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
2.4%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
2.3%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
5.2%
Parker White 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:0897% → 99%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
2.7%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 18 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
2.5%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Najee Harris for 11 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
1.2%
DeVonta Smith 11 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa , (Will Reichard PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:502% → 2%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
1.5%
Hilinski, Ryan pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Jobe, Josh) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
1.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
1.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
1.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 5 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+9
1.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 9 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
1.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 6 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-1
1.7%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
1.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+10
1.5%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 10 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
1.6%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 27Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
1.6%
Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted, touchback. Xavier McKinney return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 7:4799% → 100%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
1.0%
Tua Tagovailoa pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 12 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
1.0%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
0.9%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+7
0.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 7 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+30
0.8%
Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 30 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
0.6%
Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the SCaro 22Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
0.6%
Keilan Robinson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+14
0.6%
Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 14 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.6%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
0.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cameron Latu) to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
0.5%
Keilan Robinson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 4Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.5%
Keilan Robinson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Mac Jones 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 1:530% → 1%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+10
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 10 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
0.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+7
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Tavien Feaster for 7 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
0.1%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+13
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 13 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Josh Vann for 6 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
0.1%
Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete to OrTre SmithSimilar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+12
0.1%
Hilinski, Ryan pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Barmore, Christian) 12 yards to the ALABAMA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.8%
Kyle Markway 11 Yd pass from Ryan Hilinski (Parker White Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:52
DeVonta Smith 42 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)
-5
FG · Q4 14:49
Parker White 48 Yd Field Goal
+2.9
TD · Q2 7:40
Najee Harris 42 Yd pass from Tua Tagovailoa (Will Reichard Kick)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com