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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 0 at Missouri 50

MIZ
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:33 · Jake Reynolds punt for 48 yds, downed at the Misso 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior+30.3Home team on offense+31.5Score differential+24.6Blowout margin+12.8Garbage-time factor+7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:05: Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — SEMO win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:41: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:32: Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:05: Tucker McCann 44 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 8SEMO made the numbers' call on 14 of 14
  1. Q1 11:07SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:41SEMO 4th & 17 at SEMO 33, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:39SEMO 4th & 5 at SEMO 30, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:57MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 19, up 27
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SEMO 4th & 10 at MIZ 45, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:55MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 18, up 27
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:43SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:05SEMO 4th & 12 at SEMO 34, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17SEMO 4th & 3 at SEMO 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:05MIZ 4th & 7 at SEMO 27, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00SEMO 4th & 10 at SEMO 25, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:33MIZ 4th & 15 at SEMO 25, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:33SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 27, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:42SEMO 4th & 9 at SEMO 49, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 20, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:44SEMO 4th & 16 at SEMO 29, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:32MIZ 4th & 9 at SEMO 35, up 47
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:32SEMO 4th & 12 at SEMO 23, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:59MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 38, up 50
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:48SEMO 4th & 13 at SEMO 19, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:41MIZ 4th & 12 at MIZ 39, up 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:33SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 16, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:05MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:07MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:41MIZ Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:32MIZ Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:42MIZ Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5598% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+30
98.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 30 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
98.3%
Bryant, Kelly pass complete to Johnson, J. for 36 yards to the SEMO1, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MU illegal formation 5 yards to the SEMO42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+7
98.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the SEMo 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+11
98.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the SEMo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
98.3%
Bryant, Kelly pass complete to Okwuegbunam, A. for 7 yards to the SEMO17, PENALTY MU ineligible downfield on pass (Lawrence, Bobby) 5 yards to the SEMO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+10
98.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds to the SEMo 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+16
98.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 16 yds to the SEMo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 2INT TD
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:582% → 2%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.0%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Khalil Oliver for a loss of 6 yards to the SEMo 19Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+27
98.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass intercepted for a TD Cale Garrett return for 27 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Zack Smith for 1 yd to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
98.0%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.0%
Jake Reynolds punt for 43 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 8 yds to the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 1:0998% → 98%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+54
98.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 54 yds to the SEMo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.0%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the SEMo 3Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:002% → 1%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Zion Custis run for no gain to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
98.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Aaron Alston for 15 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Zion CustisSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
98.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-7
98.2%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Chris Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the SEMo 33 SE MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 17
OWN 33
+71
98.7%
Jake Reynolds punt for 38 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 71 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Zion Custis run for no gain to the SEMo 25Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Zion Custis run for 5 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
98.7%
Jake Reynolds punt for 50 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for no gain to the Misso 30 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (Christian Holmes) to the Misso 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
98.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
98.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
98.6%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+6
98.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 62 yds , Zack Smith returns for 6 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:501% → 1%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Mark Robinson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
98.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Kristian Wilkerson for 15 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
98.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Colby Cornett for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 2
50
+5
98.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Caleb Strauss for 5 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.0%
Mark Robinson run for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-4
99.0%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+1
99.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Mark Robinson for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
99.0%
Jake Reynolds punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.0%
Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+4
99.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 4 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-1
98.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+13
98.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SEMo 34 , Zack Smith returns for 13 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Zack Smith for no gain to the SEMo 34Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.1%
Zion Custis run for no gain to the SEMo 34Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Zion CustisSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Jake Reynolds punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11INT
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
99.2%
Bryant, Kelly pass complete to Nance, Jonathan for 13 yards to the MU44 (SWIFT, Justin), PENALTY MU illegal motion (Badie, Tyler) 5 yards to the MU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Tyler Badie run for no gain to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+49
99.2%
Tyler Badie run for 49 yds to the SEMo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.3%
Kelly Bryant run for 8 yds to the SEMo 17Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+2
99.2%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the SEMo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
99.3%
Kelly Bryant pass intercepted Al Young return for 12 yds to the SEMo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-1
99.3%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 11Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 11
OWN 11
+15
99.3%
REYNOLDS, Jake punt 41 yards to the MU48, downed, PENALTY MU roughing the kicker (Jones, Jerney) 15 yards to the SEMO26, 1ST DOWN SEMO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.3%
Zion Custis run for 4 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
99.3%
Zion Custis run for 2 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+4
99.3%
Zion Custis run for 4 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kristian Wilkerson, broken up by Nick BoltonSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.3%
Zion Custis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 34Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Jake Reynolds punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
99.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 8 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+50
99.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 50 yds to the SEMo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 3 yds to the SEMo 28Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.7%
Zion Custis run for 4 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Mark Robinson run for no gain to the SEMo 32Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Jake Reynolds punt for 42 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 2 yds to the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 17 yds to the Misso 45 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 8
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+18
99.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 18 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
99.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 22 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 3 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
99.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Barrett Banister, broken up by Marcus LucasSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
99.7%
Tucker McCann 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Mark Robinson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Zion Custis run for no gain to the SEMo 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Aaron AlstonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Kristian WilkersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Jake Reynolds punt for 33 yds, downed at the Misso 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.7%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Omardrick Douglas for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+21
99.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 21 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-3
99.7%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 35Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+15
99.7%
Bryant, Kelly pass incomplete to Gicinto, D., PENALTY SEMO pass interference (JENKINS, Taj) 15 yards to the SEMO20, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
99.8%
Rountree, Larry rush for 6 yards to the SEMO14, clock 11:33, PENALTY MU holding (Nance, Jonathan) 4 yards to the SEMO24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 14
OPP 24
-13
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the SEMo 22 MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SEMo 37Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 27
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for no gain to the SEMo 37Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 27
OPP 37
+12
99.8%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 12 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
99.8%
Tucker McCann 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Aaron AlstonSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Mark Robinson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.8%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Tyler Ford) to the SEMo 24Similar
Q3 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 3 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Jake Reynolds punt for 48 yds, downed at the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:46100% → 100%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 21 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+5
99.8%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (Josh Avery) to the SEMo 46Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
99.8%
Rountree, Larry rush for 2 yards to the SEMO44 (SWIFT, Justin), PENALTY SEMO 12 men on the field 5 yards to the SEMO41, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+26
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 26 yds to the SEMo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.8%
Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the SEMo 6Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Tyler Badie run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Mark Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 24Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
99.9%
Joe Pyle pass complete to Jordan Foster for 12 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Mark Robinson run for 12 yds to the SEMo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
Joe Pyle pass complete to Taylen Waller for 1 yd to the SEMo 49Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Joe Pyle pass incomplete to Taylen WallerSimilar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Joe Pyle pass incomplete to Taylen WallerSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Jake Reynolds punt for 46 yds, downed at the Misso 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+13
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 13 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 53 yds , Zack Smith returns for 8 yds to the SEMo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
99.9%
Joe Pyle sacked by Franklin Agbasimere for a loss of 6 yards to the SEMo 29Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 16
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Joe Pyle pass incomplete to Colby CornettSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 16
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Joe Pyle pass incomplete to Taylen WallerSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+14
99.9%
Jake Reynolds punt for 38 yds , Richaud Floyd returns for 14 yds to the Misso 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass complete to Kam Scott for 17 yds to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Simi Bakare run for 1 yd to the SEMo 35Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Barrett Banister, broken up by Brandon MinceySimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+52
99.9%
Tucker McCann 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Jacob Buie pass complete to Geno Hess for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 23Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jacob Buie pass incomplete to Jordan FosterSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Geno Hess run for no gain to the SEMo 23Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
100.0%
Jake Reynolds punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Zack Smith at the SEMo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
100.0%
Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the SEMo 11Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+11
100.0%
Geno Hess run for 11 yds to the SEMo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
100.0%
Geno Hess run for 2 yds to the SEMo 24Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 8
OWN 24
-5
100.0%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Jordan Foster) to the SEMo 19Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Jacob Buie pass incomplete to Aaron AlstonSimilar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 13
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Geno Hess run for no gain to the SEMo 19Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 13
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Jake Reynolds punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for 1 yd to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-4
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Tucker McCann punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SEMo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
100.0%
Mark Robinson run for 3 yds to the SEMo 17Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+1
100.0%
Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the SEMo 18Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-2
100.0%
Jacob Buie pass complete to Aaron Alston for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMo 16Similar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Jake Reynolds punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+5
100.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 12:05
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
-0.2
TD · Q1 8:41
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 1:32
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com