Try the model
KENT

Kent State 16 at Auburn 55

AUB
2019 · Week 3 · Sep 14, 2019 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:07 · Derek Adams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javaris Davis at the Aub 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior+10.6Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+29.8Garbage-time factor+11.1Blowout margin+16.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:47: Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 53 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK) — KENT win probability +1.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:16: Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Anders Carlson 45 Yd Field Goal — AUB win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:02: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 16 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:59: Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 49 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 8:42KENT 4th & 4 at AUB 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:23KENT 4th & 20 at AUB 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:22KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:00AUB 4th & 1 at KENT 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:39KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12AUB 4th & 16 at AUB 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:34KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 31, down 11
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00AUB 4th & 12 at KENT 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:10KENT 4th & 13 at AUB 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:33KENT 4th & 11 at midfield, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55AUB 4th & 6 at KENT 19, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:07KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:27AUB 4th & 2 at KENT 2, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:08KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 29, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:47AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:11AUB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:47KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:16AUB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:02AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:59AUB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:49AUB Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:27AUB Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1FG
20 plays · 71 yds · 5:472% → 3%
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.1%
Jo-El Shaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+3
98.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 13 yds to the KntSt 34 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
98.0%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Adam Dulka for 16 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.9%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+21
97.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 21 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.9%
Crum, Dustin pass incomplete to McKoy, Isaiah, PENALTY AUBURN offside 5 yards to the AUBURN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 5
OPP 33
0
97.8%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+1
97.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+7
97.7%
Dustin Crum run for 7 yds to the Aub 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
97.6%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
97.6%
Dustin Crum run for 4 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+14
97.5%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 14 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.4%
Xavier Williams run for no gain to the Aub 6Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
97.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 2 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.3%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
97.2%
Matthew Trickett 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 2:5597% → 97%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
97.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
97.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 7 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 3
50
+1
97.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+11
97.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 11 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
96.9%
Bo Nix run for 17 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+18
96.9%
Bo Nix run for 18 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:063% → 3%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.9%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+16
96.8%
Dustin Crum run for 16 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
96.7%
Crum, Dustin pass incomplete to McKoy, Isaiah, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference 15 yards to the AUBURN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST.Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
96.6%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
96.4%
Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 5
OPP 32
0
96.4%
Kavious Price pass incomplete to Dustin CrumSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-15
96.5%
KENT ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
96.6%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds, downed at the Aub 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 2:5297% → 97%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
96.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Aub 10Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+9
96.4%
Joey Gatewood run for 9 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
96.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Harold Joiner for 6 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+2
96.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+39
96.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 39 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
96.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 35Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+35
96.8%
Kam Martin run for 35 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:393% → 4%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.6%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-3
96.5%
Dustin Crum sacked by Tyrone Truesdell for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
96.6%
Woody Barrett run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.5%
Derek Adams punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1697% → 97%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to JaTarvious WhitlowSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
96.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+2
96.6%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 12:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
96.5%
Bo Nix punt for 31 yds, downed at the KntSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 0:464% → 6%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
96.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 14 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
96.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Adam Dulka for 18 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
95.8%
Jo-El Shaw run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+53
94.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 53 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:0995% → 96%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
95.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 17 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
95.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
95.1%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+6
94.8%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+27
94.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Sal Cannella for 27 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
94.9%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.3%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 2:104% → 4%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
95.7%
Xavier Williams run for 1 yd to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 16
-8
95.7%
Crum, Dustin rush for 14 yards to the KENTST30, PENALTY KENTST holding 8 yards to the KENTST8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 17
OWN 8
-6
95.7%
Dustin Crum sacked by Marlon Davidson and Tyrone Truesdell for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 2Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 23
OWN 2
+5
95.8%
Crum, Dustin pass incomplete to Dixon, Antwan, PENALTY AUBURN offside 5 yards to the KENTST7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 18
OWN 7
-1
95.7%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 6Similar
Q2 5:39
4TH & 19
OWN 6
0
95.7%
Derek Adams punt for 52 yds, downed at the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:0896% → 95%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.8%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
95.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-10
95.6%
Bo Nix sacked by Mandela Lawrence-Burke for a loss of 10 yards to the Aub 36Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 16
OWN 36
0
95.1%
Arryn Siposs punt for 41 yds, downed at the KntSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:185% → 5%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
95.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 22Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
95.3%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+9
95.5%
Dustin Crum run for 9 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
95.3%
Derek Adams punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12END OF HALF
15 plays · 58 yds · 2:1595% → 96%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
95.4%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+13
95.4%
Kam Martin run for 13 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
95.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 6 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+9
95.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+16
95.5%
Shaun Shivers run for 16 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
95.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jay Jay Wilson for 9 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+5
95.7%
Malik Miller run for 5 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
95.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Jay Jay Wilson for 5 yds Jay Jay Wilson fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Aub Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
95.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Jay Jay WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-9
95.6%
Bo Nix sacked by Cepeda Phillips for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+45
96.4%
Anders Carlson 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:3396% → 99%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
96.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 11 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
96.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 10 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
96.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 13 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
96.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
96.4%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+13
96.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 13 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
96.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+16
98.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 16 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14MISSED FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 3:522% → 2%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
98.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 12 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
98.3%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 7 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-7
98.2%
Dustin Crum sacked by Big Kat Bryant for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+12
98.4%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Jo-El Shaw for 12 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.3%
Crum, Dustin pass complete to McKoy, Isaiah for 6 yards to the AUBURN40, PENALTY AUBURN substitution infraction 5 yards to the AUBURN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+4
98.2%
Jo-El Shaw run for 4 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
98.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Jo-El ShawSimilar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
98.3%
Jo-El Shaw run for 6 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
98.2%
Dustin Crum run for 12 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.2%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Adam DulkaSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-3
98.3%
Dustin Crum sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
98.4%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Isaiah McKoySimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
98.5%
Matthew Trickett 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:4399% → 100%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
98.6%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
98.7%
Joey Gatewood run for 5 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
98.7%
Malik Miller run for 8 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+11
98.8%
Kam Martin run for 11 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 49 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.8%
Woody Barrett run for 26 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.8%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:43
3RD & 11
50
0
99.8%
Woody Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 11
50
0
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
99.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 11 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 2
50
+27
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 27 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
99.9%
Anders Carlson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 1:540% → 1%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Kavious Price run for 3 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Adam DulkaSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Barrett, Woody pass incomplete to Dixon, Antwan, PENALTY AUBURN roughing passer 15 yards to the AUBURN45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTST.Similar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 15 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Kavious PriceSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Antwan Dixon for 1 yd to the Aub 29 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Smoke Monday) to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Mike CarriganSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Joachim BangdaSimilar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
Woody Barrett pass complete to Kavious Price for 15 yds for a TD, (Derek Adams intercepted )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 23 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+16
99.7%
Joey Gatewood run for 16 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
99.7%
Joey Gatewood run for 18 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the KntSt 3Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sage Ledbetter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Joachim Bangda run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Joachim Bangda run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-1
99.9%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javaris Davis at the Aub 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:14100% → 100%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 13 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.9%
Harold Joiner run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 4
50
+5
99.9%
Harold Joiner run for 5 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 18 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 18 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 11Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
Joey Gatewood run for 4 yds to the KntSt 7Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Joey Gatewood pass complete to Jay Jay Wilson for 5 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Joey Gatewood run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sage Ledbetter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Woody Barrett pass incomplete to Keshunn AbramSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Craig Elmore run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
Woody Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 29Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Derek Adams punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javaris Davis at the Aub 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:03100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
KENT ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Javaris Davis) to the Aub 28Similar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Harold Joiner run for 5 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
100.0%
Cord Sandberg run for 4 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Harold Joiner run for 3 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:02
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 16 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 10:47
Dustin Crum pass complete to Isaiah McKoy for 53 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)
-1.5
TD · Q2 8:16
Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com