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VAN

Vanderbilt 24 at Purdue 42

PUR
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:32 · Brooks Cormier punt for 41 yds, downed at the PURDUE 38 PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Home team on offense+3.4Pregame prior+11.0Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:56: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +7.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:13: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 50 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +11.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:06: Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +8.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:27: Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — VAN win probability +5.7 pts (now 11%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:16: Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 75 yds for a TD, (Riley Neal pass to Kalija Lipscomb for Two-Point Conversion) — VAN win probability +6.1 pts (now 8%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:23PUR 4th & 5 at VAN 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:39VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:53PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00VAN 4th & 15 at PUR 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    33.2%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:32PUR 4th & 7 at VAN 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:32VAN 4th & 12 at VAN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:53VAN 4th & 6 at PUR 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:32PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:39VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:06VAN 4th & 1 at PUR 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−1.9
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−8.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:05VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:33PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 6:32VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:57PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:56PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:13PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:06PUR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:27VAN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:27PUR Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:16VAN Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:05PUR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by Ben HoltSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
71.4%
Riley Neal sacked by Derrick Barnes for 0 yards to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+8
71.4%
Harrison Smith punt for 31 yds , Rondale Moore returns for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
50
+2
71.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 2 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
71.3%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+1
71.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 1 yd to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
71.2%
Danny Carollo punt for 25 yds, downed at the Vandy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
70.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
70.8%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
70.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by Dedrick MackeySimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
71.0%
Harrison Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rondale Moore at the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Zander HorvathSimilar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
70.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Milton Wright for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
71.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:53
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
70.7%
Brooks Cormier punt for 25 yds, downed at the Vandy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 3:2430% → 34%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
70.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 4 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-7
70.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 9:56
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+18
70.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 18 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+49
70.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 49 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
69.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryley Guay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:3567% → 71%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
67.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 24 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
67.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
67.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+19
67.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 19 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
68.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
68.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 2 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
70.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 12 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:5731% → 32%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
69.1%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 23 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
68.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 5 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
68.1%
Keyon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
68.1%
Keyon Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-10
68.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (Jared Pinkney) to the Vandy 47Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 23
OWN 47
+3
68.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
50
+5
67.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 5 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
68.3%
Harrison Smith punt for 43 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8MISSED FG
17 plays · 75 yds · 5:3568% → 68%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
68.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+1
68.5%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
68.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+26
68.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Payne Durham for 26 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
69.2%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
68.5%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 13
OWN 35
-2
68.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+5
67.8%
Elijah Sindelar sacked for loss of 8 yards to the PUR25 (Dayo Odeyingbo), PENALTY VANDY offside (L. Paulino-Bell) 5 yards to the PUR38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+10
68.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Amad Anderson (Cam Watkins), PENALTY VANDY holding (Dimitri Moore) 10 yards to the PUR48, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
69.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-2
69.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Zander Horvath for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
70.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to David Bell for 13 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
70.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Brycen Hopkins, broken up by Dashaun JerkinsSimilar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
69.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+3
69.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 3 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+42
68.0%
J.D. Dellinger 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
65.5%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
65.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 23Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-2
66.3%
Riley Neal sacked by Markus Bailey for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
67.1%
Harrison Smith punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:5569% → 77%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
50
+25
69.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to David Bell for 25 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
69.6%
Elijah Sindelar run for 1 yd to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+22
69.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 22 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11FG
16 plays · 45 yds · 4:0326% → 32%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
74.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
73.3%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
73.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 17 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
71.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 12 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
70.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-10
70.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn rush for 16 yards to the PUR16 (Ben Holt), PENALTY VANDY holding (Saige Young) 10 yards to the PUR42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 18
OPP 42
-15
73.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 33
OWN 43
+11
74.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 11 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 22
OPP 46
-5
73.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 27
OWN 49
+26
74.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 26 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-5
72.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
68.5%
Ryley Guay 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:2171% → 70%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
70.7%
PURDUE Penalty, illegal motion (Elijah Sindelar) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
70.5%
King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
70.3%
King Doerue run for no gain to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
70.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete, broken up by Lashawn Paulino-BellSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+36
69.5%
Brooks Cormier punt for 41 yds, downed at the PURDUE 38 PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 53 yds · 0:0929% → 30%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
71.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 3
50
0
70.3%
Riley Neal pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 3
50
+46
70.4%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 46 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:4770% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
70.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
70.0%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 11 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.5%
Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
70.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to David BellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
69.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Amad Anderson, PENALTY VANDY offside (R. Reitmaier) 5 yards to the PUR41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+9
70.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
50
+50
82.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 50 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15INT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for no gain to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
80.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 4 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
80.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+4
79.5%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-11
79.4%
Riley Neal sacked by Anthony Watts for a loss of 11 yards to the Vandy 36 VANDERBILT Penalty, intentional grounding (Riley Neal) to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 21
OWN 36
+8
80.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 8 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+18
81.0%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Dedrick Mackey return for 18 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16INT
5 plays · 28 yds · 4:2783% → 86%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
82.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 15 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
82.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 13 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
85.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted Tae Daley return for no gain to the Vandy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
84.3%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by Jack SullivanSimilar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
84.4%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to C.J. BolarSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+14
85.1%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to J SheltonMosley (Simeon Smiley), PENALTY PUR pass interference (Simeon Smiley) 14 yards to the VANDY33, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
83.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
83.6%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
83.6%
Deuce Wallace pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
84.5%
Harrison Smith punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:5585% → 95%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
84.9%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Amad Anderson Jr. for 6 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+5
85.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass intercepted by Cam Watkins at the 50 yardline, Cam Watkins return to the 50 yardline, PENALTY VANDY offside (Kenny Hebert) 5 yards to the PUR26, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+30
85.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to David Bell for 30 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Allan GeorgeSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
86.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jackson Anthrop for 7 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+17
85.8%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 2 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Randall Haynie) to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
86.4%
VANDERBILT Penalty, player disqualification (Randall Haynie) to the Vandy 20Similar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
95.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19DOWNS
10 plays · 65 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
93.3%
Kalija Lipscomb run for 16 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
92.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
92.9%
Riley Neal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+15
93.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Kenneth Major) 15 yards to the PUR47, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
92.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 23 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
91.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+8
92.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to C.J. Bolar for 8 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
92.5%
Keyon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 1
OPP 15
0
92.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete, broken up by George KarlaftisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3696% → 96%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
96.0%
King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-2
96.5%
King Doerue run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
96.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale MooreSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
96.2%
Brooks Cormier punt for 22 yds, downed at the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:385% → 11%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
95.3%
Riley Neal run for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+8
95.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds Kalija Lipscomb fumbled, forced by Kenneth Major, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
94.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 15 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
94.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 6 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
89.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Cam Johnson for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0093% → 98%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
93.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 21 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Amad Anderson Jr.Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
93.6%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Zander Horvath for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 6
50
+20
93.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 20 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
93.9%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 34Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
93.7%
Elijah Sindelar pass incomplete to Rondale Moore, broken up by Lashawn Paulino-BellSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 14
OPP 34
+34
98.4%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 34 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
92.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Chris Pierce for 75 yds for a TD, (Riley Neal pass to Kalija Lipscomb for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 3:1192% → 99%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
92.2%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Zander Horvath for 11 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
92.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
92.1%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 9 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
92.2%
Elijah Sindelar run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+70
92.5%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Rondale Moore for 70 yds to the Vandy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
93.2%
Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Elijah Sindelar run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
97.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley NealSimilar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
97.6%
Harrison Smith punt for 46 yds , Rondale Moore returns for no gain to the Prdue 36 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 2:3299% → 99%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
98.7%
Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+10
98.7%
Zander Horvath run for 10 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 16Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 13
OWN 16
-1
99.0%
Zander Horvath run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+7
99.0%
Elijah Sindelar run for 7 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Brooks Cormier punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Justice Shelton-Mosley at the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 27END OF GAME
12 plays · 46 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.4%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Justice Shelton-Mosley for 1 yd to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+9
99.4%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to James Bostic for 9 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.3%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to James Bostic for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
99.2%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for no gain to the PUR40 (Simeon Smiley), PENALTY PUR offside (Kai Higgins) 5 yards to the PUR35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
98.9%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Jackson Winrow for 4 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.2%
Deuce Wallace run for 1 yd to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
99.2%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to James BosticSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+10
99.3%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Keyon Brooks for 10 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.1%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete to Jackson WinrowSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.2%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete, broken up by Jack SullivanSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+12
99.3%
Deuce Wallace pass complete to Chris Pierce for 12 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.2%
Deuce Wallace pass incomplete, broken up by Jack SullivanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:13
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Jared Sparks for 50 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+11.7
TD · Q3 5:06
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 20 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+8.7
TD · Q2 4:56
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com