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BYU

BYU 29 at Tennessee 26

TENN
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDFGFGFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:08 · Jake Oldroyd punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 11Pregame prior+17.7Home team on offense−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Time remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 0:01: Jake Oldroyd 33 Yd Field Goal — BYU win probability +41.3 pts (now 63%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Talon Shumway 14 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Jake Oldroyd Kick) — BYU win probability +18.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Jauan Jennings 13 Yd pass from Jarrett Guarantano (Brent Cimaglia Kick) — TENN win probability +34.1 pts (now 62%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT2 0:00: Brent Cimaglia 40 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +16.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds for a TD — BYU win probability +59.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:08BYU 4th & 8 at TENN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:53TENN 4th & 3 at BYU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:19BYU 4th & 5 at TENN 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:29TENN 4th & 1 at BYU 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.0%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:27BYU 4th & 21 at BYU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:22TENN 4th & 4 at BYU 33, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.8%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:48BYU 4th & 5 at TENN 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21TENN 4th & 1 at BYU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.6
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:40TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:59BYU 4th & 1 at TENN 45, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    32.6%−5.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:51TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:27BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:41TENN 4th & 5 at BYU 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    53.6%−16.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:18BYU 4th & 11 at TENN 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−3.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−11.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:15TENN 4th & 1 at BYU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−6.5
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−11.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:25BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 36, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%−3.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−7.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BYU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:53TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:47BYU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 2:5232% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.5%
BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
68.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
68.5%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 15 yards to the BYU35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BYU.Similar
Q1 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
68.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-5
68.3%
Zach Wilson sacked by Darrell Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+15
68.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
50
0
68.1%
Zach Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
50
+2
68.1%
Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
68.0%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q1 12:08
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
68.2%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
18 plays · 80 yds · 6:5768% → 72%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
68.2%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+13
68.2%
Eric Gray run for 13 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
68.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 7 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
68.4%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
68.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+19
68.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 19 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
68.4%
Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
68.4%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
68.1%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
68.3%
Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
68.4%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
68.7%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the BYU 11Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-10
68.7%
Gray, Eric rush for 2 yards to the BYU9, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the BYU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 19
OPP 21
0
68.5%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 19
OPP 21
+16
67.9%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 16 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q1 4:53
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+5
72.1%
Jauan Jennings 5 Yd pass from Jarrett Guarantano (Brent Cimaglia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 4:1728% → 30%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
72.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 12 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
71.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 4 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
71.5%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+11
72.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 11 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
70.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 27 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
70.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-3
70.1%
Zach Wilson sacked by Greg Emerson for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 19Similar
Q1 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-5
70.9%
BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 24Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+10
71.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 10 yds to the Tenn 14Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
69.7%
Jake Oldroyd 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:3469% → 70%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+51
69.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 51 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
70.8%
Jarrett Guarantano sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 34 TENNESSEE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 16
OPP 34
+2
70.2%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+13
69.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 13 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
70.0%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 2:0229% → 28%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
70.6%
BYU Penalty, False Start (Joe Tukuafu) to the BYU 14Similar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+13
70.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Matt Bushman for 13 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 2
OWN 27
-8
70.0%
Zach Wilson sacked by LaTrell Bumphus for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-11
71.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the BYU 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BYU Aleva HifoSimilar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 21
OWN 8
0
72.5%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 54 yds, downed at the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:4970% → 75%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
70.3%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+5
69.4%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Dominick Wood-Anderson for 5 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+10
69.6%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Wood-Anderson, Dominick, PENALTY BYU holding (Anderson, Zayne) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
71.0%
Gray, Eric rush for 4 yards to the BYU46, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+11
70.2%
Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+6
71.2%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+4
71.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 4 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
72.2%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
72.2%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
72.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ty ChandlerSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+51
75.1%
Brent Cimaglia 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:2225% → 25%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
75.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
73.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
74.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
75.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 12 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
73.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
72.8%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Ty'Son Williams for 3 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-2
72.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
74.7%
Danny Jones punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:2774% → 79%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
74.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jahmir Johnson) to the Tenn 9Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+7
74.0%
Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+53
74.1%
Ty Chandler run for 53 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
76.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
76.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 2 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+7
75.9%
Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+39
78.5%
Brent Cimaglia 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.4%
Ty'Son Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:2678% → 78%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.2%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
78.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ty ChandlerSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+20
77.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted Kavika Fonua return for 20 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:5125% → 38%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
75.3%
Zach Wilson sacked by LaTrell Bumphus for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 22Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+6
75.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+16
62.3%
Ty'Son Williams 16 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4268% → 66%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.5%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
68.2%
Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
66.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
65.9%
Joe Doyle punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3035% → 36%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
64.7%
Ty'Son Williams run for 12 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
62.6%
Ty'Son Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
62.3%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
61.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
63.8%
Danny Jones punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Marquez Callaway at the Tenn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4768% → 67%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
67.5%
Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
68.7%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
67.9%
Jauan Jennings run for 2 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
67.6%
Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-2
68.3%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
66.7%
Joe Doyle punt for 51 yds , Aleva Hifo returns for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0433% → 30%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
66.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
66.7%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
67.2%
Wilson, Zach pass complete to Shumway, Talon for 16 yards to the BYU39, PENALTY BYU holding off-setting, PENALTY TENNESSEE Roughing Passer off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
68.1%
Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 3
OWN 23
-4
69.7%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 55 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 6:3968% → 83%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
67.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh PalmerSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+15
67.3%
Chandler, Ty rush for no gain to the TENNESSEE18, PENALTY BYU face mask (Pili, Trajan) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
68.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
67.8%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
70.5%
Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+9
71.5%
Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
71.7%
Gray, Eric rush for no gain to the BYU40, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 20
50
+15
69.6%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 15 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 0:05
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+2
72.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+6
71.3%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
72.9%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
76.2%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+15
74.9%
Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Palmer, Josh, PENALTY BYU pass interference (Herron, Isaiah) 15 yards to the BYU9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. BYU Devin Kaufusi ejected for Targeting.Similar
Q4 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
76.4%
Eric Gray run for no gain to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
76.5%
Jarrett Guarantano run for 4 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
75.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
83.2%
Brent Cimaglia 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:5821% → 32%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.9%
Zach Wilson run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.2%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 12 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
77.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 10 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
77.1%
Ty'Son Williams run for 9 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+8
75.4%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 8 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
76.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 12 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
74.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-2
74.1%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
77.7%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax MilneSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
67.6%
Jake Oldroyd 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5472% → 79%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
72.3%
Jacquez Jones run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
74.4%
Ty Chandler run for 27 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
77.7%
Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+1
79.0%
Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
78.8%
Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
78.7%
Josh Palmer run for no gain to the BYU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4632% → 30%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.1%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
70.0%
Ty'Son Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
67.6%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Micah SimonSimilar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
70.4%
Jake Oldroyd punt for 44 yds, downed at the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:0881% → 91%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
80.9%
Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
84.4%
Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
86.2%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-2
87.9%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+2
86.3%
Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
91.0%
Joe Doyle punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Aleva Hifo at the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 68 yds · 0:5312% → 63%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
87.7%
Wilson, Zach pass incomplete, PENALTY BYU holding 8 yards to the BYU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 18
OWN 8
0
88.9%
Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+12
89.1%
Zach Wilson run for 12 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+64
89.6%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Micah Simon for 64 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
78.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+33
36.7%
Jake Oldroyd 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Ty'Son Williams run for 1 yd to the Tenn 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
40.5%
Zach Wilson pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 10 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
22.0%
Talon Shumway 14 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Jake Oldroyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 62%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ty ChandlerSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
24.0%
Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 26Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+13
20.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 13 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
28.1%
Ty Chandler run for no gain to the BYU 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
28.1%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Austin PopeSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
62.2%
Jauan Jennings 13 Yd pass from Jarrett Guarantano (Brent Cimaglia Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
64.7%
Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the BYU 24Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
64.7%
Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Dominick Wood-AndersonSimilar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+1
62.2%
Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 1 yd to the BYU 23Similar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
79.0%
Brent Cimaglia 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
70.9%
Aleva Hifo run for 13 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
70.9%
Ty'Son Williams run for 7 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
11.8%
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT2 0:00
Ty'Son Williams run for 5 yds for a TD
-59.1
FG · Q4 0:01
Jake Oldroyd 33 Yd Field Goal
-41.3
TD · OT 0:00
Jauan Jennings 13 Yd pass from Jarrett Guarantano (Brent Cimaglia Kick)
+34.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com