Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 7 at Missouri 38

MIZ
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:20 · Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+31.9Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:47: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 26 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:02: Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +5.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:36: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 16 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:59: Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45 — MIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:23: Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:10MIZ 4th & 27 at MIZ 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:20WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34MIZ 4th & 6 at WVU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:36MIZ 4th & 1 at WVU 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−1.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:20WVU 4th & 18 at MIZ 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−1.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:06WVU 4th & 5 at MIZ 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:30WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:00MIZ 4th & 4 at WVU 48, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:56WVU 4th & 15 at WVU 16, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:59MIZ 4th & 12 at WVU 20, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:31WVU 4th & 17 at WVU 13, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:27MIZ 4th & 9 at WVU 38, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:49WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:49MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 38, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:18MIZ 4th & 2 at WVU 45, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 4:47MIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:02MIZ Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:36MIZ Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23MIZ Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:07MIZ Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:13WVU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · -5 yds · 2:4384% → 83%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
83.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
83.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.4%
Kelly Bryant run for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-15
83.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 25
OWN 39
+3
83.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 3 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 22
OWN 42
-5
82.9%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 27
OWN 37
0
82.7%
Tucker McCann punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4317% → 17%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
82.8%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+7
82.8%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 7 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
82.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Tevin BushSimilar
Q1 11:20
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
82.7%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:4283% → 82%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
82.7%
Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+8
82.6%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
82.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
82.6%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+11
82.4%
Tyler Badie run for 11 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
82.5%
Kelly Bryant run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
82.3%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Albert OkwuegbunamSimilar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
82.1%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
82.3%
Tucker McCann 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4INT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:0118% → 19%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.2%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
82.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 13 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
81.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
81.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+8
81.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
50
+8
81.1%
Sam James run for 8 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+10
80.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
80.9%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted Nick Bolton return for 18 yds to the Misso 14 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:2381% → 84%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
81.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 19 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
81.8%
Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
81.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
83.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 26 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4717% → 17%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.8%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Martell PettawaySimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.9%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
83.0%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.7%
Austin Kendall run for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
82.8%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
83.1%
Austin Kendall pass intercepted Ronnell Perkins return for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:4784% → 89%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
83.5%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
83.6%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+10
83.2%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Tyler Badie for 10 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
83.6%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-1
83.6%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
83.3%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+5
83.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
83.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 8 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+5
83.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
83.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
89.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:3512% → 11%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
87.9%
Kennedy McKoy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+30
87.5%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 15 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
87.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+15
87.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
87.3%
Kennedy McKoy run for no gain to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
87.5%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-8
88.1%
Austin Kendall sacked by Cale Garrett for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 18
OPP 28
+45
89.0%
Evan Staley 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:2490% → 95%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
90.4%
Dawson Downing run for 8 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-1
90.6%
Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+13
90.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 13 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
91.0%
Dawson Downing run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
91.2%
Kelly Bryant run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
90.7%
Dawson Downing run for 9 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
90.8%
Dawson Downing run for 6 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
91.0%
Kelly Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-7
91.0%
Kelly Bryant run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+18
91.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 18 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
91.3%
Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+16
94.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 16 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10DOWNS
15 plays · 22 yds · 3:307% → 6%
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
93.6%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
93.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.4%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
93.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Martell Pettaway for 8 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
93.7%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+1
93.6%
Martell Pettaway run for 1 yd to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
93.7%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
93.8%
Tevin Bush run for 6 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
93.9%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.1%
Austin Kendall pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
94.0%
Austin Kendall pass incomplete to Bryce WheatonSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 5
OPP 44
-9
94.4%
Austin Kendall sacked by Kobie Whiteside for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
15 plays · 47 yds · 1:3696% → 99%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.0%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
96.0%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 7 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
96.0%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
96.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
96.5%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+9
96.3%
Tyler Badie run for 9 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Jonathan NanceSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+12
96.7%
Kelly Bryant run for 12 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.5%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-11
96.4%
Kelly Bryant sacked by Josh Chandler for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 18Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 0
OPP 18
+15
96.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Barrett Banister for 3 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
99.0%
Austin Kendall sacked by Chris Turner for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:241% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.6%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
99.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-3
99.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
99.2%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sean Ryan for 9 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:2499% → 100%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.2%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.3%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 41 Larry Rountree III fumbled, recovered by Misso Larry Rountree IIISimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+8
99.3%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 8 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+3
99.4%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
99.5%
Tucker McCann punt for 39 yds, downed at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:571% → 1%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
99.3%
Tevin Bush run for 9 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 1
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Tevin Bush run for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
99.4%
Austin Kendall run for 3 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
99.4%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Austin Kendall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-4
99.5%
Kennedy McKoy run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Josh Growden punt for 34 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
50
0
99.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Kam ScottSimilar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
50
+2
99.7%
Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+14
99.7%
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Jalen Knox for 14 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.7%
Kelly Bryant pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+16
99.7%
Tyler Badie run for 16 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
99.7%
Tyler Badie run for 8 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 2
OPP 10
-1
99.7%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 3
OPP 11
-9
99.7%
Kelly Bryant run for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+37
99.7%
Tucker McCann 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.6%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
99.7%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Martell Pettaway for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-5
99.8%
Martell Pettaway run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
99.8%
Josh Growden punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Taylor Powell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jalen KnoxSimilar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dominic GicintoSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Tucker McCann punt for 27 yds, downed at the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
99.8%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
Jack Allison pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 4 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+20
99.9%
Jack Allison pass intercepted for a TD Nick Bolton return for 20 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Sam James for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to Tevin Bush for 6 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Austin Kendall run for 5 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Josh Growden punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Richaud Floyd at the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+7
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Tucker McCann punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+46
99.9%
Austin Kendall pass complete to George Campbell for 46 yds for a TD, (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 19 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Dawson Downing run for 7 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-1
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Tucker McCann punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
100.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 1 yd to the WVirg 13Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+6
100.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:02
Larry Rountree III run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q2 5:36
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 16 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q1 4:47
Kelly Bryant pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 26 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com