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EMU

Eastern Michigan 17 at Kentucky 38

UK
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Max Duffy punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+36.9Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:09: Kavosiey Smoke run for 32 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +3.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:01: Terry Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +6.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:15: Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 26 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +7.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:20: Sawyer Smith pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 54 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Chance Poore KICK) — UK win probability +3.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:41: Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 7 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK) — EMU win probability +5.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UK 4th & 13 at EMU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:09EMU 4th & 14 at EMU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:43UK 4th & 21 at EMU 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:57UK 4th & 11 at EMU 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:52EMU 4th & 7 at UK 7, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:52UK 4th & 2 at UK 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 10 at UK 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−0.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:03EMU 4th & 10 at UK 29, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:41UK 4th & 10 at UK 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:43EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:56UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:09UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:01UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:15EMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:20UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:41EMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:54UK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.9%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
86.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
86.9%
Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+15
86.9%
Terry Wilson run for 15 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
86.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for no gain Lynn Bowden Jr. fumbled, forced by Kobie Beltram,Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
86.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 3 yds to the EMich 37 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the EMich 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+5
86.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 5 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 42
-1
86.9%
Terry Wilson sacked by Brody Hoying and Shawn Simeon for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
86.9%
Max Duffy punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
85.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 1 yd to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 9
-5
85.6%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 4Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+2
85.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 2 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+29
85.7%
Jake Julien punt for 49 yds , Lynn Bowden Jr. returns for 29 yds to the EMich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:1385% → 87%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
85.4%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+13
85.4%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 13 yds to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.5%
Asim Rose run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
85.7%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
85.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
85.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 6 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-2
85.7%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 42Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
86.1%
Jake Julien punt for 48 yds, downed at the Kent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:1086% → 89%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
85.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete KENTUCKY Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-1
85.7%
Terry Wilson sacked by Shawn Simeon and Noski LaFleur for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 9 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+14
85.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 14 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
85.8%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+32
86.0%
Lynn Bowden Jr. pass complete to Terry Wilson for 32 yds to the EMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
85.7%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Ahmad Wagner, PENALTY EMU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY UK ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
89.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 32 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 10 yds Line Latu fumbled, forced by Cedrick Dort Jr., for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
87.9%
Shaq Vann run for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
87.6%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-13
87.6%
Mike Glass III sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 13 yards to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
88.2%
Jake Julien punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7FUMBLE
14 plays · 69 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.9%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
89.0%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
88.7%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden, PENALTY EMU personal foul (SIMEON, Shawn) 15 yards to the UK49, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
89.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 7 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
89.3%
Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+4
89.2%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.3%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
89.3%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+6
89.2%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the EMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
89.3%
Terry Wilson run for 10 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
89.3%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
89.3%
Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+4
89.2%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
89.3%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the EMich 1 Asim Rose fumbled, forced by Terry Myrick, recovered by EMich Turan RushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
89.1%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+15
89.2%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Jordan Griffin return for 15 yds to the EMich 16 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9FG
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:3790% → 92%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
90.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-15
90.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kavosiey Smoke) to the EMich 22Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 21
OPP 22
0
90.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 21
OPP 22
0
89.8%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Blake BoganSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 21
OPP 22
+40
91.5%
Chance Poore 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10INT
9 plays · 17 yds · 1:2710% → 10%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
90.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 5 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete, broken up by Quinton BohannaSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
90.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.1%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Line LatuSimilar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-4
90.1%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the EMich 42Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+18
90.5%
Mike Glass III pass intercepted Kash Daniel return for 18 yds to the EMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0992% → 94%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
92.2%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 9 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-10
92.3%
[SHOT], Kavosiey Smoke rush for 21 yards to the EMU0, clock 05:13, PENALTY UK holding (Logan Stenberg) 10 yards to the EMU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
92.3%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr., broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
94.1%
Terry Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+49
93.6%
Chance Poore 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:0510% → 13%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
90.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Shaq VannSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+15
90.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 15 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
89.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (T.J. Carter) to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
89.1%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 8 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+7
88.7%
Breck Turner run for 7 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
88.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 18 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.7%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
88.7%
Mike Glass III sacked by Jordan Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 11 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
89.2%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 4 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
87.4%
Chad Ryland 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
89.8%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
89.9%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr., broken up by Kobie BeltramSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
89.5%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
89.3%
Max Duffy punt for 56 yds, downed at the EMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
88.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Breck TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
89.1%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+9
89.4%
Mike Glass III run for 9 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
89.0%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 6 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+4
88.6%
Mike Glass III run for 4 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
88.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (Mike Glass III) to the EMich 20Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
89.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 9 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+27
89.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 27 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
88.5%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+3
89.1%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
89.0%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Bryson Cannon, broken up by Jordan GriffinSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
89.6%
Jake Julien punt for 38 yds, downed at the Kent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
15 plays · 94 yds · 7:4790% → 98%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
90.3%
Asim Rose run for 13 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
90.5%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 9 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+7
90.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 7 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
90.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 13 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
91.0%
Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
90.9%
Asim Rose run for 5 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
90.6%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.0%
Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
90.9%
Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+14
90.6%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 14 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
91.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
91.0%
Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 10 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
91.0%
Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+8
91.0%
Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the EMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.6%
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:463% → 11%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.4%
[SHOT], GLASS, Mike pass complete to JACKSON, Arthur for 10 yards to the EMU35, PENALTY EMU holding (DOOLEY, Brian) 10 yards to the EMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
97.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 8 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
97.4%
Mike Glass III run for 7 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
97.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 38 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
89.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 26 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:4594% → 99%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
94.2%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 1
OWN 0
0
94.0%
[SHOT], Terry Wilson rush for 19 yards to the EMU44 (RUSH, Turan), PENALTY UK illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY EMU personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-10
94.3%
[SHOT], Kavosiey Smoke rush for 6 yards to the UK43 (BELTRAM, Kobie), PENALTY UK holding (Logan Stenberg) 10 yards to the UK27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+13
94.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
94.4%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
95.1%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 46Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+54
98.7%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Ahmad Wagner for 54 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 19TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:391% → 6%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.5%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Breck Turner, broken up by Cedrick Dort Jr.Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
98.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Dylan Drummond for 12 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+7
98.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 7 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
98.5%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+16
98.7%
Mike Glass III run for 16 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.5%
Mike Glass III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
98.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
98.7%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+22
98.9%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 22 yds to the Kent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.7%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 7 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.1%
Lynn Bowden Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
96.2%
Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Lynn Bowden Jr.Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
96.3%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Josh Ali for 11 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.5%
Sawyer Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.4%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Josh AliSimilar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
96.4%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Asim Rose for no gain to the Kent 48Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Max Duffy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
95.9%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Dylan DrummondSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
95.9%
Mike Glass III run for 9 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
95.6%
Mike Glass III run for 2 yds to the EMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Bryson CannonSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 4 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+7
95.8%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 7 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 3 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
95.5%
Mike Glass III run for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
95.5%
Preston Hutchinson run for no gain to the EMich 41Similar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
95.6%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Quian WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:5798% → 100%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
98.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+9
98.0%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Justin Rigg for 9 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
98.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
98.0%
Sawyer Smith run for 5 yds to the EMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
98.0%
Sawyer Smith pass incomplete to Justin RiggSimilar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
98.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the EMich 14Similar
Q4 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Sawyer Smith pass complete to Lynn Bowden Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 65 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
99.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 10 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.5%
[SHOT], GLASS, Mike pass incomplete to JACKSON, Arthur, PENALTY UK pass interference (Cedrick Dort) 14 yards to the UK42, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.5%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Shaq Vann for 11 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.4%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 7 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+5
99.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Arthur Jackson III for 5 yds to the Kent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.3%
Mike Glass III pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Arthur Jackson IIISimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Mike Glass III pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by M.J. DevonshireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:15
Mike Glass III pass complete to Line Latu for 26 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q3 5:01
Terry Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chance Poore KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q4 10:41
Mike Glass III pass complete to Bryson Cannon for 7 yds for a TD, (Chad Ryland KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com