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TULN

Tulane 6 at Auburn 24

AUB
2019 · Week 2 · Sep 7, 2019 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:08 · Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Pregame prior+7.4Home team on offense+25.4Score differential+9.8Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:37: Eli Stove run for 4 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +4.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:40: Merek Glover 32 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +2.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:15: Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Aub 37 — TULN win probability +2.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:00: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Aub 23 — AUB win probability +4.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:51: JaTarvious Whitlow run for 14 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +5.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:30AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:13TULN 4th & 7 at AUB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02AUB 4th & 1 at TULN 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:47TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:58AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:57TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:20AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:42TULN 4th & 17 at TULN 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:48TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:55TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:55AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 16, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:46TULN 4th & 11 at AUB 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:34AUB 4th & 4 at AUB 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:40TULN 4th & 3 at AUB 14, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:42TULN 4th & 11 at AUB 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:54AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:20TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:36AUB 4th & 4 at TULN 4, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−3.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:08TULN 4th & 13 at AUB 44, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    2.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:15TULN 4th & 4 at AUB 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 12:54AUB Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:37AUB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:51AUB Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2087% → 87%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 7 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
87.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
86.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
86.6%
Arryn Siposs punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:0214% → 15%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.5%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+19
86.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 19 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
86.2%
Justin McMillan run for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Aub 41Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+11
85.8%
Justin McMillan run for 11 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
85.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
85.5%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
85.5%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q1 10:13
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
85.4%
Merek Glover 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3FUMBLE
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:0385% → 85%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.2%
Eli Stove run for no gain to the Aub 25Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+23
85.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 23 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
85.4%
TULANE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+3
85.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
85.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
85.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+1
84.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Tulan 42 JaTarvious Whitlow fumbled, recovered by Tulan Chris JoyceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1516% → 16%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
84.3%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 37Similar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+8
84.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 8 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
83.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
83.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+17
83.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 17 yds to the Aub 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1283% → 82%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
83.2%
Kam Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
82.9%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony SchwartzSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
82.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kam MartinSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
82.1%
Arryn Siposs punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5317% → 18%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
82.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q1 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
82.8%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-1
82.8%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+9
82.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds , Christian Tutt returns for 9 yds to the Aub 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3082% → 81%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
82.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 3 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-2
82.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
81.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q1 0:20
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+39
80.5%
Arryn Siposs punt for 47 yds , Amare Jones returns for 39 yds to the Tulan 49 Amare Jones fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:2820% → 19%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-8
80.0%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the AUBURN 49 TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 18
OWN 41
+1
80.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 17
OWN 42
0
80.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 17
OWN 42
0
80.3%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
80.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 24 yds, downed at the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:4181% → 84%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
80.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
80.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+5
80.2%
TULANE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+25
80.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to JaTarvious Whitlow for 25 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
81.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+31
83.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 31 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5718% → 17%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.4%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.4%
Justin McMillan run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
82.3%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+22
82.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 49 yds for a 1ST down , Christian Tutt returns for 22 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:0383% → 87%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
82.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 6 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
83.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 5 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
83.1%
Kam Martin run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
83.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+40
82.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 40 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
83.0%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 4 JaTarvious Whitlow fumbled, recovered by AubSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.3%
Eli Stove run for 4 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1514% → 14%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.9%
Amare Jones run for 18 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
85.2%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+4
85.8%
Justin McMillan run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 8:04
3RD & 9
OWN 44
0
85.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 44
0
86.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Tutt at the Aub 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5286% → 85%
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
86.0%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
85.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 7 yds to the Aub 16Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
85.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
85.4%
Arryn Siposs punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5915% → 13%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
85.5%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+18
84.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
84.6%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+3
85.0%
Justin McMillan run for 3 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+1
84.9%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Aub 43Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
86.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Will WallaceSimilar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
86.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 40 yds, downed at the Aub 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0586% → 86%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
85.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+9
85.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 9 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+3
85.6%
Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
86.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+5
86.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Will Hastings for 5 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+1
86.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kam Martin for 1 yd to the Aub 21Similar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+12
85.8%
Arryn Siposs punt for 45 yds , Amare Jones returns for 12 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:4014% → 17%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
85.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 2 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+17
85.7%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 17 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
84.4%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 9 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+5
84.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
84.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
84.1%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 3 yds to the Aub 14Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
86.0%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jorien VallienSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+32
83.4%
Merek Glover 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17END OF HALF
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:2786% → 87%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
86.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
86.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kam MartinSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+10
86.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kam Martin for 10 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
87.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
87.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 4 yds to the Aub 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:0915% → 15%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
84.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
85.3%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+22
85.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 22 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
84.2%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 10 yards to the Tulan 36 TULANE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+2
84.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jorien Vallien for 2 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+6
85.1%
AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside (6 Yards) to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+19
84.8%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 19 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
82.7%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
82.7%
Amare Jones pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-1
83.4%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
84.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 33 yds, downed at the Aub 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:3085% → 84%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
85.3%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Aub 6Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+13
85.2%
Bo Nix run for 13 yds to the Aub 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
85.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
85.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to JaTarvious WhitlowSimilar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
84.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
84.1%
Arryn Siposs punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20INT
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:3317% → 18%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
83.5%
Amare Jones run for 7 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+12
82.4%
Justin McMillan run for 12 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
82.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
81.6%
Justin McMillan pass intercepted Jeremiah Dinson return for no gain to the Aub 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:0986% → 95%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
85.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+2
85.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+15
86.3%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
88.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 4 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+10
88.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 10 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
88.8%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+6
89.1%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+9
88.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 9 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
89.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 9 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+3
89.5%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
89.9%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 6 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
95.2%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 14 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:267% → 6%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jorien VallienSimilar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Ryan Wright punt for 38 yds, downed at the Aub 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:3995% → 97%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
95.0%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+15
95.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Will Hastings for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
95.3%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
95.5%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+10
95.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Sal Cannella for 10 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+24
95.4%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 24 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.6%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for no gain to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
95.7%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
97.4%
Anders Carlson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 2:153% → 3%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
96.7%
Corey Dauphine run for 24 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
96.8%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 44 Corey Dauphine fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr.Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 15
OWN 44
+15
97.2%
AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darius BradwellSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-10
96.9%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 20
OWN 49
0
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 20
OWN 49
+7
97.2%
Justin McMillan run for 7 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q4 10:08
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
97.2%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:2098% → 98%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
97.8%
AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+2
97.6%
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Aub 36 JaTarvious Whitlow fumbled, recovered by Tulan Jeffery JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:133% → 3%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
96.9%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 39Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+9
97.0%
Justin McMillan pass complete to Amare Jones for 9 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 8:23
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
96.8%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 4
OPP 30
0
97.1%
Justin McMillan pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27END OF 4TH QUARTER
16 plays · 55 yds · 7:3998% → 99%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
97.8%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+3
98.0%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+10
98.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Matthew Hill for 10 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.4%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+11
98.4%
Joey Gatewood run for 11 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
98.6%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 16
OPP 43
+4
98.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+14
98.8%
Joey Gatewood run for 14 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.0%
Kam Martin run for 8 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
99.0%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+4
99.1%
Joey Gatewood run for 4 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.2%
Joey Gatewood run for 1 yd to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-3
99.3%
Joey Gatewood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:51
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 14 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 9:37
Eli Stove run for 4 yds for a TD, (Anders Carlson KICK)
+4.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:00
JaTarvious Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Aub 23
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com