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TXST

Texas State 7 at Texas A&M 41

TA&M
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2019 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:36 · Seamus O'Kelly punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Pregame prior+18.0Home team on offense+35.3Score differential+29.6Blowout margin+15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.8Garbage-time factor+9.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:44: Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 21 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:16: Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:25: Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:05: Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK) — TA&M win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:56TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55TXST 4th & 4 at TXST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:19TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:53TA&M 4th & 4 at TXST 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:06TXST 4th & 15 at TXST 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:02TXST 4th & 22 at TXST 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:37TA&M 4th & 5 at TXST 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:18TXST 4th & 7 at TA&M 39, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:36TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:52TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 26, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:48TXST 4th & 5 at TXST 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:57TA&M 4th & 7 at TXST 9, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TXST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 7:44TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:16TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:25TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:05TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55TA&M Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:36TXST Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5998% → 98%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
98.3%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 15 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+1
98.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 1 yd to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
98.1%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+5
98.0%
Braden Mann punt for 46 yds , Hutch White returns for 5 yds to the TexSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.0%
Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the TexSt 18Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
98.0%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 6 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Hunter HebertSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:0098% → 98%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 5 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+20
97.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 20 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
97.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the TexSt 46Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+9
97.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 9 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
97.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 9 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
97.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.5%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
97.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 21 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4INT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:192% → 3%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.6%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Mason Hays for 7 yds to the TexSt 32Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
97.5%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 31Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
97.5%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for 9 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.4%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for no gain to the TexSt 40Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
97.3%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 2 yds to the TexSt 42Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-5
97.3%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, False Start (Micah Hilts) to the TexSt 37Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
97.3%
Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Leon O'Neal Jr. return for no gain to the TexSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 2:4497% → 98%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
97.4%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+40
97.2%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 40 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.3%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the TexSt 1Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the TexSt 1Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:513% → 3%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.5%
Tyler Vitt sacked by Roney Elam for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 20Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
97.5%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for 1 yd to the TexSt 26Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 29 yds, downed at the TexAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0798% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.5%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
97.5%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Glenn Beal for 5 yds to the TexSt 48Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
97.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
97.5%
Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexSt 44Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
97.4%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
97.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
97.2%
Braden Mann punt for 29 yds, downed at the TexSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:383% → 3%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
97.1%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 8Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+8
97.2%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 8 yds to the TexSt 16Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 4
OWN 16
-7
97.1%
Tyler Vitt sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSt 9Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 11
OWN 9
-4
97.2%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the TexSt 5Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
97.1%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 2:3197% → 99%
Q2 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the TexSt 35Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+14
97.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 14 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
97.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 11 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
96.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the TexSt 5Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.6%
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10INT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Jeremiah HaydelSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.3%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 13 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
98.1%
Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 37Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+3
98.2%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Mason Hays for 3 yds to the TexSt 40Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+10
98.1%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
50
0
98.0%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Mason HaysSimilar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 10
50
0
98.1%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Jeremiah HaydelSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 10
50
+14
98.1%
Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Myles Jones return for 14 yds to the TexSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:0099% → 99%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+6
98.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 6 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
98.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 29 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Hutch White for 11 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.6%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 37Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+24
99.6%
Gresch Jensen pass intercepted Roney Elam return for 24 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.5%
Kellen Mond run for 9 yds to the TexSt 16Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+3
99.6%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.6%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Kendrick Rogers for 12 yds Kendrick Rogers fumbled, forced by Anthony J. Taylor, recovered by TexSt Frankie GriffinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.6%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the TexSt 1Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+12
99.6%
Gresch Jensen run for 12 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
99.5%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 13 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.6%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 8 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:531% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.6%
Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Hunter HebertSimilar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
97.8%
Jensen, Gresch pass incomplete to Haydel, Jeremiah, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Blades, Elijah) 15 yards to the TEXSTATE39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXSTATE.Similar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.4%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Anthony D. Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 37Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-10
99.7%
Gresch Jensen sacked by Tyree Wilson for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 27Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 22
OWN 27
+12
99.7%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 39 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 12 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:38100% → 100%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the TexSt 49Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
99.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
99.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 8 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
99.7%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Quartney Davis for 3 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+18
99.7%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 18 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the TexSt 7Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+13
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass intercepted Bryan London II return for 13 yds to the TexSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
99.8%
Gresch Jensen pass intercepted Myles Jones return for 19 yds to the TexSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18FG
11 plays · 25 yds · 4:12100% → 100%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 7 yds to the TexSt 23Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+4
99.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the TexSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Glenn Beal for 5 yds to the TexSt 14Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-10
99.8%
Corbin, Jashaun rush for 2 yards to the TEXSTATE12, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Wydermyer, Jalen) 10 yards to the TEXSTATE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+1
99.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd to the TexSt 23Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+15
99.8%
Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Davis, Quartney, PENALTY TEXSTATE pass interference (Morris, Jarron) 15 yards to the TEXSTATE8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.8%
Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the TexSt 8Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexSt 5Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.9%
Seth Small 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.8%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Hutch White for 18 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Mason HaysSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 3
50
+8
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 8 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Caleb TwyfordSimilar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-2
99.9%
Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 1:27
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:18
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
4 plays · 94 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+85
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 85 yds to the TexSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the TexSt 1Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 9 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Seth Caillouet for 8 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Javen Banks for 4 yds to the TexSt 46Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-3
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 43Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Jah'Marae ShereadSimilar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Roshauud Paul at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Quartney DavisSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Braden Mann punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Haydel at the TexSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 1 yd to the TexSt 20Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 4 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for no gain to the TexSt 24Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 yds , Roshauud Paul returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:21100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 3
50
0
99.9%
Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 3
50
+9
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 9 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Preston for 10 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Preston for 8 yds to the TexSt 23Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+11
99.9%
Zach Calzada pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 11 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Roshauud PaulSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
100.0%
Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexSt 9Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Zach Calzada pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
99.9%
Seth Small 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 25TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Seth Caillouet for 15 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Seth Caillouet for 8 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the TexSt 40Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 5 yds to the TexSt 46Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+6
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Seth Caillouet for 6 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 6 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+15
100.0%
Gresch Jensen pass complete to Javen Banks for 15 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Trevis Graham Jr. 27 Yd pass from Gresch Jensen (Joshua Rowland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 7 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:25
Kellen Mond run for 5 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 3:05
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 2:16
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com