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GASO

Georgia Southern 3 at LSU 55

LSU
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:34 · Anthony Beck II punt for 31 yds, downed at the LSU 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+26.7Home team on offense+31.8Score differential+25.5Blowout margin+13.6Garbage-time factor+6.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:10: Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:09: Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 9 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:10: Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — LSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:58: Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK) — GASO win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 5:13: Tyler Bass 47 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 10:23GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:59GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:30LSU 4th & 1 at GASO 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.4
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:13GASO 4th & 9 at LSU 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:05LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:22GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 34, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:24GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 26, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:48LSU 4th & 2 at GASO 21, up 39
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:34GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:33GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:08LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 40, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 13, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:58LSU 4th & 5 at GASO 30, up 49
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:02GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 45, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:54LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 43, up 52
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:33GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 7, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:36LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:10LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:09LSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:10LSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:58LSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:58LSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:47LSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1696% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Ja'Marr ChaseSimilar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.4%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 7 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
96.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 4 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
96.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 17 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+44
96.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 44 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-10
96.2%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q1 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
96.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 13 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:514% → 4%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
96.1%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
96.1%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 10:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+32
95.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 32 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0396% → 96%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+2
95.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+15
95.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 15 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
95.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
95.8%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:294% → 4%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.0%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
96.0%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
96.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+20
96.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for 20 yds to the LSU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:3496% → 97%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
96.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Lanard Fournette for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+10
96.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Lanard Fournette for 10 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
96.1%
Joe Burrow run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.1%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Terrace Marshall Jr.Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
96.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Ja'Marr Chase for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+1
96.0%
Lanard Fournette run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+10
96.0%
Lanard Fournette run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
96.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Lanard Fournette for 7 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+6
96.0%
Lanard Fournette run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.8%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 9 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:333% → 3%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.8%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
96.8%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
96.9%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Breiden Fehoko) to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
96.8%
Logan Wright run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
96.9%
Shai Werts sacked by Rashard Lawrence for a loss of 12 yards to the GeoSo 26 Shai Werts fumbled, forced by Rashard Lawrence, recovered by LSU Patrick Queen , return for 0 yards , return for 10 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:5597% → 99%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
97.0%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 9 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+8
97.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
97.1%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
97.3%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:452% → 1%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for no gain to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
98.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
98.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 25 Matt LaRoche fumbled, recovered by LSU K'Lavon ChaissonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:0799% → 98%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
98.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 17 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
98.7%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.6%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:391% → 2%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.9%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.9%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
99.0%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
99.0%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.0%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+18
99.2%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Tyler Shelvin) to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.2%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.2%
Justin Tomlin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
98.5%
Tyler Bass 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Justin JeffersonSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Chris Curry for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass incomplete to Thaddeus MossSimilar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+38
99.1%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GASOUTHERN 17 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (Blake Ferguson) to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.2%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 2:22
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.2%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 2 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 13 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
99.3%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Thaddeus Moss for 44 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
99.3%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+15
99.4%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 15 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 11 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:501% → 1%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.5%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Cam Brown for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:181% → 0%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
99.6%
Justin Tomlin run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Colby RansomSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 16FG
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 6 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+13
99.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 17 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+9
99.7%
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 9 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 2
OPP 21
0
99.7%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for no gain to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+39
99.7%
Cade York 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Justin Tomlin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Justin Tomlin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 31 yds, downed at the LSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:21100% → 100%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Trey Palmer for 6 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-2
99.8%
Myles Brennan run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+12
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to TK McLendon for 12 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 32 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
99.8%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
99.8%
Myles Brennan run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
99.8%
Lanard Fournette run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
99.8%
Lanard Fournette run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.8%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Derrick Dillon for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Lanard Fournette run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.9%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Derek Stingley Jr. at the LSU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 25Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jamal PettigrewSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Tyrion Davis-Price for 15 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the LSU 40Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jamal PettigrewSimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass incomplete to Jontre KirklinSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jessie Liptrot at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:000% → 0%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Justin Tomlin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.9%
Justin Tomlin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 33 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for no gain to the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.9%
Myles Brennan run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Myles Brennan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
99.9%
Cade York 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
100.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+20
100.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+12
100.0%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-2
100.0%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Neil Farrell Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 42 yds , Derek Stingley Jr. returns for no gain to the LSU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.9%
Chris Curry run for 3 yds to the LSU 16Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+20
100.0%
Chris Curry run for 20 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
100.0%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Devonta Lee for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 35Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
-1
100.0%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Jamal Pettigrew for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+9
100.0%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Chris Curry for 9 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 52 yds, downed at the GeoSo 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
100.0%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+2
100.0%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
100.0%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 8
OWN 7
0
100.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 74 yds, downed at the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:10
Joe Burrow pass complete to Terrace Marshall Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 3:09
Joe Burrow pass complete to Justin Jefferson for 9 yds for a TD, (Cade York KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q2 5:13
Tyler Bass 47 yd FG GOOD
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com