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PRST

Portland State 13 at Arkansas 20

ARK
2019 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2019 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.6ARK 95.5%Connor Limpert 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:40 · Connor Limpert 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+44.4Home team on offense+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:07: Cody Williams 47 yd FG GOOD — PRST win probability +0.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:20: Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK) — ARK win probability +4.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:44: Connor Limpert 25 yd FG GOOD — ARK win probability +3.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:14: Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 32 yds for a TD, (Cody Williams KICK) — PRST win probability +6.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:11: Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 40 — ARK win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 9PRST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:09PRST 4th & 8 at ARK 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40ARK 4th & 6 at PRST 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:40PRST 4th & 12 at PRST 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:38PRST 4th & 2 at ARK 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07PRST 4th & 4 at ARK 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:29PRST 4th & 11 at ARK 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:10ARK 4th & 2 at PRST 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:33ARK 4th & 14 at PRST 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:44PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00ARK 4th & 6 at PRST 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:54PRST 4th & 21 at PRST 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:38ARK 4th & 4 at PRST 37, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−0.9
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:17ARK 4th & 1 at PRST 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−2.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:20PRST 4th & 2 at PRST 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:44ARK 4th & 4 at PRST 8, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%−0.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−3.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:14PRST 4th & 4 at ARK 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:14PRST 4th & 13 at ARK 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:11ARK 4th & 6 at PRST 35, up 7
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PRST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 3:16ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:20ARK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:14PRST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:514% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.4%
ARKANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.4%
Davis Alexander run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+22
96.4%
Davis Alexander run for 22 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
96.4%
Davis Alexander run for 2 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
96.4%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Dorian GeraldSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
96.4%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Bumper PoolSimilar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
96.1%
Cody Williams 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 2FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:2996% → 96%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Mike Woods, broken up by Jake PorterSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
96.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+12
96.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 12 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
96.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
96.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 5 yds to the PrtSt 35 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, personal foul (Romeo Gunt) to the PrtSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
96.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+5
96.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
96.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony AdamsSimilar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+34
95.5%
Connor Limpert 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.4%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 20Similar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
95.4%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 3 yds to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-7
95.4%
Davis Alexander sacked by Kamren Curl for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
95.5%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 7 yds to the PrtSt 23Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+5
95.5%
Seth Vernon punt for 46 yds , Treylon Burks returns for 5 yds to the Ark 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 4TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:1595% → 95%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
95.0%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+8
95.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
50
0
95.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon BurksSimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
50
+1
95.1%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 49Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+15
95.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Tyson Morris for 15 yds to the PrtSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
95.1%
Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+17
95.2%
De'Vion Warren run for 17 yds to the PrtSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
95.2%
Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 10Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+9
95.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 9 yds to the PrtSt 1 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, roughing passer ( Yards) to the PrtSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 4:095% → 7%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
94.8%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 14 yds to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
94.7%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Sirgeo Hoffman for 15 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
94.6%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
94.6%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 7 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+1
94.6%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 1 yd to the Ark 38Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 2
OPP 38
+2
94.3%
Davis Alexander run for 2 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
94.1%
Carlos Martin run for 3 yds to the Ark 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
93.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Emmanuel DaigbeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+3
94.0%
Davis Alexander run for 3 yds to the Ark 30Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
93.3%
Cody Williams 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
93.4%
Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 25Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+4
93.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
93.2%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
93.0%
Reid Bauer punt for 36 yds , Beau Kelly returns for no gain to the PrtSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.9%
Evyn Holtz run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
92.9%
Davis Alexander run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+22
92.9%
Davis Alexander run for 7 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Kamren Curl) to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
92.5%
Davis Alexander sacked by Kamren Curl for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 42Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
92.6%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete to Emmanuel DaigbeSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+1
92.8%
Evyn Holtz run for 1 yd to the Ark 41Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
93.1%
Seth Vernon punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:3792% → 90%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Ark 21Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+14
91.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Chase Harrell for 14 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
92.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 11 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
92.4%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the Ark 47Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
92.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 6
50
+4
92.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Chase Hayden for 4 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+10
92.1%
Ben Hicks run for 10 yds to the PrtSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Devwah WhaleySimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
92.5%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-4
91.0%
Ben Hicks sacked by Shawn Richard and Semise Kofe for a loss of 4 yards to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
90.1%
Sam Loy punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3910% → 10%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
90.1%
Carlos Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
90.3%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Carlos Martin for no gain to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+29
90.2%
Davis Alexander pass intercepted Kamren Curl return for 29 yds to the PrtSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
91.1%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 13Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 5
OPP 13
-1
91.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Grayson Gunter for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 14Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+17
90.8%
Nick Starkel pass intercepted Robert Holt return for 17 yds to the PrtSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:3911% → 9%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+20
89.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 20 yds to the PrtSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
88.5%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Mataio Talalemotu for 5 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-5
88.0%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 42Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
88.8%
Davis Alexander pass incomplete, broken up by Joe FouchaSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-5
89.2%
Davis Alexander sacked by McTelvin Agim for a loss of 5 yards to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 15
OWN 37
+11
90.8%
Seth Vernon punt for 39 yds , Treylon Burks returns for 11 yds to the Ark 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
89.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Trey Knox for 38 yds to the PrtSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.6%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
90.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 8 yds to the PrtSt 19Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
90.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 3 yds to the PrtSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
88.7%
Rakeem Boyd rush for 6 yards to the AR41 (Shawn Richard), PENALTY AR holding (Austin Capps) 10 yards to the AR25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+6
88.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+20
88.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the PrtSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
89.7%
Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
89.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Treylon Burks, broken up by Anthony AdamsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
89.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
88.6%
Sam Loy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Beau Kelly at the PrtSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
87.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for no gain to the PrtSt 12Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+10
87.5%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Sirgeo Hoffman for 10 yds to the PrtSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
87.3%
Davis Alexander sacked by McTelvin Agim and Gabe Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the PrtSt 16Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 16
OWN 16
+16
87.5%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Davis Koetter for 16 yds to the PrtSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
86.9%
Davis Alexander sacked by McTelvin Agim and Jamario Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+7
87.4%
Sirgeo Hoffman run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 5
OWN 37
-11
87.0%
Davis Alexander pass complete to Sirgeo Hoffman for 4 yds to the PrtSt 41 PORTLAND ST Penalty, illegal block (Mataio Talalemotu) to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
88.0%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 16
OWN 26
-5
88.3%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PrtSt 21Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 21
OWN 21
0
88.4%
Seth Vernon punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
88.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 13 yds to the PrtSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
88.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 37Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
88.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Tyson MorrisSimilar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
88.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Rakeem BoydSimilar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 4
OPP 37
0
87.5%
Sam Loy punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.5%
Davis Alexander pass intercepted Jarques McClellion return for no gain to the Ark 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:5787% → 93%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
86.6%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 30Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
86.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+15
85.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 15 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
87.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 47Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+8
87.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Mike Woods for 8 yds to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Chase Harrell, broken up by Deon CrayonSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
87.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
87.8%
Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+17
86.9%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 34 for a 1ST down PORTLAND ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jake Porter) to the PrtSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
88.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 15 yds to the PrtSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
88.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 2Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Davis Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
92.4%
Davis Alexander sacked by Hayden Henry for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 18Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+15
93.0%
Davis Alexander run for 15 yds to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
92.4%
Seth Vernon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Treylon Burks at the Ark 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:0993% → 96%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
92.5%
De'Vion Warren run for 8 yds to the Ark 37Similar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
92.8%
Chase Hayden run for 6 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.4%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the Ark 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+12
93.4%
De'Vion Warren run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
93.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the PrtSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
93.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Chase HarrellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
93.5%
Chase Hayden run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+5
93.3%
Chase Hayden run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
93.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey Knox, PENALTY PSU offside defense (Romeo Gunt) 5 yards to the PSU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 9
0
93.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Chase HaydenSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
93.4%
Chase Hayden run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
93.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
96.2%
Connor Limpert 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 20TD
22 plays · 75 yds · 6:305% → 10%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.6%
Jalani Eason run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
94.2%
Jalani Eason run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
94.3%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Carlos Martin (Joe Foucha), PENALTY AR offside defense (J. Marshall) 5 yards to the PSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
94.1%
ARKANSAS Penalty, encroachment (5 Yards) to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.0%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Mataio Talalemotu, broken up by Micahh SmithSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
93.1%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete, PENALTY AR offside defense off-setting, PENALTY PSU intentional grounding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
93.9%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 9 yds to the PrtSt 48 PORTLAND ST Penalty, illegal block (Jacob Bystry) to the PrtSt 33Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 16
OWN 33
+11
94.6%
Emmanuel Daigbe run for 11 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+15
93.8%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 15 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
93.6%
ARKANSAS Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Ark 36Similar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 36
-5
93.2%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, false start (Korbin Sorensen) to the Ark 41Similar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
93.6%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Sirgeo Hoffman for 6 yds to the Ark 35Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
92.7%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Charlie Taumoepeau, broken up by D'Vone McClureSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
93.2%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Davis KoetterSimilar
Q4 6:14
4TH & 4
OPP 35
+6
96.6%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 6 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
95.9%
Jalani Eason run for 1 yd to the Ark 28Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
96.0%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Mataio Talalemotu, broken up by Joe FouchaSimilar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-4
96.5%
Jalani Eason run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 32Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+32
90.3%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 32 yds for a TD, (Cody Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:0393% → 96%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for 6 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
93.3%
Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
93.5%
Rakeem Boyd run for 25 yds to the PrtSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
94.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-2
94.3%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 37 Devwah Whaley fumbled, forced by Ryan Lesch, recovered by Ark Grayson GunterSimilar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+2
96.4%
Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
96.2%
Sam Loy punt for 32 yds, downed at the PrtSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 22INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+15
93.4%
Jalani Eason pass incomplete to Emmanuel Daigbe, PENALTY AR pass interference (J. McClellion) 15 yards to the PSU18, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
92.9%
Jalani Eason pass complete to Emmanuel Daigbe for 6 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
92.3%
Jalani Eason run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
92.5%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+20
93.0%
Jalani Eason pass intercepted Joe Foucha return for 20 yds to the PrtSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
97.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:14
Jalani Eason pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 32 yds for a TD, (Cody Williams KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q3 2:20
Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Connor Limpert KICK)
+4.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:11
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the PrtSt 40
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com