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MRSH

Marshall 20 at Virginia Tech 41

VT
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-0.7VT 99.2%Brenden Knox run for 5 yds for a TD(Justin Rohrwasser KICK)AWAY 20 - HOME 41 · Q4 1:43
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Q4 1:43 · Brenden Knox run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense+30.4Score differential+23.9Pregame prior+0.4Garbage-time factor+8.0Blowout margin+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:20: Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 46 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +2.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Brenden Knox run for 2 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser PAT MISSED) — MRSH win probability +3.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 13:45: Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 45 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +5.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:10: Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 7 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +6.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:12: Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 32 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +8.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:49VT 4th & 8 at MRSH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:30MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:23VT 4th & 14 at VT 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:39MRSH 4th & 1 at VT 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−1.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:04VT 4th & 2 at midfield, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47MRSH 4th & 14 at VT 32, down 11
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:13MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00VT 4th & 22 at MRSH 46, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:00MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 7, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:42VT 4th & 7 at MRSH 40, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 11, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:41VT 4th & 6 at MRSH 14, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:46VT 4th & 8 at VT 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:25MRSH 4th & 1 at VT 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    -1.6%−3.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:14MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 42, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:20VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00MRSH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:45VT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:10VT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:12VT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54MRSH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:56VT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:43MRSH Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
65.6%
Isaiah Green sacked by Ricky Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 17 Isaiah Green fumbled, recovered by VTech TyJuan Garbutt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0566% → 66%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
65.6%
Tre Turner run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-1
65.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
65.6%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 13:49
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
65.7%
Brian Johnson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3INT
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:4934% → 35%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
65.7%
Isaiah Green run for 10 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
65.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
65.6%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
65.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 5 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+27
65.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 27 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
65.5%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+12
65.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 12 yds to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
65.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
64.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Jovonn QuillenSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
65.1%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted, touchback. Bryce Watts return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2966% → 69%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
65.5%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
65.5%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
65.4%
Ryan Willis run for 8 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
65.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 5 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+18
65.7%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 18 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Steven Peoples, broken up by Channing HamesSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
66.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Christian Darrisaw) to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+46
69.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Hezekiah Grimsley for 46 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4532% → 31%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
68.0%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
68.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
68.7%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
68.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Damon Hazelton at the VTech 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
69.7%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 7
50
-10
69.8%
Ryan Willis sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+3
68.9%
Deshawn McClease run for 3 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
68.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 33 yds, downed at the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:2731% → 36%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
69.3%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+67
69.0%
Brenden Knox run for 67 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
67.8%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the VTech 3Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
67.8%
Isaiah Green run for 1 yd to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.2%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:0966% → 72%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
65.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 16 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
66.7%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
66.8%
Ryan Willis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
72.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 45 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 1:0629% → 29%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
71.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 12 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
70.8%
Brenden Knox run for 12 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
70.7%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
70.2%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
71.1%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.1%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
73.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 6 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+2
73.6%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Coleman Fox for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 2
50
+22
73.0%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 37 yds, downed at the VATECH 13 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, kick catching interference (Jovonn Quillen) to the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
72.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 6 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+38
72.2%
Brenden Knox run for 38 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
70.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for no gain to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
70.9%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-7
71.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 14
OPP 32
0
73.8%
Isaiah Green punt for 32 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0975% → 84%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
75.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 9 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
75.8%
Tre Turner run for 4 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+54
75.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 54 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
76.8%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
77.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Damon HazeltonSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
83.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 7 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:5717% → 15%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
82.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 7 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
82.5%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-5
81.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Jordan Dowrey) to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
84.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Artie Henry IIISimilar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
84.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Bryce WattsSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 9
OWN 39
-5
85.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Donyae Moody) to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 14
OWN 34
+13
85.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 42 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 13 yds to the VTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 0:4985% → 93%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
85.0%
Steven Peoples run for 11 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
85.4%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 20 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
84.8%
Deshawn McClease run for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
93.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 32 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
85.5%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
85.6%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.2%
Steven Peoples run for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+38
95.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 38 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
95.6%
Ryan Willis slant pass complete to Dalton Keene for 12 yards to the MAR22 (JOHNSON, Nazeeh;BEE, Ryan), PENALTY VT illegal shift 5 yards to the MAR39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+9
95.5%
Steven Peoples run for 9 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-5
95.6%
Ryan Willis sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
-11
95.5%
Ryan Willis sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 11 yards to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 22
OPP 46
0
95.1%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds, downed at the Marsh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:424% → 4%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
95.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Jordan Dowrey) to the Marsh 2Similar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+1
95.7%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 3Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
96.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 3
+4
96.1%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 7
OWN 7
+12
96.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 53 yds , Damon Hazelton returns for 12 yds to the Marsh 19 MARSHALL Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2998% → 98%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
97.5%
Deshawn McClease run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+3
97.5%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Deshawn McClease for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+5
97.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, offside defense (Marquis Couch) to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Ryan Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:273% → 3%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
96.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+7
96.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 7 yds Armani Levias fumbled, forced by Rayshard Ashby, recovered by Marsh Armani LeviasSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
97.2%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OWN 16
-5
97.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 11Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
97.0%
Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds, downed at the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:1598% → 100%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.2%
Steven Peoples run for 1 yd to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+12
98.3%
Steven Peoples run for 12 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
98.3%
Hezekiah Grimsley run for 9 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+2
98.3%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
98.3%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 8 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+8
98.3%
Steven Peoples run for 8 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.3%
Steven Peoples run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Hezekiah GrimsleySimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+2
98.9%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 2 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+32
99.7%
Brian Johnson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:470% → 3%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 12 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+2
99.6%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+21
99.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 21 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
97.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 34 yds for a TD Timeout VIRGINIA TECH, clock 14:54 (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.5%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
98.5%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, PENALTY MAR holding (JACKSON, Chris) 10 yards to the VT30, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
98.6%
Deshawn McClease run for 2 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Coleman FoxSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for no gain to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+52
98.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 52 yds , Marcel Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 15 Marcel Williams fumbled, recovered by Marsh Marcel WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 69 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
98.3%
Brenden Knox run for 16 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+22
98.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 6 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Jarrod Hewitt) to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
98.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 25 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
98.0%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
98.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
98.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 1
OPP 13
-3
98.1%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:5399% → 100%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass complete to Dalton Keene for 7 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+5
99.1%
Steven Peoples run for 5 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, offside defense (Darius Hodge) to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 5
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Ryan Willis pass incomplete to Eric Kumah, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-3
99.2%
Ryan Willis run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+6
99.2%
Steven Peoples run for 6 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+5
99.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt 40 yards to the MAR24, fair catch by WILLIAMS, Marcel, PENALTY MAR offside defense 5 yards to the VT41, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY, clock 07:11.Similar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
99.4%
Jalen Holston run for 7 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+5
99.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, offside defense (Ty Tyler) to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.4%
Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+3
99.4%
Tre Turner run for 3 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Jalen Holston run for 40 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:130% → 1%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+18
99.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 18 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete, broken up by Jermaine WallerSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.9%
Isaiah Green run for 15 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
99.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 20 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q4 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26Uncategorized
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.7%
Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-3
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:12
Ryan Willis pass complete to Eric Kumah for 32 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 4:10
Ryan Willis pass complete to Steven Peoples for 7 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 13:45
Ryan Willis pass complete to Tre Turner for 45 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+5.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com