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AKR

Akron 3 at South Carolina 28

SC
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Mon Denson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+19.5Home team on offense+33.1Score differential+16.5Blowout margin+10.7Garbage-time factor+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 3:59: Nick Gasser 45 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q2 8:09: TEAM run for a loss of 24 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaro Deebo Samuel for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:33: Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK) — SC win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:33: Deltron Sands run for 6 yds to the Akron 31 — AKR win probability +1.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Will Tommie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — SC win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 9 at AKR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38AKR 4th & 18 at AKR 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:59AKR 4th & 11 at SC 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:19AKR 4th & 11 at SC 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    45% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 15 at AKR 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:09AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:09AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 47, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 16 at AKR 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:56SC 4th & 14 at SC 45, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:04AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:57AKR 4th & 10 at SC 25, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:17AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SC 4th & 1 at AKR 18, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:25AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:53SC 4th & 9 at SC 38, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:54AKR 4th & 1 at SC 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:22SC 4th & 19 at AKR 47, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:15AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 18, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:21SC 4th & 4 at SC 39, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:29SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:01SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:33SC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
97.6%
Mon Denson run for 6 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+10
97.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 10 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
97.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for no gain to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+1
97.6%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the Akron 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Joseph Charlton punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
97.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 14Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 11
OWN 14
0
97.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-7
97.2%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kingsley Enagbare for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 18
OWN 7
+21
97.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 42 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for 21 yds to the Akron 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:3897% → 97%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
97.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+7
97.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 15 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:303% → 4%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.1%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
97.1%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 5 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
97.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 13 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
97.0%
Kato Nelson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
97.0%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jemarulin SuggsSimilar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.0%
Jemarulin Suggs run for no gain to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+13
97.0%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 13 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
97.0%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 2 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-3
97.0%
Kato Nelson sacked by Brad Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
97.0%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Rashad FentonSimilar
Q1 3:59
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
96.0%
Nick Gasser 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 0:5896% → 96%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
96.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-1
96.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+70
96.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 70 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 2:424% → 4%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
96.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Daishawn Brimage for 17 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
96.4%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 17 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.3%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
96.3%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 14 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jonah Morris, broken up by Javon KinlawSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-1
96.2%
Jemarulin Suggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
96.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete, broken up by Javon KinlawSimilar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+52
96.2%
Nick Gasser 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:1996% → 96%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Brock BoxenSimilar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
96.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 0:19
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 13 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
96.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, QB hurry by DAVIS, Jamal, PENALTY AKRON pass interference (BROWN, Kyron) 15 yards to the AKRON37, 1ST DOWN SC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
96.3%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-5
96.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo Samuel, PENALTY SC false start 5 yards to the AKRON37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
96.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
96.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Kiel Pollard, broken up by Alvin DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 37
-5
96.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
96.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 38 yds, downed at the Akron 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
96.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 13 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
96.1%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 2 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
96.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Daishawn Brimage for 15 yds Daishawn Brimage fumbled, forced by R.J. Roderick, recovered by SCaro Sherrod Greene , return for 9 yds to the Akron 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.3%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+12
96.3%
Mon Denson run for 12 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.3%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Akron 11Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
96.3%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Denzel Butler return for 2 yds to the Akron 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10FUMBLE TD
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:454% → 3%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
95.9%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 2 yds to the Akron 4Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+13
95.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 13 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
95.8%
Deltron Sands run for 6 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+1
95.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Deltron Sands for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
95.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jemarulin SuggsSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 24 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by SCaro Deebo Samuel for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to M.J. McGriff for 4 yds to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
96.8%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to STEWART, Nate (Rashad Fenton), PENALTY SC pass interference (Rashad Fenton) 11 yards to the AKRON40, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett, broken up by Keisean NixonSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+8
96.9%
Kato Nelson run for 8 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
96.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:0097% → 98%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
97.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
97.0%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+19
96.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 19 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
97.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 30 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
97.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Akron 39Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+27
97.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 27 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
97.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 8 yards to the AKRON4 (LAKO, John), PENALTY AKRON substitution infraction 5 yards to the AKRON7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+2
97.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
97.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
98.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:493% → 3%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.0%
Deltron Sands run for 6 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
96.7%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 3 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
96.8%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
96.8%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 4 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+16
96.6%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 16 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.5%
Kato Nelson sacked by Kobe Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+7
98.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 7 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.6%
Kato Nelson sacked by Javon Kinlaw for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 32 yds, downed at the SCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
99.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-10
99.2%
Jake Bentley sacked by Jamal Davis II for a loss of 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA 45 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, intentional grounding (Jake Bentley) to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 14
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Joseph Charlton punt for 40 yds , Jeremiah Knight returns for no gain to the Akron 18 Jeremiah Knight fumbled, recovered by Akron Jeremiah KnightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.9%
Kato Nelson run for 2 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Sherrod GreeneSimilar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
99.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 16 yds to the Akron 35 Rico Dowdle fumbled, forced by Zaire Jacobs, recovered by Akron Zaire JacobsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+26
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jonah Morris for 26 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Jemarulin Suggs run for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jeremiah Knight for 6 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+8
98.8%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 8 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Israel MukuamuSimilar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
98.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
98.9%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19INT
5 plays · 63 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh Vann, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+61
99.3%
Mon Denson run for 61 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.3%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the Akron 11Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-1
99.4%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 12Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+2
99.3%
Jake Bentley pass intercepted Darian Dailey return for 2 yds to the Akron 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 11 yds to the Akron 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
99.1%
Jemarulin Suggs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 11
OWN 16
0
99.1%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Jeremiah Knight, broken up by Josh BelkSimilar
Q3 5:17
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+3
99.1%
Kato Nelson run for 3 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
99.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryan Edwards at the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
99.6%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
99.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Kiel Pollard for 4 yds Kiel Pollard fumbled, forced by Brian Bell, recovered by Akron Zaire Jacobs , return for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.2%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Daishawn BrimageSimilar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-2
99.2%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jemarulin Suggs for a loss of 2 yards Jemarulin Suggs fumbled, forced by Sherrod Greene, recovered by Akron Jemarulin SuggsSimilar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+10
99.5%
Kato Nelson sacked by Brad Johnson and Kobe Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 47 Kato Nelson fumbled, recovered by SCaro Ernest Jones , return for 0 yards SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Javon Kinlaw) to the SCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.6%
Mon Denson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
50
+11
99.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 11 yds to the Akron 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.6%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
99.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Josh Vann for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh Vann (BROWN, Kyron), PENALTY AKRON substitution infraction 4 yards to the AKRON31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+4
99.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.7%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+4
99.7%
Mon Denson run for 4 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Mon Denson run for no gain to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-2
99.7%
Mon Denson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
Jemarulin Suggs run for 2 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Jemarulin Suggs for 7 yds Jemarulin Suggs fumbled, forced by Israel Mukuamu, recovered by AkronSimilar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Brad JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 38 yds , Bryan Edwards returns for no gain to the SCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh Vann, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.7%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+22
99.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 47 , Jeremiah Knight returns for 22 yds to the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to M.J. McGriff, broken up by R.J. RoderickSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.6%
Keyondre White run for 7 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+2
99.6%
Keyondre White run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Keyondre White run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
99.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Jacob August for 18 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan Edwards, broken up by Darian DaileySimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Mon Denson run for 1 yd to the Akron 37Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-10
99.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Josh Ward and Jamal Davis II for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
99.7%
Joseph Charlton punt for 45 yds, downed at the Akron 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
99.8%
Keyondre White run for 3 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+10
99.8%
Keyondre White run for 10 yds to the Akron 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Kato Nelson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 4 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 19
-1
99.8%
Keyondre White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 18Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.8%
Mon Denson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+1
99.8%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Joseph Charlton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Knight at the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Kato Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 11 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
NELSON, Kato pass incomplete to BENNETT, Mykel (Israel Mukuamu), PENALTY SC encroachment 5 yards to the AKRON40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 5
OWN 40
+10
99.9%
Keyondre White run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
50
0
99.8%
Keyondre White run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
50
+5
99.8%
Keyondre White run for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Keyondre White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Will Tommie kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+2.3
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:33
Deltron Sands run for 6 yds to the Akron 31
-1.7
TD · Q2 1:33
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds for a TD (Parker White KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com