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DRKE

Drake 24 at Iowa State 27

ISU
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadDRKE aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreDRKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:45 · Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew Eaton
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+42.1Home team on offense+1.5Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential−0.4Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:42: Grant Kraemer pass complete to Tom Pugh for 2 yds for a TD — DRKE win probability +2.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: DRKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:13: Brock Purdy run for 11 yds for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Drake 8 (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED) — ISU win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:02: Danny Donley 26 yd FG GOOD — DRKE win probability +2.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: DRKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:37: Grant Kraemer pass complete to Devin Cates for 19 yds for a TD (Danny Donley KICK) — DRKE win probability +18.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: DRKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:26: Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK) — ISU win probability +7.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5DRKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00DRKE 4th & 2 at DRKE 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:49ISU 4th & 15 at ISU 21, tied
    Close callWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:45ISU 4th & 3 at DRKE 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:08DRKE 4th & 2 at DRKE 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:12DRKE 4th & 4 at DRKE 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:06ISU 4th & 2 at DRKE 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:02DRKE 4th & 4 at ISU 9, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00DRKE 4th & 8 at DRKE 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:25ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 28, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:12DRKE 4th & 11 at DRKE 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:33ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−3.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:04DRKE 4th & 29 at ISU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4DRKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:23DRKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:38ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:42DRKE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:13ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:37DRKE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:26ISU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DRKEDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
Drew Lauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Drake 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+11
99.2%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Steven Doran for 11 yds to the Drake 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.2%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Drew Lauer for a loss of 2 yards to the Drake 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
99.2%
Drew Lauer run for 2 yds to the Drake 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.2%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Drew Lauer for 8 yds to the Drake 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Ross Kennedy punt for 31 yds, downed at the IowSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · -19 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.0%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+6
99.0%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-9
99.0%
Brock Purdy sacked by Erin Morgan for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 15
OWN 21
-14
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the IowSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 3TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q1 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Cross Robinson run for no gain to the IowSt 7Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Zach DeLeon for 7 yds for a TD Timeout DRAKE, clock 09:23 (Danny Donley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
98.7%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+4
98.7%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Drake 48Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+39
98.7%
David Montgomery run for 39 yds to the Drake 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
98.7%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Drake 7Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 5INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.5%
Cross Robinson run for no gain to the Drake 29Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.5%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Isaiah Skinner for 4 yds to the Drake 33Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+16
98.5%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Will Purdom for 16 yds to the Drake 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
98.4%
Drew Lauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Drake 47Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
98.5%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Steven DoranSimilar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+19
98.5%
Grant Kraemer pass intercepted Brian Peavy return for 19 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:5598% → 98%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.3%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Drake 48Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
98.3%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Drake 47Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+17
98.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 17 yds to the Drake 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
98.3%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Drake 28Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+14
98.3%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 14 yds to the Drake 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
98.3%
David Montgomery run for 9 yds to the Drake 5Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
98.3%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Drake 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 7TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 5:132% → 4%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
98.1%
Braeden Hartwig run for 11 yds to the Drake 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+11
98.1%
Grant Kraemer run for 11 yds to the Drake 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-3
98.0%
Grant Kraemer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Drake 28 Grant Kraemer fumbled, recovered by Drake Grant KraemerSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
98.0%
Drew Lauer run for 1 yd to the Drake 40Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+18
98.0%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Will Purdom for 18 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+27
97.9%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Zach DeLeon for 27 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
97.9%
Braeden Hartwig run for 13 yds to the IowSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.9%
Grant Gossling run for no gain to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
98.1%
Braeden Hartwig run for 3 yds to the Drake 31Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.9%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Tom Pugh for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:4897% → 96%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.6%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Butler, Hakeem, PENALTY DU pass interference (Butler, Jabari) 15 yards to the ISU40, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.8%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+12
96.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 12 yds to the Drake 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
96.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 8 yds to the Drake 36Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 36
-1
96.6%
Sheldon Croney Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Drake 37Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
96.5%
Brock Purdy run for no gain to the Drake 37Similar
Q2 8:45
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
96.4%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew EatonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
94.6%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Drew Lauer for 9 yds to the Drake 46Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-1
94.3%
Braeden Hartwig run for a loss of 1 yard to the Drake 45Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
94.5%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Isaiah SkinnerSimilar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
94.7%
Ross Kennedy punt blocked by TEAM blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2296% → 96%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
95.6%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Drake 18Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
95.6%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Drake 16Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
95.4%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Drake 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Kene Nwangwu for no gain to the Drake 11Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.4%
Brock Purdy run for 11 yds for a TD IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Drake 8 (Connor Assalley PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:554% → 4%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.8%
Drew Lauer run for no gain to the Drake 20Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Braeden Hartwig run for no gain to the Drake 20Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
95.8%
Grant Kraemer run for 6 yds to the Drake 26Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Ross Kennedy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+24
95.7%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 24 yds to the Drake 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Hakeem ButlerSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
95.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to David Montgomery for 8 yds to the Drake 30Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
95.8%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to David MontgomerySimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
95.6%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Drake 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
95.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Drake 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.5%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 37Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
95.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 9 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+11
95.6%
David Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Drake 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
95.8%
Montgomery, David rush for 7 yards to the DU36 (Morgan, Erin;Willis, Connor), PENALTY ISU holding (Good-Jones, Julian) 10 yards to the ISU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 20
OWN 47
-9
95.5%
Brock Purdy sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 29 Brock Purdy fumbled, recovered by Drake Gavin Dineen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 15FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:097% → 8%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
92.9%
Braeden Hartwig run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+11
92.9%
Braeden Hartwig run for 11 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
93.6%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Isaiah SkinnerSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
93.6%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Steven Doran for 6 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
94.1%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Steven Doran, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
91.8%
Danny Donley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16INT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
93.2%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
93.3%
Tarique Milton run for 3 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+8
93.1%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Tarique Milton for 8 yds to the Drake 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
93.5%
Kyle Kempt pass complete to Tarique Milton for a loss of 2 yards to the Drake 46Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-2
93.2%
David Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Drake 48Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+9
92.7%
Kyle Kempt pass intercepted Kieran Severa return for 9 yds to the Drake 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 17TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:0111% → 30%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
89.2%
Braeden Hartwig run for 3 yds to the Drake 49Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
89.0%
Braeden Hartwig run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+7
89.1%
Grant Kraemer run for 7 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
88.9%
Drew Lauer run for no gain to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
88.9%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Steven DoranSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+23
89.4%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Devin Cates for 23 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
88.3%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Drew Lauer for 15 yds to the IowSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
88.3%
DRAKE Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Devin Cates) to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
70.1%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Devin Cates for 19 yds for a TD (Danny Donley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:0577% → 88%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
76.6%
David Montgomery run for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+15
78.6%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Matthew Eaton for 15 yds to the Drake 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
79.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 15 yds to the Drake 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
80.9%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 6 yds to the Drake 24Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
80.9%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Drake 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
80.9%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Matthew EatonSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
80.9%
Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Eaton, Matthew, PENALTY DU substitution infraction 5 yards to the DU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
80.9%
David Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Drake 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
80.9%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Drake 7Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
80.9%
Brock Purdy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.4%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:2014% → 14%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
86.0%
Braeden Hartwig run for 1 yd to the Drake 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
85.8%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Devin CatesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+14
86.6%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Steven Doran for 14 yds to the Drake 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
84.3%
Braeden Hartwig run for no gain to the Drake 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-1
84.8%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Shane Feller for a loss of 1 yard to the Drake 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 41
-5
85.8%
DRAKE Penalty, false start (Jordan Lewinsky) to the Drake 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 36
+8
86.6%
Grant Kraemer run for 8 yds to the Drake 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
86.4%
Ross Kennedy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
86.2%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
86.4%
David Montgomery run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
85.7%
David Montgomery run for 2 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
85.3%
Joe Rivera punt for 46 yds , Terry Wallen returns for no gain to the Drake 25 Terry Wallen fumbled, forced by De'Monte Ruth, recovered by Drake Terry WallenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
82.3%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Zach DeLeon for 20 yds to the Drake 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
79.8%
Braeden Hartwig run for no gain to the Drake 45Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
80.7%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Devin Cates for 7 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-8
79.0%
Grant Kraemer sacked by Spencer Benton for a loss of 8 yards to the Drake 44Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
83.4%
Ross Kennedy punt for 43 yds, downed at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
82.7%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 13Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
82.5%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 3 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
81.5%
Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Deshaunte JonesSimilar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
80.8%
Joe Rivera punt for 30 yds, downed at the IowSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DRKEDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 0:0027% → 21%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
72.8%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Devin Cates for 4 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
72.9%
Braeden Hartwig run for 2 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+14
73.5%
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Zach DeLeon for 14 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
71.0%
Kraemer, Grant pass complete to Lauer, Drew for 3 yards to the ISU23 (Hummel, Jake), PENALTY DU holding (Purdom, Will) 10 yards to the ISU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
74.8%
Grant Kraemer pass incomplete to Steven Doran, broken up by De'Monte RuthSimilar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 20
OPP 36
-9
75.1%
Grant Kraemer sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 29
OPP 45
0
77.2%
Grant Kraemer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 29
OPP 45
0
78.8%
Ross Kennedy punt for 25 yds, downed at the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 24 yds · 1:3586% → 91%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.8%
David Montgomery run for no gain to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
87.8%
Brock Purdy pass complete to Hakeem Butler for 17 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
89.1%
David Montgomery run for 4 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
90.6%
David Montgomery run for 5 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
90.4%
David Montgomery run for 1 yd to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
91.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 11
OWN 46
-2
90.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:37
Grant Kraemer pass complete to Devin Cates for 19 yds for a TD (Danny Donley KICK)
-18.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+9.3
TD · Q3 0:26
Brock Purdy pass complete to Deshaunte Jones for 7 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com