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NORF

Norfolk State 17 at Liberty 52

LIB
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:24 · Josh Nardone punt for 31 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+38.3Home team on offense+11.6Score differential+8.3Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:08: Aaron Peart 20 yd FG GOOD — NORF win probability +1.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:52: Stephen Calvert pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 18 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +0.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:55: Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:33: Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:07: Kentory Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK) — LIB win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NORF made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:08LIB 4th & 2 at NORF 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:12NORF 4th & 5 at LIB 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:51NORF 4th & 2 at NORF 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:24NORF 4th & 4 at LIB 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:40LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00NORF 4th & 17 at NORF 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:57LIB 4th & 10 at NORF 11, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:31NORF 4th & 9 at NORF 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:36LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 32, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:33NORF 4th & 6 at LIB 34, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:24LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 48, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7NORF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 0:52LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:33LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:07LIB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:57LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:06NORF Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:11LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:50NORF Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:36LIB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1FG
18 plays · 76 yds · 6:5297% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 8 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+4
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 8 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+5
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 12 yds to the NflkS 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Kentory MatthewsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+10
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 10 yds to the NflkS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 3 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+10
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 10 yds to the NflkS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
96.5%
Kentory Matthews run for 6 yds to the NflkS 11Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+8
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 8 yds to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
96.5%
Frankie Hickson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NflkS 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 5 yds to the NflkS 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.5%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
95.4%
Aaron Peart 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 2FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 4:485% → 6%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
95.3%
Aaron Savage run for 3 yds to the NflkS 42Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+11
95.3%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Marcus Taylor for 11 yds to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
95.2%
Juwan Carter run for 6 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+20
95.2%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 20 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
95.2%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 8 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+6
95.2%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 6 yds to the Liber 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.2%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.2%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcus Taylor, broken up by Solomon AjayiSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.2%
Juwan Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
93.9%
Josh Nardone 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2094% → 95%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
94.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 11 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
94.3%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds to the NflkS 49Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+20
94.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 5 yds to the NflkS 44 for a 1ST down NORFOLK ST Penalty, roughing passer (Bobby Price) to the NflkS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
94.5%
Frankie Hickson run for 11 yds to the NflkS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
95.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Michael Bollinger for 18 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:4795% → 96%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
94.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the NflkS 6Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+1
94.9%
Frankie Hickson run for 1 yd to the NflkS 5Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
96.1%
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
95.6%
Cameryn Brent run for 3 yds to the NflkS 17Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+5
95.6%
Aaron Savage run for 5 yds to the NflkS 22Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
95.6%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Isaiah Winstead, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
95.7%
Josh Nardone punt for 38 yds, downed at the Liber 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:4496% → 98%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+43
96.0%
Kentory Matthews run for 43 yds to the NflkS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
96.1%
Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds to the NflkS 14Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
96.1%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. Farrow, broken up by Aaron ChandlerSimilar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+11
96.0%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to JT Wood for 11 yds to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.7%
Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
97.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Marcus Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 14Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
97.4%
Aaron Savage run for 3 yds to the NflkS 17Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+12
97.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 12 yds to the NflkS 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
97.4%
Juwan Carter run for 1 yd to the NflkS 30Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+23
97.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 8 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Juwan Wells) to the Liber 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
97.2%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcus TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.3%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 6 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
97.2%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcus TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
97.2%
Josh Nardone punt for 31 yds, fair catch by B.J. Farrow at the Liber 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
97.9%
Kentory Matthews run for 1 yd to the Liber 11Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
97.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
97.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
97.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 yds , Marcus Taylor returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Marcus Taylor fumbled, recovered by Liber Javon Scruggs , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10TD
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:3998% → 99%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
50
+7
98.0%
Frank Boyd run for 7 yds to the NflkS 43Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+7
98.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Kentory Matthews for 7 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.2%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
98.1%
Kentory Matthews run for 13 yds to the NflkS 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
98.1%
Kentory Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 24Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+23
98.2%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 23 yds to the NflkS 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Kentory Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.6%
Juwan Carter pass intercepted for a TD Rion Davis return for 22 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:510% → 1%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Aaron Savage run for 4 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Aaron Savage run for 2 yds to the NflkS 31Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
99.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Marcus Taylor for 23 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
99.6%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 12 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcus TaylorSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+24
99.5%
Juwan Carter run for 24 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.4%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Justin Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Frankie Hickson for no gain to the Liber 36Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
99.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to JT Wood for 10 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to DJ StubbsSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+24
99.4%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 24 yds to the NflkS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+47
99.5%
Aaron Peart 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Aaron Savage run for no gain to the NflkS 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna, broken up by Jeremy PetersSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.2%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 11 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
Aaron Savage run for 3 yds to the NflkS 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Marcus TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-10
99.2%
Juwan Carter sacked by Juwan Wells for a loss of 10 yards to the NflkS 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Josh Nardone punt for 26 yds, downed at the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 7 yds to the NflkS 48Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+12
99.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 12 yds to the NflkS 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 4 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+10
99.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 10 yds to the NflkS 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.6%
Frankie Hickson run for 6 yds to the NflkS 16Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+5
99.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the NflkS 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.6%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to Antonio Gandy-GoldenSimilar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-2
99.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 13Similar
Q3 12:14
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+2
99.6%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 2 yds to the NflkS 11Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
99.7%
Aaron Peart 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 16INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
99.7%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 23 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Isaiah WinsteadSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.7%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 11 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-8
99.7%
Juwan Carter sacked by Juwan Wells and Corbin Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the NflkS 46Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 18
OWN 46
-5
99.7%
CARTER,Juwan sideline pass complete to WINSTEAD,I. for 10 yards to the LIBERTY44 (MATTHEWS, M.), PENALTY NSU ineligible downfield on pass (POWELL,Jalen) 5 yards to the NSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 23
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Aaron SavageSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 23
OWN 41
+39
99.7%
Juwan Carter pass intercepted Jeremy Peters return for 39 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
99.8%
Kentory Matthews run for 18 yds to the NflkS 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.8%
Kentory Matthews run for 10 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:210% → 0%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Cameryn Brent run for 5 yds to the NflkS 30Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 4 yds to the NflkS 34Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+16
99.8%
Cameryn Brent run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.8%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 10 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
99.8%
Juwan Carter run for 15 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
Gerald Hulett run for 2 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+18
99.8%
Gerald Hulett run for 18 yds to the Liber 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Gerald Hulett run for 5 yds for a TD (Josh Nardone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to Antonio Gandy-Golden for 1 yd to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Kentory Matthews run for 2 yds to the Liber 37Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass complete to B.J. Farrow for 11 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+35
99.9%
Kentory Matthews run for 35 yds to the NflkS 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Stephen Calvert pass incomplete to B.J. FarrowSimilar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Kentory Matthews run for 4 yds to the NflkS 13Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Kentory Matthews run for 13 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Aaron Savage run for 1 yd to the NflkS 28Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Isaiah WinsteadSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna, broken up by Malik MatthewsSimilar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Josh Nardone punt for 57 yds, downed at the Liber 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 7 yds to the Liber 22Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+7
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 7 yds to the Liber 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 1 yd to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 10:36
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Mason Cunningham pass complete to Brody Brumm for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 39 yds, downed at the NflkS 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
99.9%
Cameryn Brent run for 16 yds to the NflkS 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
99.9%
Marcus Taylor run for a loss of 4 yards to the NflkS 41Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Cameryn Brent run for no gain to the NflkS 41Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 21 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Marcus Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 39Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 5 yds to the Liber 34Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Juwan Carter pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna, broken up by Bejour WilsonSimilar
Q4 7:33
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Josh Nardone punt for 17 yds, downed at the Liber 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23Uncategorized
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.9%
Mason Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Liber 19Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+20
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 20 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 3 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 5 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Frank Boyd run for 1 yd to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 3:24
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Frank Boyd run for 4 yds to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:33
Kentory Matthews run for 3 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 14:55
Frankie Hickson run for 5 yds for a TD (Aaron Peart KICK)
+1.3
FG · Q1 8:08
Aaron Peart 20 yd FG GOOD
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com