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NCAT

North Carolina A&T 28 at East Carolina 23

ECU
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2018 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadNCAT aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreNCAT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:10 · Michael Rivers punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCAT 37 , Trevon Brown returns for 14 yds to the NCAT 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+15.2Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:50: Deondre Farrier 6 Yd pass from Reid Herring (Jake Verity Kick) — ECU win probability +3.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:06: Lamar Raynard pass complete to Zachary Leslie for 12 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK) — NCAT win probability +10.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: NCAT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:31: Zachary Leslie 5 Yd pass from Kylil Carter (Noel Ruiz Kick) — NCAT win probability +18.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: NCAT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:02: Jake Verity 22 Yd Field Goal — ECU win probability +8.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:05: Elijah Bell 17 Yd pass from Kylil Carter (Noel Ruiz Kick) — NCAT win probability +38.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: NCAT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12NCAT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:38ECU 4th & 5 at NCAT 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:38NCAT 4th & 11 at NCAT 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:21ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:09ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:40NCAT 4th & 16 at NCAT 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21NCAT 4th & 1 at NCAT 19, down 3
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:57ECU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:50NCAT 4th & 6 at NCAT 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:37ECU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00NCAT 4th & 8 at NCAT 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:10NCAT 4th & 10 at NCAT 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:39ECU 4th & 6 at NCAT 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:39NCAT 4th & 7 at NCAT 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:31ECU 4th & 18 at ECU 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−5.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:02ECU 4th & 5 at NCAT 5, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−18.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:05ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 34, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:33NCAT 4th & 27 at NCAT 2, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−16.2
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:10ECU 4th & 5 at NCAT 22, down 5
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−12.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:18NCAT 4th & 5 at NCAT 27, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:07ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.7%−8.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:07ECU 4th & 12 at NCAT 37, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    18.5%−1.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−3.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NCAT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:09NCAT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:21ECU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:50ECU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:06NCAT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:31NCAT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:05NCAT Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ECUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 77 yds · 4:2283% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+9
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 9 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 6 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST down NC A&T Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jalon Bethea) to the NCAT 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
83.3%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the NCAT 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
83.3%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+13
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 13 yds to the NCAT 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 10 yds to the NCAT 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 11 yds to the NCAT 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
83.3%
NC A&T Penalty, personal foul (Kyin Howard) to the NCAT 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.3%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the NCAT 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
83.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
83.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trace Christian for 2 yds to the NCAT 5Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
82.4%
Jake Verity 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.3%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah BellSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 9 yds to the NCAT 34Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the NCAT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
82.2%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Marquell CartwrightSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
82.3%
Jeremiah Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 35Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
82.4%
Lamar Raynard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+9
82.5%
Michael Rivers punt for 44 yds , Colby Gore returns for 9 yds to the ECaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 3INT TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:1582% → 80%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.8%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Terrell GreenSimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
81.8%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
81.7%
HERRING, Reid deep out pass incomplete to BROWN, Trevon, PENALTY NCAT offside defense (CATES,Justin) 5 yards to the ECU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
81.9%
Anthony Scott run for no gain to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
81.3%
Reid Herring run for 2 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
81.7%
Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+13
81.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 13 yds to the NCAT 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
81.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 22 yds to the NCAT 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
82.0%
HERRING, Reid deep out pass incomplete to BROWN, Trevon, PENALTY NCAT pass interference (MCCAIN,Franklin) 14 yards to the NCAT2, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+100
80.0%
Mac McCain III 100 Yd Interception Return (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
78.9%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
78.8%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
78.6%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Anthony ScottSimilar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
78.4%
Jonn Young punt for 39 yds, downed at the NCAT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
78.3%
Lamar Raynard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
78.4%
Marquell Cartwright run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 38Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-5
78.8%
NC A&T Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 33Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
79.2%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah Bell, broken up by Corey SeargentSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+7
79.3%
Michael Rivers punt for 35 yds , Colby Gore returns for 7 yds to the ECaro 39 Colby Gore fumbled, recovered by ECaro Colby GoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 3:5278% → 79%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
78.4%
Trace Christian run for 5 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+8
78.9%
Trace Christian run for 8 yds to the NCAT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
79.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 6 yds to the NCAT 42Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
79.1%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+17
78.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 17 yds to the NCAT 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
79.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
79.3%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the NCAT 23Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+13
78.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 13 yds to the NCAT 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
79.4%
Trace Christian run for 2 yds to the NCAT 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
78.1%
Trace Christian run for 1 yd to the NCAT 7Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
80.0%
Blake Proehl 7 Yd pass from Reid Herring (Jake Verity Kick)Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
78.9%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the ECaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 14:21
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
79.9%
Michael Rivers punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
79.2%
Marquell Cartwright run for 4 yds to the NCAT 14Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
79.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 4 yds to the NCAT 18Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
79.6%
Marquell Cartwright run for 1 yd to the NCAT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:0779% → 84%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
79.2%
Anthony Scott run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 2
50
+1
79.5%
Anthony Scott run for 1 yd to the NCAT 49Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
79.2%
Anthony Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 2
50
+5
78.6%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the NCAT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
79.7%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 9 yds to the NCAT 36Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
79.6%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 6 yds to the NCAT 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
79.9%
Reid Herring pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
79.8%
NC A&T Penalty, offside defense (Justin Cates) to the NCAT 25Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
79.9%
Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the NCAT 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
79.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 2 yds to the NCAT 17Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+5
79.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the NCAT 12Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+6
79.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Tahj Deans for 6 yds to the NCAT 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.9%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.6%
Deondre Farrier 6 Yd pass from Reid Herring (Jake Verity Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
Lamar Raynard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.8%
Marquell Cartwright run for 4 yds to the NCAT 29Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
82.8%
Lamar Raynard run for 5 yds to the NCAT 34Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
82.7%
NC A&T Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 29Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
83.5%
Michael Rivers punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0084% → 83%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
83.6%
Reid Herring run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 43Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+5
83.1%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+2
82.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Trevon Brown for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 5
50
0
82.5%
Jonn Young punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 11TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 3:4517% → 29%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
83.0%
Marquell Cartwright run for 5 yds to the NCAT 19Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+21
82.9%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for 21 yds to the NCAT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
81.9%
Lamar Raynard run for 11 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
81.3%
Lamar Raynard run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 49Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+2
82.0%
Marquell Cartwright run for 2 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+10
82.2%
RAYNARD,Lamar sideline pass incomplete to BELL,Elijah (SEARGENT, Corey), PENALTY ECU pass interference (SEARGENT, Corey) 10 yards to the ECU39, 1ST DOWN NCAT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
81.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 3 yds to the ECaro 36Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-1
81.1%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-5
82.3%
NC A&T Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 13
OPP 42
-5
83.7%
NC A&T Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 47Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 18
OPP 47
+18
84.0%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Marquell Cartwright for 18 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.0%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Marquell CartwrightSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
81.4%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Elijah Bell for 17 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
70.8%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Zachary Leslie for 12 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
75.2%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Elijah Bell for 9 yds to the NCAT 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
73.9%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for 6 yds to the NCAT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
73.7%
Jeremiah Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+4
74.7%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for 4 yds to the NCAT 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
74.4%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Ron Hunt, broken up by Michael WitherspoonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+13
75.9%
James Mackey punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 38 , Trevon Brown returns for 13 yds to the ECaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14FUMBLE
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:0077% → 79%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.7%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
76.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 14 yds to the NCAT 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
77.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 11 yds to the NCAT 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
78.0%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the NCAT 32Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
78.5%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the NCAT 30Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
77.6%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+5
76.1%
HERRING, Reid deep out pass incomplete to BROWN, Trevon, PENALTY NCAT offside defense 5 yards to the NCAT25, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
78.5%
Juwan Moody run for 3 yds to the NCAT 22 for a 1ST down NC A&T Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the NCAT 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
78.5%
HERRING, Reid middle pass incomplete to MOODY, Juwan, PENALTY NCAT pass interference (REAMS,Najee) 9 yards to the NCAT2, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
78.5%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Franklin McCain IIISimilar
Q3 12:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
78.5%
Trace Christian run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCAT 5 Trace Christian fumbled, forced by Julian McKnight, recovered by NCAT Sam BlueSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
74.3%
Marquell Cartwright run for 4 yds to the NCAT 9Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 9
-2
74.5%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Malik Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 7Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 7
-2
75.5%
Lamar Raynard run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 5 NC A&T Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 10
OWN 5
+14
76.3%
Michael Rivers punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCAT 37 , Trevon Brown returns for 14 yds to the NCAT 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5278% → 80%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
77.6%
SCOTT, Anthony rush over right end for 2 yards to the NCAT35 (RICHARDSON,K.), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the NCAT47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+25
76.5%
Reid Herring pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 25 yds to the NCAT 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
78.3%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 4 yds to the NCAT 18Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-5
78.3%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCAT 23Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+5
78.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the NCAT 18Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
77.3%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Franklin McCain IIISimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
80.0%
Jake Verity 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.5%
Marquell Cartwright run for 1 yd to the NCAT 26Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
77.5%
Lamar Raynard pass complete to Elijah Bell for 10 yds to the NCAT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
76.5%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Elijah BellSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.0%
Jeremiah Martin run for 3 yds to the NCAT 39Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
76.9%
Lamar Raynard pass incomplete to Zachary Leslie, broken up by Devon SuttonSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+6
78.4%
Michael Rivers punt for 36 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0080% → 77%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
79.9%
Anthony Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-5
79.8%
HERRING, Reid middle pass complete to PROEHL, Blake for 5 yards to the ECU38 (RICHARDSON,K.), PENALTY ECU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ECU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 13
OWN 28
0
79.5%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 13
OWN 28
-5
78.3%
Reid Herring sacked by Darryl Johnson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
77.3%
Jonn Young punt for 39 yds , Kashon Baker returns for no gain to the NCAT 23 NC A&T Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 19TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:1625% → 52%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
75.1%
Lamar Raynard run for 2 yds to the NCAT 40Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+33
74.7%
Marquell Cartwright run for 33 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
70.9%
Kylil Carter run for 9 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+2
70.9%
Kylil Carter run for 2 yds to the ECaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
70.9%
Kylil Carter pass complete to Elijah Bell for 8 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 2
OPP 8
0
70.9%
Marquell Cartwright run for no gain to the ECaro 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+3
71.8%
Kylil Carter run for 3 yds to the ECaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
48.2%
Zachary Leslie 5 Yd pass from Kylil Carter (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:2959% → 71%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
58.8%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+7
58.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 7 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+16
60.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 16 yds to the NCAT 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.0%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
62.6%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the NCAT 37Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+20
61.9%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 20 yds to the NCAT 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
64.5%
Anthony Scott run for 4 yds to the NCAT 13Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+3
64.5%
Anthony Scott run for 3 yds to the NCAT 10Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+6
62.3%
Trace Christian run for 6 yds to the NCAT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.5%
Trace Christian run for no gain to the NCAT 4Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
64.5%
Trace Christian run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCAT 5Similar
Q4 14:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.4%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Amir McNeilSimilar
Q4 10:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
71.1%
Jake Verity 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 21TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5733% → 79%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
67.0%
Marquell Cartwright run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 23Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
67.7%
Kylil Carter pass complete to Marquell Cartwright for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 21Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+49
69.5%
Kylil Carter pass complete to Malik Wilson for 49 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
59.6%
Jeremiah Martin run for 1 yd to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+12
59.8%
Kylil Carter pass complete to Malik Wilson for 12 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
58.9%
Kylil Carter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
20.8%
Elijah Bell 17 Yd pass from Kylil Carter (Noel Ruiz Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
32.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 2 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
32.1%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+5
29.5%
Kingsley Ifedi pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
30.2%
Jonn Young punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kashon Baker at the NCAT 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 0:0076% → 72%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
24.4%
Kylil Carter pass incomplete to Malik WilsonSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
24.9%
Marquell Cartwright run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 17Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-15
26.4%
Kylil Carter sacked by Jalen Price for a loss of 15 yards to the NCAT 2 Kylil Carter fumbled, recovered by NCAT Dontae Keys , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 27
OWN 2
+15
28.3%
Michael Rivers punt for 40 yds , Trevon Brown returns for 15 yds to the NCAT 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0035% → 30%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
35.3%
Kingsley Ifedi pass incomplete, broken up by Sam BlueSimilar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
35.1%
Kingsley Ifedi pass incomplete to Terrell GreenSimilar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
32.1%
Kingsley Ifedi pass complete to Terrell Green for 5 yds to the NCAT 22Similar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 5
OPP 22
0
29.5%
Kingsley Ifedi pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Franklin McCain IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCATDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5782% → 85%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
17.6%
Marquell Cartwright run for 3 yds to the NCAT 25Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-2
17.1%
Marquell Cartwright run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCAT 23Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+4
15.1%
Kylil Carter pass complete to Elijah Bell for 4 yds to the NCAT 27Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
15.0%
Michael Rivers punt for 35 yds, downed at the ECaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26INT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
21.2%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Hussein HoweSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
20.8%
Reid Herring pass complete to Blake Proehl for 8 yds to the ECaro 46Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
21.0%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Deion JonesSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+9
19.2%
Hussein Howe run for 9 yds to the NCAT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
25.1%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for 9 yds to the NCAT 36Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+1
24.8%
Reid Herring run for 1 yd to the NCAT 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
26.7%
Reid Herring pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Richie KittlesSimilar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+4
26.4%
Reid Herring pass complete to Terrell Green for 4 yds to the NCAT 31Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 6
OPP 31
-6
25.2%
Reid Herring pass complete to Anthony Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the NCAT 37Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
19.3%
Reid Herring pass intercepted, touchback. Timadre Abram return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:05
Elijah Bell 17 Yd pass from Kylil Carter (Noel Ruiz Kick)
-38.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-19.3
TD · Q4 14:31
Zachary Leslie 5 Yd pass from Kylil Carter (Noel Ruiz Kick)
-18.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com