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NU

Northwestern 24 at Ohio State 45

OSU
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Lucas Oil Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:13 · Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 16Pregame prior+36.6Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:21: Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 42 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:23: Clayton Thorson run for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +5.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:03: Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK) — NU win probability +12.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 1:21: Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 29 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:11: Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK) — OSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:13NU 4th & 1 at NU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:18OSU 4th & 10 at OSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:23NU 4th & 10 at NU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:11OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:05OSU 4th & 1 at NU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:09OSU 4th & 7 at NU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:14NU 4th & 7 at NU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:43NU 4th & 7 at NU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:27OSU 4th & 13 at OSU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:41OSU 4th & 16 at OSU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−3.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:50NU 4th & 4 at NU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:24NU 4th & 17 at NU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:24OSU 4th & 5 at NU 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:34NU 4th & 4 at OSU 4, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−7.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:41NU 4th & 7 at OSU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:01NU 4th & 19 at NU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6NU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:31OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:27NU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:29OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:21OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:23NU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:03NU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:21OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:11OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:09OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:1389% → 89%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
89.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 14 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
89.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+11
89.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 11 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
89.1%
J.K. Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Nwest 44Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
89.0%
Dwayne Haskins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+16
88.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 16 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
88.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
88.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+2
88.5%
Dwayne Haskins run for 2 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+16
88.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 16 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1411% → 11%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn NagelSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
88.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
88.7%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4689% → 88%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
88.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 17 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-15
88.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaiah Prince) to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 25
OWN 27
+5
88.6%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 8:04
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
88.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 20
OWN 32
+10
88.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 10 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
88.2%
Drue Chrisman punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 0:4612% → 13%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
88.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
88.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dre'Mont Jones) to the Nwest 23Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+77
86.7%
John Moten IV run for 77 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:5187% → 88%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
86.8%
J.K. Dobbins run for 5 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
86.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+13
86.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 13 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
86.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 20 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
86.8%
Dwayne Haskins run for 5 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
86.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Parris CampbellSimilar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+17
86.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 17 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.3%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5713% → 13%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
87.4%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Dre'Mont Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+1
87.6%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+5
87.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Chad Hanaoka for 5 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.4%
Jake Collins punt for 40 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:0487% → 87%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
87.2%
Dwayne Haskins run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
87.1%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+8
86.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Demario McCall for 8 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
86.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Riley Lees at the Nwest 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3413% → 14%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
86.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 4 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
86.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Solomon Vault for 3 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+15
87.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Trey Pugh for 15 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
85.8%
Riley Lees run for 18 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
85.6%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted, touchback. Shaun Wade return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:0887% → 87%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 11 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
86.7%
Dwayne Haskins run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
86.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+11
86.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 11 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
87.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 11 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
87.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass intercepted Montre Hartage return for no gain to the Nwest 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:3614% → 14%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
86.1%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
86.2%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 9 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
85.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
85.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 10 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.3%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
85.4%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Berkeley HolmanSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+7
85.7%
Clayton Thorson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 46 Clayton Thorson fumbled, forced by J.K. Dobbins, recovered by OhSt Jordan FullerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:2187% → 87%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.6%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
86.5%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
86.2%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+9
86.0%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
86.8%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-5
86.8%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 13
OPP 31
+6
85.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 6 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
86.5%
Blake Haubeil 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5113% → 13%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.7%
John Moten IV run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
86.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon VaultSimilar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
87.2%
Jake Collins punt for 56 yds , K.J. Hill returns for 6 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:4487% → 94%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
86.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 12 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
86.6%
Mike Weber run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
86.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Rashod Berry for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+7
86.6%
Dwayne Haskins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
87.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 10 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
87.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 11 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
87.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaiah Prince) to the Nwest 42Similar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 20
OPP 42
+3
87.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 17
OPP 39
-3
87.4%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 42Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 20
OPP 42
+42
93.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 42 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:289% → 8%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 3 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
91.5%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
91.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Riley LeesSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
92.0%
Jake Collins punt for 47 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
94.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for 8 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:298% → 15%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 9 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+16
91.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
50
+17
91.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 17 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
91.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 15 yds to the OhSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
85.3%
Clayton Thorson run for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4888% → 87%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
87.5%
Mike Weber run for 11 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
88.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Mike Weber for 3 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
88.5%
Mike Weber run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-9
88.0%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Joe Gaziano for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
86.7%
Drue Chrisman punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:1713% → 28%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
87.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Nwest 16Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
87.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 8 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+16
87.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 16 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
86.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+20
86.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 20 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.3%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
85.3%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Riley Lees for 6 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+9
85.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Isaiah Bowser for 9 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
84.8%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 17 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
84.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the OhSt 2Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:1278% → 76%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
78.3%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Jordan Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 18Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+1
77.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 1 yd to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
76.4%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q3 6:41
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+1
75.8%
Drue Chrisman punt for 62 yds , Riley Lees returns for 1 yd to the Nwest 20 OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20DOWNS
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3224% → 25%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
75.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
75.4%
Clayton Thorson pass intercepted by Damon Arnette, return for 1 yd to the Nwest 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:0981% → 80%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
80.9%
Mike Weber run for 9 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-5
80.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
80.8%
Mike Weber run for 1 yd to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 5
OPP 29
+9
79.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 9 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
80.4%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 39 Mike Weber fumbled, forced by Travis Whillock, recovered by Nwest Travis Whillock , return for 17 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5527% → 25%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
73.2%
John Moten IV run for no gain to the Nwest 39Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
74.2%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 35Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+10
76.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Trey Pugh for 10 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+15
75.4%
Jake Collins punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIOST 35 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:2378% → 90%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
76.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+9
77.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 9 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
78.8%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 16 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
79.5%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 29Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+29
89.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 29 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5412% → 10%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Isaiah BowserSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.8%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Rashawn Slater) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-2
88.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Berkeley Holman for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
89.9%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Solomon VaultSimilar
Q3 0:24
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
90.2%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:5190% → 89%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
90.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 28 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
90.4%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Alex Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+8
90.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 14:22
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+15
89.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 15 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
90.0%
J.K. Dobbins run for 4 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-3
90.2%
Dwayne Haskins sacked by Samdup Miller for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+4
89.7%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 4 yds to the Nwest 10Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
89.3%
Blake Haubeil 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Fred WyattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 26FG
8 plays · 76 yds · 1:4111% → 17%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
88.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Jelani Roberts for 33 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
86.1%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Bennett Skowronek for 15 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
85.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Shaun Wade) to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
84.9%
Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
84.8%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
84.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Charlie FesslerSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
83.3%
Charlie Kuhbander 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1489% → 96%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
88.6%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 22Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+63
88.2%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 63 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
90.5%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
96.3%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for 9 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 28DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 2:306% → 6%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 20Similar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
94.0%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 5 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Dre'Mont Jones) to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
93.3%
Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
93.5%
Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
93.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
93.2%
Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
92.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-4
93.6%
John Moten IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 6:41
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
94.0%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Bennett SkowronekSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 29TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:2697% → 100%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
96.7%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Parris Campbell for 10 yds to the Nwest 38 OHIO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
96.9%
J.K. Dobbins run for 6 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass incomplete to Johnnie DixonSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
97.0%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 10 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-4
97.2%
J.K. Dobbins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 4:37
2ND & 14
OPP 36
+19
97.6%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 19 yds to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.5%
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to J.K. Dobbins for 17 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Charlie Fessler for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
99.4%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Chase Young for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 28Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 18
OWN 28
-10
99.5%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Taron Vincent for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 28
OWN 18
+9
99.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Berkeley Holman for 9 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by K.J. Hill at the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 31Uncategorized
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.6%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-3
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-3
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:03
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Cameron Green for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q3 1:21
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Chris Olave for 29 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q2 1:21
Dwayne Haskins pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 42 yds for a TD (Blake Haubeil KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com