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MEM

Memphis 41 at UCF 56

UCF
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · Greg McCrae run for 50 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense−5.2Pregame prior+3.0Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:24: Darrell Henderson run for 82 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +12.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:21: Darrell Henderson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 4 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +10.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:55: Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +18.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 14:28: Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +28.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:37: Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +20.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 1:30MEM 4th & 11 at UCF 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−5.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:23UCF 4th & 17 at UCF 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:16MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:09UCF 4th & 2 at MEM 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−4.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:45MEM 4th & 16 at UCF 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    69.7%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:50MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 31, up 10
    Close callPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:13MEM 4th & 2 at UCF 2, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.5%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−17.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:47UCF 4th & 1 at UCF 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.8%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:26MEM 4th & 5 at UCF 28, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−12.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:06MEM 4th & 15 at MEM 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:33MEM 4th & 16 at UCF 25, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:13MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:55MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:48UCF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 8:22MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:24MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:41UCF Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:21MEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:21UCF Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 6:55UCF Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:28UCF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:37UCF Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:29UCF Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:2438% → 38%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
62.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
62.5%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 4 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+15
62.5%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
62.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Roger Joseph) to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+62
61.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 62 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4462% → 62%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
61.7%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
61.6%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 7 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-9
61.6%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 27 Darriel Mack Jr. fumbled, forced by JJ Russell, recovered by Memph Josh PerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0439% → 40%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
61.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 15 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
60.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 12 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:0160% → 61%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
60.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 11 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
60.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Greg McCrae for 17 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
59.9%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+9
59.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 9 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
59.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 9 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+3
59.5%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the Memph 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
61.3%
Greg McCrae run for 14 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:2040% → 43%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
60.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 19Similar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+8
60.4%
Tony Pollard run for 8 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
59.7%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 3 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+70
56.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 70 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4857% → 57%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Alex HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
57.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Tre Nixon for 14 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
57.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 10 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
57.3%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
57.2%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the Memph 46Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-3
56.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. sacked by O'Bryan Goodson for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 49 Darriel Mack Jr. fumbled, forced by O'Bryan Goodson, recovered by Memph Jonathan Wilson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7FG
13 plays · 32 yds · 4:4346% → 52%
Q1 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
54.4%
Brady White run for 11 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
54.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
54.2%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 9 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+2
53.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
52.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+11
52.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 11 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
52.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
51.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 17Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-5
50.9%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (Roger Joseph) to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+3
50.6%
Brady White run for 3 yds to the UCF 19Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
50.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+36
48.1%
Riley Patterson 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:2448% → 53%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
48.1%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 13 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
49.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 7 yds to the UCF 42 UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dredrick Snelson) to the UCF 28Similar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 17
OWN 28
-2
47.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+20
46.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 20 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
47.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
48.0%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+19
47.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (O'Bryan Goodson) to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
47.7%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
47.3%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+11
46.4%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Greg McCrae for 11 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
46.8%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Memph 5Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
46.3%
Greg McCrae run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.1%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 5 yds Darriel Mack Jr. fumbled, forced by Sanchez Blake Jr., recovered by UCF Michael Colubiale for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:2147% → 59%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
53.0%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 18 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+82
40.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 82 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:4743% → 45%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
42.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 18Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
41.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
45.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
44.9%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 45 yds, downed at the Memph 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5447% → 48%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
53.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
51.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
51.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Nevelle ClarkeSimilar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
52.5%
Adam Williams punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:0144% → 45%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
43.7%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+5
43.3%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the UCF 11 UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wyatt Miller) declinedSimilar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+13
43.1%
Mack Jr., Darriel pass incomplete to Davis, Gabriel, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Carter, T.J.) 13 yards to the UCF24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
43.6%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+48
43.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 48 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
46.6%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
46.4%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+2
44.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Greg McCrae for 2 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 2
OPP 20
0
44.6%
Greg McCrae run for no gain to the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:1549% → 56%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
51.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+21
50.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 21 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
49.5%
Tony Pollard run for 15 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
48.3%
Tony Pollard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 38Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-7
46.4%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+3
45.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
44.2%
Adam Williams punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
4 plays · 94 yds · 0:5837% → 49%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+44
36.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 44 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
50
+47
38.9%
Greg McCrae run for 47 yds to the Memph 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
40.4%
Greg McCrae run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 4Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Jake Hescock for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:4151% → 55%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
49.4%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 6 yds to the Memph 28Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
48.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+2
44.3%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 2 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
45.3%
Adam Williams punt for 38 yds , Otis Anderson returns for no gain to the UCF 31 Otis Anderson fumbled, recovered by Memph Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:1861% → 74%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
39.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+4
37.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
37.1%
Tony Pollard run for no gain to the UCF 19Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+15
36.9%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 15 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
26.2%
Darrell Henderson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 4 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:1540% → 39%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
39.8%
Greg McCrae run for 11 yds to the UCF 36 UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bailey Granier) to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 9
OWN 26
+15
38.8%
Greg McCrae run for 15 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
41.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
40.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+4
39.2%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:0928% → 39%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
28.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 20Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+2
27.9%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+10
27.6%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Tre Nixon for 10 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
28.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+15
27.4%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 15 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
29.4%
Dredrick Snelson run for 4 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
28.6%
UCF Penalty, False Start (Wyatt Miller) to the UCF 46Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+54
38.7%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Otis Anderson for 54 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5462% → 62%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.2%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
37.6%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 6 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q3 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-10
37.3%
Taylor Jr., Patrick rush for 3 yards to the MEMPHIS36, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Kyser, Drew) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+6
38.5%
Brady White run for 6 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+42
38.4%
Adam Williams punt for 58 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 42 yds to the Memph 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0439% → 57%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
38.7%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for no gain to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
38.2%
Greg McCrae run for 7 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
38.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
39.5%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
39.1%
Taj McGowan run for 5 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
38.9%
Mack Jr., Darriel pass incomplete to Anderson, Otis, PENALTY MEMPHIS pass interference (Perry, Josh) 6 yards to the MEMPHIS18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCF.Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+13
38.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 13 yds to the Memph 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
38.6%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the Memph 4Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21FG
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:3851% → 65%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
48.8%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Memph 15Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
49.0%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 15Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
49.2%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 15Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+41
50.4%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 41 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
44.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Kyle GibsonSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+21
44.3%
Tony Pollard run for 21 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
41.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+6
41.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
41.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 6Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
40.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 2Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
42.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q3 2:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
35.5%
Riley Patterson 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:3041% → 70%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
41.0%
Otis Anderson run for 5 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
41.5%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+6
41.6%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
42.1%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
44.2%
Greg McCrae run for no gain to the UCF 46Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
43.0%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+50
41.8%
Greg McCrae run for 50 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23MISSED FG
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:4438% → 40%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
62.5%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+13
63.2%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 13 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
61.4%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 12 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
58.2%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
57.7%
Brady White run for 4 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+4
58.0%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 4 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
57.2%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+11
58.1%
Brady White run for 11 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
55.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
54.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony Pollard, broken up by Rashard CauseySimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
56.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte Coxie, broken up by Nevelle ClarkeSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
60.2%
Riley Patterson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:4064% → 91%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
64.1%
Greg McCrae run for 26 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
68.9%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+8
67.8%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Tre Nixon for 8 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-5
68.8%
UCF Penalty, False Start (Jordan Johnson) to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+13
68.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 13 yds to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
70.9%
Mack Jr., Darriel pass incomplete to Nixon, Tre, PENALTY MEMPHIS substitution infraction 5 yards to the MEMPHIS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+8
70.9%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 8 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
70.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+10
70.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 10 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.4%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1814% → 10%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-7
87.8%
Brady White sacked by Titus Davis and Joey Connors for a loss of 7 yards to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
90.2%
Adam Williams punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:1193% → 98%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
92.7%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+48
92.7%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 48 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
94.1%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the Memph 30Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+11
95.1%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 11 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+8
96.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 8 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
96.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 5Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.4%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27INT
11 plays · 40 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to Patrick Taylor Jr.Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.2%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 6 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
99.2%
Brady White run for 6 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+19
99.1%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 19 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+15
98.9%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 15 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-6
98.9%
Brady White sacked by Rashard Causey for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 16
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:33
4TH & 16
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Brady White pass intercepted, touchback. Richie Grant return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:28
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)
+28
TD · Q4 6:37
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)
+20.8
TD · Q3 6:55
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)
+18.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com