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TEX

Texas 27 at Oklahoma 39

OU
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:59 · Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+10.8Home team on offense−3.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:01: Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 28 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +11.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:18: Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +13.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:01: Trey Sermon run for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK) — OU win probability +9.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:47: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +13.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:44: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker PAT BLOCKED) — TEX win probability +13.1 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:37OU 4th & 3 at TEX 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50OU 4th & 6 at TEX 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25TEX 4th & 4 at OU 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:06OU 4th & 1 at OU 34, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:45TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:45OU 4th & 1 at TEX 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−2.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:59TEX 4th & 16 at OU 46, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    36.1%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:31OU 4th & 13 at OU 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:37OU 4th & 6 at TEX 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−15.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:34TEX 4th & 9 at OU 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:38TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:22TEX Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:01OU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:18OU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:01OU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:47TEX Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:44TEX Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:00OU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1729% → 31%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
70.8%
Tre Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+32
70.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 32 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
70.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
70.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+16
70.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 16 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
70.1%
Tre Watson run for 8 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+1
70.0%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+16
68.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 16 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:5069% → 69%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.2%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
69.1%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+39
69.0%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 24 yds to the OKLAHOMA 37 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kris Boyd) to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
68.9%
Kyler Murray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+4
68.7%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+10
68.1%
TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Kris Boyd) to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
68.3%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Grant CalcaterraSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
68.3%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the Texas 1Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
68.0%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 3Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
68.7%
Austin Seibert 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3732% → 32%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.2%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Elijah Rodriguez) to the Texas 20Similar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
68.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 6 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
68.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 15 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
67.2%
Keaontay Ingram pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
67.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 1 yd to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
67.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
67.7%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4FG
17 plays · 55 yds · 5:0567% → 67%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
67.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 6 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
68.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+9
67.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Myles Tease for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
67.7%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Myles Tease for 8 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+1
67.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+1
67.4%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
67.2%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Brown, Marquise, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Boyd, Kris) 15 yards to the TEXAS25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
67.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
67.4%
Kyler Murray pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+8
66.8%
Kyler Murray run for 8 yds to the Texas 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
67.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 0:11
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
66.7%
Kennedy Brooks run for 1 yd to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
66.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise Brown, broken up by Kris BoydSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
66.5%
Austin Seibert 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0834% → 45%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
65.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 31 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
64.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
63.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
64.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tre WatsonSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+23
64.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 23 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
62.8%
Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+3
62.5%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
62.3%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Okla 3Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0958% → 57%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.8%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.4%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
56.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 8 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
56.6%
Austin Seibert punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Lil'Jordan Humphrey at the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:1544% → 46%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
55.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 10 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
54.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
54.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-10
54.1%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Amani Bledsoe for a loss of 10 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 7:53
4TH & 18
OWN 33
+5
54.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Parnell Motley) to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+48
54.3%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 38 yds , CeeDee Lamb returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 23, OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 2:3754% → 65%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+46
53.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 46 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
56.0%
Trey Sermon run for 5 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-3
55.7%
Kyler Murray sacked by Anthony Wheeler for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+7
54.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Carson Meier for 7 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+4
53.6%
Trey Sermon run for 4 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
64.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 28 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 4:0239% → 40%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
60.8%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 20Similar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+10
61.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
59.5%
Tre Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
59.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
58.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Andrew Beck for 20 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
56.8%
Tre Watson run for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-16
56.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Collin Johnson) to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 26
OWN 44
0
59.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 26
OWN 44
+15
59.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 15 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 11
OPP 41
-5
59.7%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
60.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:3359% → 78%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
58.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Nick Basquine for 24 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
61.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Nick Basquine for 20 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
62.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 17 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
63.9%
Kennedy Brooks run for 6 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
77.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.4%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5475% → 87%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
74.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 15 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
76.2%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
76.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Trey Sermon for 3 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+12
75.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Myles Tease for 12 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
76.9%
Murray, Kyler pass incomplete to Tease, Myles, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Jones, Brandon) 15 yards to the TEXAS28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA.Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
77.0%
Trey Sermon run for 8 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+5
76.9%
Kyler Murray run for 5 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
77.0%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
86.5%
Trey Sermon run for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0816% → 31%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
83.8%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Ronnie Perkins for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 18Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+25
85.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 25 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
84.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
83.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 7 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
83.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 21 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
82.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+27
69.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0975% → 73%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
75.0%
Kyler Murray sacked by Charles Omenihu for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
74.7%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 22Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
73.6%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
72.7%
Austin Seibert punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Lil'Jordan Humphrey at the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
15 plays · 68 yds · 4:3628% → 48%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
71.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
72.3%
Tre Watson run for 9 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+10
70.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
69.0%
Tre Watson run for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-2
68.5%
Tre Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 46 Tre Watson fumbled, recovered by TexasSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+18
68.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 18 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
65.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tre Norwood) to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
65.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Samuel Cosmi) to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+13
66.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 13 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
65.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
65.1%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Elijah Rodriguez) to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
65.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Okla 6Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
64.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Okla 5Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 5:0261% → 73%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.0%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Marquise BrownSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
60.5%
Kyler Murray run for 15 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
63.8%
Kennedy Brooks run for 8 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
65.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 3 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
65.4%
Kyler Murray run for 7 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+13
65.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Marquise Brown for 13 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
66.7%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to Carson MeierSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
66.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 5 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+6
64.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
66.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for no gain to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
66.3%
Kyler Murray run for 4 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
64.5%
Kyler Murray pass incomplete to CeeDee LambSimilar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
73.4%
Austin Seibert 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:5432% → 33%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tre WatsonSimilar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
69.7%
Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Johnson, Collin, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Motley, Parnell) 15 yards to the TEXAS40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
65.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 8 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
62.1%
Tre Watson run for 4 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
62.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
63.4%
Tre Watson run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
64.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Lil'Jordan HumphreySimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 9
OPP 47
+27
67.2%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 42 yds, fair catch by CeeDee Lamb at the Okla 5 TEXAS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Josh Thompson) to the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2473% → 74%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.2%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Kennedy Brooks for no gain to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+14
72.6%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 14 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
73.6%
Kennedy Brooks run for 2 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+56
74.3%
Kyler Murray pass complete to CeeDee Lamb for 56 yds CeeDee Lamb fumbled, forced by Gary Johnson, recovered by Texas Brandon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19SF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:3332% → 28%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
68.0%
Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 7Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 7
-7
72.2%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Tre Brown for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:2082% → 98%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
81.8%
Trey Sermon run for 9 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
85.1%
Trey Sermon run for 2 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
85.8%
Trey Sermon run for 3 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+1
86.6%
Trey Sermon run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 6
50
+18
85.8%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 18 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
88.3%
Trey Sermon run for no gain to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
88.4%
Kyler Murray run for 1 yd to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+13
88.5%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Lee Morris for 13 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
90.3%
Kennedy Brooks run for 3 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-3
90.5%
Trey Sermon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 18Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
98.1%
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 18 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21INT
8 plays · 61 yds · 0:543% → 4%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
97.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Devin Duvernay for 28 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
96.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 9 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
96.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
96.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 2 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
96.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jerrod Heard for 22 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Collin Johnson, broken up by Parnell MotleySimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Tre Norwood return for 5 yds to the Okla 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3598% → 98%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 12
OWN 4
-1
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:18
Kyler Murray pass complete to Grant Calcaterra for 6 yds for a TD (Austin Seibert KICK)
+13.6
TD · Q3 8:47
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Collin Johnson for 27 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)
-13.6
TD · Q3 2:44
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Lil'Jordan Humphrey for 5 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker PAT BLOCKED)
-13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com