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CLEM

Clemson 42 at Pittsburgh 10

PITT
2018 · Week 14 · Dec 1, 2018 · Bank of America Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:02 · Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 35 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Clem Chad Smith
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior−8.4Home team on offense−51.8Score differential−46.1Garbage-time factor−18.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:46: Alex Kessman 37 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +0.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:56: Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +3.5 pts (now 11%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 4:57: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:25: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:27: Adam Choice run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:14PITT 4th & 20 at PITT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:28PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:08CLEM 4th & 4 at PITT 19, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−<0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:46PITT 4th & 10 at CLEM 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:03CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:31PITT 4th & 3 at CLEM 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:04CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:13PITT 4th & 9 at PITT 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:03CLEM 4th & 2 at CLEM 37, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:49PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:18CLEM 4th & 13 at CLEM 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:42PITT 4th & 8 at CLEM 42, down 18
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.3%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:30CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:59PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:56CLEM 4th & 13 at PITT 46, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:40PITT 4th & 1 at CLEM 36, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:02PITT 4th & 5 at CLEM 30, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:05PITT 4th & 8 at PITT 20, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:47CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:29CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:56PITT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:57CLEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:25CLEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:27CLEM Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:17CLEM Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
3.2%
Travis Etienne run for 75 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:293% → 3%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
3.2%
Qadree Ollison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-9
3.3%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Dexter Lawrence for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+9
3.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 9 yds to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1797% → 96%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
3.4%
Tavien Feaster run for 3 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
3.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+1
3.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 1 yd to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
3.7%
Will Spiers punt for 15 yds, downed at the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · -18 yds · 2:054% → 4%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
3.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Darrin Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-5
3.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Blake Zubovic) to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 19
OWN 30
-5
3.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 24
OWN 25
-5
3.9%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Stefano Millin) to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 29
OWN 20
+1
3.9%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 21Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 28
OWN 21
+18
4.0%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the Pitt 21 Kenny Pickett fumbled, forced by Isaiah Simmons, recovered by Clem Christian Wilkins, return for 18 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.7%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:504% → 4%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
3.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 16Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
3.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
3.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 9
OWN 16
0
3.8%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:1096% → 96%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
3.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tavien Feaster for no gain to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+32
3.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 32 yds to the Pitt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
3.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Derion Kendrick for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
3.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 13
OPP 28
+9
3.9%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the Pitt 19Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 19
0
4.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Derion KendrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:144% → 5%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
4.2%
Maurice Ffrench run for 16 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
4.3%
Darrin Hall run for 20 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
4.5%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+3
4.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 3 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+21
4.5%
Qadree Ollison run for 21 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
4.6%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
4.7%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
4.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Rafael Araujo-LopesSimilar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
5.2%
Alex Kessman 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3595% → 94%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.3%
Adam Choice run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
5.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Garrett Williams, broken up by Rashad WeaverSimilar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
5.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari Rodgers, broken up by Dane JacksonSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
5.6%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rafael Araujo-Lopes at the Pitt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:265% → 6%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Aaron MathewsSimilar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
5.4%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
5.5%
Kenny Pickett run for 12 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
5.8%
V'Lique Carter run for 9 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-5
6.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (George Aston) to the Clem 47Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
6.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to V'Lique Carter for 2 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+1
6.1%
Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 12:31
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
6.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 43 yds, downed at the Clem 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1894% → 94%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
5.9%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
6.1%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
6.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn RossSimilar
Q2 11:04
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
6.4%
Will Spiers punt for 33 yds, downed at the Clem 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 3:007% → 11%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
6.7%
V'Lique Carter run for 3 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
6.9%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Clem 35Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+7
6.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 7 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
7.4%
Hall, Darrin rush for no gain to the CLEMSON2, PENALTY CLEMSON substitution infraction 1 yards to the CLEMSON1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Clem 1Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.8%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4691% → 93%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
9.3%
Travis Etienne run for 45 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
8.7%
Tavien Feaster run for 9 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+4
8.8%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
9.0%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+4
9.2%
Tavien Feaster run for 4 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+5
9.6%
Tavien Feaster run for 5 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
6.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:317% → 7%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
7.0%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-1
7.2%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 20Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
7.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 9
OWN 20
-6
7.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 24 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:0292% → 92%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
7.8%
Adam Choice run for 7 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+1
7.7%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+7
8.1%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the Clem 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
7.9%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
7.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee Higgins, broken up by Jason PinnockSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+7
7.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
7.7%
Will Spiers punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:268% → 8%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
7.7%
Kenny Pickett run for 11 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete, broken up by Dexter LawrenceSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
7.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+31
7.6%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted A.J. Terrell return for 31 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
3.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
4.6%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 2:025% → 5%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.8%
V'Lique Carter run for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
5.0%
Kenny Pickett run for no gain to the Pitt 31Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-9
4.8%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Tre Lamar for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 22Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+6
4.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 6 yds to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2296% → 96%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
3.9%
Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Clem 47Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-5
3.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Justin Falcinelli) to the Clem 42Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-3
3.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 13
OWN 39
0
4.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tee HigginsSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
4.2%
Will Spiers punt for 30 yds, downed at the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 4:295% → 6%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
4.9%
Darrin Hall run for 15 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
5.3%
Darrin Hall run for 8 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
5.6%
Qadree Ollison run for 2 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
5.6%
Darrin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
5.5%
V'Lique Carter run for no gain to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+8
5.3%
Kenny Pickett run for 8 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-5
5.6%
Pickett, Kenny pass complete to Araujo-Lopes, Rafael for 5 yards to the CLEMSON32, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal shift 5 yards to the CLEMSON42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
5.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 4:0196% → 97%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
4.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 7 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 3
OWN 22
0
3.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Trevion ThompsonSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+3
3.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 3 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.8%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
3.7%
Trevor Lawrence run for 16 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-6
3.2%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Dewayne Hendrix and Jaylen Twyman for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 16
OWN 36
+7
3.0%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
2.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Justyn Ross, broken up by Jason PinnockSimilar
Q3 2:30
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+3
3.0%
Will Spiers punt for 37 yds , Rafael Araujo-Lopes returns for 3 yds to the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:255% → 4%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
4.7%
Darrin Hall run for 7 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-5
4.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Stefano Millin) to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+2
4.5%
V'Lique Carter run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 6
OWN 27
0
4.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Qadree Ollison, broken up by Xavier ThomasSimilar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
4.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for no gain to the Clem 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:2797% → 100%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
2.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 21 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
2.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 8 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+38
2.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Justyn Ross for 38 yds to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
2.3%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.4%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-11
0.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Rafael Araujo-Lopes for 3 yds to the Pitt 28 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alex Bookser) to the Pitt 14Similar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 21
OWN 14
-5
0.4%
V'Lique Carter run for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 9Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 26
OWN 9
+1
0.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 25
OWN 10
0
0.3%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Tavien FeasterSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
0.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-5
0.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Justin Falcinelli) to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 12
OPP 45
-1
0.3%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 46Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 13
OPP 46
+21
0.3%
Will Spiers punt for 36 yds, downed at the Pitt 10 CLEMSON Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (T.J. Chase) to the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27FUMBLE
9 plays · 39 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+29
0.3%
Darrin Hall run for 29 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.3%
Darrin Hall run for 2 yds to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
0.3%
V'Lique Carter run for 7 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
0.3%
Qadree Ollison run for no gain to the Clem 36Similar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
0.3%
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
0.2%
Darrin Hall run for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
0.2%
Darrin Hall run for 1 yd to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Darrin Hall run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 5
OPP 30
-5
0.2%
Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 35 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Clem Chad SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
0.2%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+31
0.2%
Adam Choice run for 31 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
0.2%
Adam Choice run for 8 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-5
0.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jackson Carman) to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+28
0.2%
Chase Brice run for 28 yds to the Pitt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
0.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
0.1%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
0.1%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Maurice FfrenchSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 8
OWN 20
-9
0.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30Uncategorized
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
0.1%
Darien Rencher run for 9 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+2
0.1%
Darien Rencher run for 2 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.1%
Darien Rencher run for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:25
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 10 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q2 7:56
Qadree Ollison run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 4:57
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Tee Higgins for 5 yds for a TD (Greg Huegel KICK)
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com